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camarodan64 (< 20)

Long Term Market Top is in view.

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January 05, 2018 – Comments (7) | RELATED TICKERS: AAPL , NFLX

Anytime now the USA enconomy will  crash by federal reserve means.  DOW Jones is now above $25000 and unemployment is at 4.1 percent which is key for a market crash, credit everywhere is at record highs expect the FED to put on the brakes soon, zinc and aluminum stock piles are low,  zinc already past low.

 

sell high when everybody eles is celebrating buy low when everyone is depressed. 

7 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On January 05, 2018 at 12:15 PM, camarodan64 (< 20) wrote:

the vix index is showing sell time as well in the $9 range  vix could rise to 60 in a bad market crash

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#2) On January 05, 2018 at 1:19 PM, camarodan64 (< 20) wrote:

 

Thi video dated nov 5 13 2017 talking about a 5% drop coming in market was 2 months early, what was discussed in the video on CNBC looks like it could play out now, and the VIX should start spiking at least back to $12 short term how far after that depends on the gravity of any emerging crisis

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/13/this-chart-shows-market-is-due-for-a-5-percent-slide.html

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#3) On January 05, 2018 at 4:29 PM, Melaschasm (< 20) wrote:

I expect a correction in 2018, but I also expect the market to start next year over 25,000. We are not going to see a long term top to the market until we experience another recession, and even then it is likely to be a medium term top. It is unlikley the next recession will be as bad as the Great Recession, and probably that it will be a relatively mild and short recession.

I go into greater detail in my Bubble or Boom blog post. http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/stock-bubble-or-boom/1096679

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#4) On January 07, 2018 at 1:30 PM, camarodan64 (< 20) wrote:

credit is now at all time record highs ,each major market crash with employment at 4% crashed because of a credit crisis

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#5) On January 08, 2018 at 2:51 PM, Melaschasm (< 20) wrote:

Actually the household debt to income ratio peaked in the 4th quarter of 2007 at 18.14, which was a major contributor to the Great Recession. Currently we are at a painfully high 15.46. This is much higher than it should be, but in the same range as what has existed since the end of the Great Recession.

A big part of the Great Recession was the unwinding of household debt. So far consumers have not ramped up their debt, but neither have they taken advantge of the economic growth to further pay down debt. 

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/HouseDebt/default.htm

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#6) On February 02, 2018 at 8:13 PM, camarodan64 (< 20) wrote:

  Melaschasm yeah so this could be just a 10-20% correction then up again but it could easily turn into a big sell-off 20-50% , alot of NYSE 52 week stock charts appear parabolic like bitcoin last month, bitcoin crashing over 50% so far and hitting $7900 today then rebounding some,   i do percieve that there is a lag present with respect to the asset value of bitcoin reduction compared to the current value of the DOW 30 and its 665 point drop today.   BITCOIN could be the surprise contagion that you forgot about, this is why its always a surprise to the general public or young economic analysts, ive seen 4 bullmarkets crash live and of course read about the ones like the great depression. A lot of people bought bit coin on margin so its time to wash out the greedy people as the federal reserve secretly would say

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#7) On February 14, 2018 at 12:39 AM, camarodan64 (< 20) wrote:

  Melaschasm news today https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/13/total-us-household-debt-soars-to-record-above-13-trillion.html

 

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