Use access key #2 to skip to page content.

Merideth Whitney Video (31Jul08). & The Coming Hotel Bust

Recs

6

August 01, 2008 – Comments (7) | RELATED TICKERS: C , MER.DL2 , LVS

Meredith Whiney aka “The $360 billion dollar analyst” was on Bloomberg video (31 Jul 08) for a 10 minute interview. She is always worth a listen, since she appears to have a moral compass, and a brain which puts her above 98% of all “stock analysts”.

FYI – “Ms Whitney's report caused Citibank to lose more than $15 billion of market capitalisation, with its stock plunging more than 7 per cent in the first half hour of trading. In her report, Ms Whitney said Citigroup would need to cut its dividend or sell assets to avert what she said was a $30 billion capital shortfall. It was the biggest stumble for Citibank’s shares since September 2002.”

“No one had the moxie to put in print what I put in print,” Ms Whitney said. (rer TimesOnline Nov 07) 

MY COMMENT

He who does not bellow out the truth when he knows the truth makes himself the accomplice of liars and forgers.”   Charles Peguy

When everyone is lying, telling the truth becomes heroic endeavor. Such is the case in today’s financial market.  Meredith is married to John Charles Layfield, a professional wrestler and former World Wrestling Entertainment champion.  Mr Layfield, whose wrestling persona is based on JR Ewing, the oil tycoon from the 1980s television series Dallas, had just written his book Have More Money Now: A Common Sense Approach to Financial Management.” I guess her “moxie” might have come from having a professional wrestler as a husband?  (ref Times Online, November 2, 07) Wrestling is a tough business, look what happens if you ask for a chair: Wrestlers need a chair and fans deliver

The Coming Hotel Bust

by CalculatedRisk.  http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com

Another blog that is worth reading is Calculated Risk here:  http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/

From the NYT: Terrible Timing for a Hotel Boom

“A record number of hotels are opening this year, and the timing could not be worse.
...
Until recently, the industry was in the midst of a major boom, and it was during those good times that the hotel companies made plans to build many of the new rooms. ... Nationwide, hotel occupancy levels have been hovering around 65 percent, down about 5 percentage points from last year, according to Smith Travel Research.
...
The industry now has about 6,000 new hotels, with nearly 800,000 rooms, under development, a 27 percent increase from last year, according to Lodging Econometrics ...”

MY COMMENT

If you need some underperforms, all hotels are a decent target.  I am maxed out with my 200 picks. Hopefully, some FOOLS will take the time to find the hotels with the most debt, leverage and American exposure. I suggest anything in Las Vegas, that has not been totally crushed, yet.  It is very tough to determine which stocks will win the race to the bottom. With liquidity, credit drying up, and Americans no longer having their home equity ATM machines, hotels are easy targets. Fire at will!

The rest of the comments and article are worth reading at Calculated Risk here: http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2008/07/coming-hotel-bust.html

FYI - Calculated Risk also has the Meredith Whitney video posted at the bottom of their blog. I guess others also like truth tellers too.

7 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On August 01, 2008 at 1:37 PM, AnomaLee (28.73) wrote:

LOL! @ that wrestling video(chairs)
- Wow, you often post some amazing content.,.

Good M.Whitney video....
- I frequently post M.Whitney videos, but I'm trying to step back and let you guys catch up on how on-spot she is.

Speaking of Las Vegas...
- I know of someone who bought a home in the Vegas area in 2004(?) ...i don't know it was a few years ago
But, it's a second house and she just rents the place out to tourists for several days or weeks AS IS. She never cleans up the place and only visits a few times a month when no one's vacant. She said she makes more doing so because she can charge higher vacancy rates than what'd she'd now make charging traditional rates for rent because of her location and because it's still more convenient and cheaper than hotels(?) -- Wow if that's true!  

Report this comment
#2) On August 01, 2008 at 2:13 PM, camistocks (< 20) wrote:

Discussion between MW and her husband at dinner.

Meredith: so what did you do today?

husband (wrestler): I threw three guys out of the ring and forced the fourth into submission.

MW: Wow, you are so strong!

Hubbie: yeah, I really pumped myself up. Look here's a picture of me:

MW: What a body! You did this with hard training I'm sure.

hubbie: some training yes and some additives... 

MW: But aren't these fights all staged? 

hubbie: what!?!? Of course not! Pro wrestling is not staged! it's all true! We fight for America!

MW: I knew it, you are so great! 

Report this comment
#3) On August 01, 2008 at 2:25 PM, abitare (88.86) wrote:

AnomaLee,

Good to hear from you. Anything (stocks, housing, hotels, SUVs etc....) that have been built up in the credit boom, will be crushed as credit and cash dry up. Las Vegas was built up on a gambling monopoly, which no longer exists.

Las Vegas relies on the "wealth effect" Americans are losing, a lost gambling monopoly and cheap gas to deliever gamblers to the "middle of no a where dessert". 

"someone who bought a home in the Vegas area in 2004" is going to loose a lot of money, it does not matter, what their stated sucess previously was.

Report this comment
#4) On August 01, 2008 at 2:31 PM, abitare (88.86) wrote:

camistocks,

Funny, to funny....

Report this comment
#5) On August 01, 2008 at 2:45 PM, abitare (88.86) wrote:

FYI - from the Big Picture and WP.

Why Does Gas Cost $4 or More a Gallon?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601566.html?sid=ST2008072601558&pos=list

Report this comment
#6) On August 01, 2008 at 3:36 PM, AnomaLee (28.73) wrote:

It's amazing what 30 years can accomplish...

 

I wasn't even born then...

How much blow were you older generations doing in the Seventies'? Seriously...

Report this comment
#7) On August 02, 2008 at 12:25 AM, lquadland10 (< 20) wrote:

If she is right and you are right will this happen?

Report this comment

Featured Broker Partners


Advertisement