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Varchild2008 (84.50)

Invest on a Hunch: DWA

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October 19, 2011 – Comments (6) | RELATED TICKERS: DWA

Shifting gears to a stock I don't have any position in and do not plan to take a position in at all within the next 72 hours.

(DWA)

Dreamworks animation has what I believe to be an epic blockbuster in Puss 'N Boots.
The stock price is absoutely insanely ridiculously embarrassingly cheap right now.

Do you like Double Baggers for Christmas?

If you think my HUNCH is right then perhaps I will be right on this cause that's all I have...a hunch...

When I see an animated cartoon movie coming out that I badly want to see myself....that clues me in that something special is happening with Dreamworks or whomever happens to have created the magic....

Is Puss 'N Boots going to be the next Lion King?     No..... Probably not..... But it doesn't have to be.

It only has to beat all other films in the release schedule week after week and produce solid earnings for four - six weeks....in order to clearly show Wall Street is wrong to price this one as low as it is.

I say $36.00 a share if my Hunch that THIS ONE....PUSS N BOOTS..... Is going to SHOCK and AWE the entire Movie Industry in sales.

Of course I am prepared to be proven wrong here...Unlike President Obama, I am not perfect.
(That was a dig at President Obama's statement in an ABC interview in which he said he made all the right decisions and wouldn't change a thing if he had to do his 1st term of office all over again).

6 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On October 19, 2011 at 7:49 PM, Euro247 (35.38) wrote:

I doubt it will be bring anywhere near what the shrek movies have, so you can easily factor in the total that shrek 4 brought in and try to estimate a share price from there.

I am not really sure it'll be a hit..will be interesting to see how it does

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#2) On October 19, 2011 at 8:20 PM, Varchild2008 (84.50) wrote:

Well I just like that they are utilizing new technology and it is reminiscent of the Lion King era.  That was a revolutionary cartoon movie due to the painstaking time and care that was taken to animate everything.

I think Puss 'N Boots will have huge widespread popularity because it is just a really really really awesome main character.

I've always wanted to see this character in its own movie!

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#3) On October 19, 2011 at 8:45 PM, conesnail (< 20) wrote:

You SHOULD be right. PnB has wide appeal, a built in (Shrek) audience, and my pals over at DWA say it turned out fantastic. DWA moved up the film by 2 weeks so it should dominate screens initially. I have also heard international marketers who watched the film raised sales estimates. But it is not tracking so well, around $130m usdm. I feel like this 3d thing is confusing audiences and killing the industry.

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#4) On October 19, 2011 at 9:16 PM, Varchild2008 (84.50) wrote:

3D is difficult because you walk-in and are forced to essentially purchase 3D glasses.

In the far far future when Movie Screens don't require these glasses for 3D  (ala nintendo 3DS) then you can see prices for tickets come down big time.

And....Parents are deeply concerned about their childern ruining their eyes looking at 3D images if they are really young.

So...There's a lot of headwinds with the 3D.......But I thought you could watch this one 2D as well as 3D? 

Perhaps DWA was depending on people selecting the 3D option much more so than they currently are/will?  My bad if so.

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#5) On October 19, 2011 at 9:39 PM, GyroDynasty (98.50) wrote:

"And....Parents are deeply concerned about their childern ruining their eyes looking at 3D images if they are really young."

Well, sort of.  If the child has difficulty seeing the 3D images, she or he probably has Amblyopia (lazy eye) and his visual cortex isn't processing the images from one of her or his eyes. 

Follow your hunches.  Time is not as linear as we believe it is. 

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#6) On October 20, 2011 at 12:41 AM, Euro247 (35.38) wrote:

Taken from Box Office Mojo, May 28th, 2010

Shrek forever after opening weekend recap:

 "Shrek Forever After finished its first week with $89.8 million, which does not compare favorably to Shrek the Third's $149.4 million and Shrek 2's $143.8 million. Even the first Shrek, which opened to $56.5 million (or the equivalent of around $79 million adjusted for ticket price inflation), had higher initial attendance due to Shrek Forever After's inflated 3D ticket prices. DreamWorks Animation investors felt the impact of Shrek 4's low-for-Shrek opening: the company's stock price closed down nearly 15 percent week-on-week today. "

 

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