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ATWDLimited (< 20)

Inflation, GDP, M3 and Debt Oh MY

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May 14, 2008 – Comments (5)

Who are they kidding, you, em or the average citizen who knows his money doe not get him as much any more. Truly, do they think we are idiots, lets remind everyone what is going on with the dollar, inflation, GDP and debt. ITs time to break down the numbers and give us a little reminder of what on earth is propping up the dollar and the simple fact that they are downplaying the inflation, because it would destroy the dollar, so lets take a closer look.

CPI/Core 3.9% Year over year.

GDP growth in Chained 2000 Dollars 2.4% 11 693.1 / 11 412.6 = 1.0245781

GDP-CPI= -1.5%, thats right, a real loss in GDP with their under control inflation.

Oh wait the government only uses their phony non food/energy one, so lets try their style.

Core 2.3%

Real GDP change 0.1% for the year, thats pathetic, and it doe snot ecen include food or energy. 

 

How about food Prices

5.1%, vs GDP 2.4%

Real -3.7% in RFPP or my own invention Real Food Purchasing Power.

 

Energy, there is now way it was a dip of 0.2% seasonally adjusted.

Gas -0.2%, sure, thats a bunch of garbage. So that means gas prices in year over year were positive toward our GDP, what the hell are they talking about, its a drag, not a plus.

Just look at oil, $60 to $120, thats 100%

Now we can buy 50% less oil, so our ROPP or Real Oil Purchasing Power has gone from 190 210 000 000 Barrels to 95 105 000 000 Barrels.

Now lets look at M3, it has grown at 20% this Quarter, which means it is now at 14 trillion adn 66 billion. SO the amount of GDP dollars per dollar has decreased.

GDP dollar per M3 $1.08 

Last time $1.04, improvement, but not when you count debt or inflation.

With 4% Inflation, they are equal.  

 

How about Debt, lets see how much borrowing has increased. Grr, Its unkown right now, but my guess of 5%, 10% or 15% to see what happened. Either it is 55.56 Trillion, 58 Trillion or 60.95 Trillion.

Either way, we have less debt per dollar.

5% Debt Growth $3.95 in debt per M3

10% Debt Growth $4.12 in debt per M3

15% Debt Growth $4.33 in debt per M3 

Old Stat $4.01 in debt 

 

Value of Dollar, -$3.08, end result, we increased debt, expanded M3 and have a negative GDP. This leaves us with more weak dollars, we just have more less weak dollars than before, with less and less Real power behind them.

 For all you who doubted the dollar report, and said I was crazy or off my rocker, I present the reality. We had 20% Growth in M3 vs my modeled 10%, and under 1% GDp growth vs my 3%, and debt still grew, as I predicted. 

  

5 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On May 14, 2008 at 5:49 PM, XMFSinchiruna (27.84) wrote:

Wag the Dog meets New Math

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#2) On May 14, 2008 at 6:05 PM, BlackEagle7 (31.00) wrote:

Rec for RFPP

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#3) On May 14, 2008 at 6:18 PM, TMFBent (99.82) wrote:

Dear Agitator,

It has come to our attention that you do not agree with the official government line on inflation and economic growth. Further, it has come to our attention that you intend to disseminate this dangerous, vaguely communist/terrorist/French propaganda through electronic media.

Why do you hate freedom?

You have been selected for re-education at a Federal Reserve day camp. This year's theme is "How I learned to stop worrying and love the Money bomb that saved the world from certain financial destruction." Classes will include, "It's not inflation if we don't look at it," and "We've got more sheepskins on our walls, and more friends in big business, so you can trust us. Really."

Please accompany the black-suited men who will knock on your door at approximately 11 p.m. this evening, or whenever it's dark enough to facilitate maximum visualization minimization.

Also, Ben Bernanke is not as bald as he looks.

Yours in fiscal obfuscation.

The Gob'nment.

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#4) On May 14, 2008 at 6:44 PM, ATWDLimited (< 20) wrote:

Ha ha, thats hilarious, they probably have pilot program going on right now, that they are funding by some private company for a ridiculous price. The Fed probably has a file on me, add how I am not inline with the sate and may be sent to Econ 101 to ensure I understand what is going on, we would not want the masses to be confused and uneducated would we?

How about that RFPP and OFPP, its going to be real someday, and you guys can thank me fro inventing it.

Any rate, we had massive M3 growth, and a slower economy and more debt, this is almost worse case scenario. 

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#5) On May 15, 2008 at 12:43 PM, abitare (80.92) wrote:

yepper

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