Michael Pettis Predicts China Stock Market Rally
The math is pretty simple. Let the banks keep lending, but shut off the ability to speculate in real estate. That money has got to go somewhere.
After a few weeks of official posturing, with the concomitant fear and market contraction, the markets will stabilize for a while, and then take off again. If Beijing is really successful in halting real estate speculation in the primary cities, expect the secondary cities to take off. Also after a period of stability we will probably see great action in the stock market as liquidity pours back in. Last Friday the SSE Composite closed at 2688. I bet it is much higher by the end of the summer.