Use access key #2 to skip to page content.

TMFTenacious (98.73)

Grow Big or Go Home

Recs

4

July 16, 2010 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: GSI

It’s no secret that Chinese companies are obsessed with growth.  As one exec at a Shenzhen-based travel services firm jokingly told us, “if you are not growing at 100% a year, you are not a Chinese company.”

 

(Global Gains members can click here to see my complete notes from the meeting: )

 

It’s perfectly understandable why companies want to grow large quickly: bigger companies tend to enjoy scale advantages that create a sustainable competitive advantage over their smaller peers.  That’s just as true in the U.S. as it is here in China.  However, there are additional factors at play that make size even more desirable in the Middle Kingdom:

 

Government Connections:  As the Chinese government looks to privatize inefficient state-owned enterprises (SOEs) by selling off their assets, it’s seeking buyers that have serious financial muscle and operational know-how.  Strong Chinese companies like General Steel (NYSE: GSI) can often score a sweet price when purchasing inefficient state-owned assets.

 

Status:  It’s clear from the number of shiny black Audis on the highways here that China is a very status-oriented country.  Several of the companies that we met with indicated that they were able to win new customers due to their impressive facilities, or their listing on the New York Stock Exchange.  Larger companies are seen as stronger partners.

  

Growth at any cost is costly

Don’t get me wrong, growth is important.  But as a long-term-oriented, business-focused investor, I’m looking for prudent, profitable growth, and not just growth for growth’s sake.  Unfortunately, it seems that many Chinese companies fail to make this distinction.

 

For example, the travel services exec I mentioned earlier told us that his company recently cut its prices on packaged tours in order to meet its quarterly earnings guidance.  Sacrificing your profit margins and brand equity in order to meet an arbitrary short-term target is simply not a shareholder-friendly method of doing business.  Needless to say, we won’t be highlighting his company in our report at the end of the trip.

 

However, not every Chinese company suffers from the same “growth at any cost” syndrome.  We have found a few companies on our journey that understand the importance of intelligent growth, and have been very disciplined with their future expansion plans, despite the tremendous market opportunity and Wall Street pressure.  We’re much more excited about the long-term prospects of these organizations, and we’re currently kicking the tires on their financials to make sure they can walk the walk in addition to talking the talk.  Stay tuned to see which of these companies will make the cut!

 

Thanks for reading,

 

Rich

2 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On July 16, 2010 at 5:42 AM, ragedmaximus (< 20) wrote:

No doubt china co's want to be best in the world and it's probably rooted in communist fear as showing weakness is a communist sin and delt with harshly and accordingly in china.    As an investors perspective you might as well invest in a company on pluto because as an outsider you will never be able to really know what is going on in the co. china puts up a good front on alot of things even more than the usa govt. if you can believe that.so from an investors prospect CHINA investing seems too risky in my opinion,but then again I lose money in just about every usa co. stock anyway so it all averages out for me in the long run. 

Report this comment
#2) On July 18, 2010 at 6:46 AM, Estiv (< 20) wrote:

Agreed, but isn't that why the ChinaFools are there ?  To get to the bottom of and name a few gems?  I believe in boots on the ground!

Report this comment

Blog Archive

2010
July (2)
2007
October (4) September (1)

Featured Broker Partners


Advertisement