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Lira "The collapsing dollar will make 2012 the really really bad year of our Global Depression"

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October 31, 2010 – Comments (1)

Gonzalo Lira writes anotherSo to sum up, we have: 

• Rising commodity prices, the effects of which (because of hedging) will be felt most severely in the period January–March of 2011. 

• A beggar-thy-neighbor race-to-the-bottom Currency War, that might well devolve into a Trade War, which would force up prices on imported goods.

 • A Federal Reserve that does not seem to know what it is doing, as regards another round of Quantitative Easing, which is making the financial markets very nervous—nervous about the Fed’s ultimate responsibility, which is safeguarding the U.S. dollar. 

• A U.S. economy that is weak to the point of collapse, where not even 0.25% interest rates are sparking investment and growth—and which therefore prohibits the Fed from raising interest rates, if need be.  

• A U.S. fiscal deficit which is close to 10% of GDP annually, and which is therefore unsustainable—especially considering that the total U.S. fiscal debt is well over 100% of GDP. These factors all point to one and the same thing: 
  
An imminent currency collapse. 
  
Therefore, I am confident in predicting the following sequence of events: 

• By March of 2011, once higher commodity prices reach the marketplace, monthly CPI will be at an annualized rate of not less than 5%. 

• By July of 2011, annualized CPI will be no less than 8% annualized. 

• By October of 2011, annualized CPI will have crossed 10%. 

• By March of 2012, annualized CPI will cross the hyperinflationary tipping point of 15%.

The rest is here:

http://gonzalolira.blogspot.com/2010/10/signs-hyperinflation-is-arriving.html

 

 

1 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On October 31, 2010 at 9:45 PM, abitare (58.10) wrote:

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