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alstry (36.27)

MOAP!!!! The MOTHER of ALL PROJECTIONS

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May 22, 2009 – Comments (32)

Between now and FALL....something will occur which will change all of our lives forever....

The Institute of Alstrynomics is NOT quite sure what it is.....but it will be so disruptive that much of what we currenly view as "normal" will not be the same afterwards.

It could manifest itself in a variety of ways....economic, social or political.....maybe all three.

Whatever it is.....it will be the single biggest even to affect CAPs players and CAPs scores since the game began.

The Zombulator and FU virus will play a key influence in MOAP.....but many may not make a connection.....only time will tell.

Just to be clear....whatever it is....it will be so BIG that we will ALL know MOAP when we see it!!!!!

Based on current in depth back of the napkin analysis....Alstry and the Institute puts the liklihood on MOAP occuring between now and FALL at over 85% +/- 15% of course.

Hint:  pay special attention to interest rates and the U.S. bond market............Prepare!!!!!!

32 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On May 22, 2009 at 2:04 PM, FreundInvesting (29.51) wrote:

here's several possibilities:

1.) US debt is downgraded

2.) Citigroup and/or Bank of America is taken over

3.)  California and/or another large state files for bankruptcy protection

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#2) On May 22, 2009 at 2:14 PM, alstry (36.27) wrote:

FEW ARE BLACK AS ALSTRY WHEN IT COMES TO SWANS

Six years ago Ms. June invested $70,000 in GM bonds, thinking they were a safe bet. But under under the offering GM unveiled two weeks ago, all she would get is some stock worth about $280, according to her own estimate.

If the government and/or Wall Street can turn $70K worth of BONDS into $280 of CASH.........imagine what they could do with your stocks or retirement plan??????

I know...it's only money....but is WAS your money.

Think BIG and Think BLACK.....and you might see MOAP.

PREPARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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#3) On May 22, 2009 at 2:19 PM, RonChapmanJr (32.98) wrote:

"Think BLACK" -  is this some sort of racist comment?  :)

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#4) On May 22, 2009 at 2:20 PM, finabuddy (93.56) wrote:

She thought wrong, not wall street's fault.

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#5) On May 22, 2009 at 3:04 PM, alstry (36.27) wrote:

Oh yes, Wall Street is tightly tied and whatever happens will be much BIGGER than anything mentioned so far.......

MUCH BIGGER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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#6) On May 22, 2009 at 3:12 PM, goldminingXpert (29.53) wrote:

I actually disagree with this. Then again, I'm no permabear.

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#7) On May 22, 2009 at 3:21 PM, alstry (36.27) wrote:

Goldbaby,

I am very impressed with your skills and insight.  But there are some perspectives only experience can provide.....hence I am not surprised by your youthful response.

Now we will only have to wait and see how things unfold.....and if Alstry is right....we are unfolding right NOW!!!!!!

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#8) On May 22, 2009 at 3:33 PM, motleyanimal (48.85) wrote:

Alstry writes: "Between now and FALL....something will occur which will change all of our lives forever...."

"It's always something."  Roseanne Roseannadanna

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#9) On May 22, 2009 at 3:37 PM, alstry (36.27) wrote:

But this one is REALLY something!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Trust Alstry on this one......Alstrynomics is all about being right.

And when it comes, all will know it, and every CAPs player will know Alstry is......

Prepare.

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#10) On May 22, 2009 at 3:45 PM, dotCZ (72.70) wrote:

Between now and 2020 a couple of BIG things will happen...
I called it first!

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#11) On May 22, 2009 at 3:48 PM, alstry (36.27) wrote:

No No dot......

This is ALSTRY BIG.....not dot big.......

just compare our scores and it will help you appreciate the difference.

WE ARE TALKING BIG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

HUGE BIG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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#12) On May 22, 2009 at 3:58 PM, dickseacup (66.80) wrote:

Could it be:

* Alien contact?

* Weimar style devaluation of the dollar?

* Red Wings win the Stanley Cup?

* Multiple States and municipalities declaring bankruptcy?

* Swine flu pulls a three-way with avian and human flu; outbreak reminiscent of Andromeda Strain (the good, first vesion, not the BS jacked up re-make)?

* North American Union unvieled and touted as only hope to save Western Hemisphere?

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#13) On May 22, 2009 at 4:09 PM, MikeBobulinski (< 20) wrote:

I am starting to see how you are always right...

Most people start with a vague idea then get some information to clear things up a little.  They provide a little more detail and then start narrowing in on things, until finally they make a grand statement that is relatively definitive and clear.

You started with specifics in one post.  Many said not possible, but that they would look forward to seeing you stop blogging.  Then you changed the specifics and upped the anti by saying those specifics would happen even sooner.  Now, you have thrown all detail to the wind and simply tell us something big is going to happen.

Someone questions how big, and you simply say Alstry big.  With this kind of predictive path you can always be right.  You might as well say that between now and tomorrow something is going to change.  Ew..ew...pick me, the date changed...Bingo...I was right.

I am not questioning your predictive powers. I am not questioning your research, because clearly you are a very intelligent person with a great deal of experience in the market world, but come on.  Stop the waffling already, make a statement, and stick with it.  I kind of prefer the couple of days ago old Alstry that was doom and gloom about unemployment numbers and the government going under.  This new Alstry has been a waste of time to read... 

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#14) On May 22, 2009 at 4:13 PM, goldminingXpert (29.53) wrote:

Hey, I'm 16 parts into an extended The Market Is About To Plunge--I just don't think we break S&P 666 until October or November most likely.

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#15) On May 22, 2009 at 4:36 PM, alstry (36.27) wrote:

Mike,

Alstry BIG is BIGGER than anything you have ever seen in your life......and consistent with all my earlier posts......nothing has changed except BIG is getting BIGGER...MUCH BIGGER

Alstrynomics is consistent if nothing else...actually obnoxiously consistent from my perspective on occasions.

Goldbaby,

You know I have a lot of respect for your natural talent.....you have a higher level of medi-chloines than just about anyone else in CAPs.....but natural talent only goes so far without training and experience to get the full benefit of the Force......how about below 555 by the end of 9.99 and watch a True Jedi Master at work??????

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#16) On May 22, 2009 at 4:36 PM, Varchild2008 (84.41) wrote:

"Whatever it is.....it will be the single biggest even to affect CAPs players and CAPs scores since the game began."

CAP and TRADE

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#17) On May 22, 2009 at 4:51 PM, alstry (36.27) wrote:

GMAC has told employees it needs to cut $1 billion in costs, or 20% of its expense base, by the end of the year.

MY FELLOW FOOLS:

America is going bankupt....and if you don't see it yet.....you fricken have your head up your backside....especially since you have had the benefit of Alstry warning you for the past year.

And if America is going bankrupt.....most Americans are going bankrupt.  Just look around you Fools...GM, Chrysler, Banks, California....we could go on and on.....

How arrogant do you Fools think you are.....America is your ship....so is your state and city you live in and if they are going down.....you are going down too.....so you damn well better learn how to swim.....

The only thing Alstry has been doing is warning you that you will be in the water soon.....so grab a life jacket, hang on to your honey, and PREPARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It ain't that big a deal if you are prepared and like the ocean like Alstry.

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#18) On May 22, 2009 at 5:07 PM, mliu01 (< 20) wrote:

They turnned my 70k worth of puts into 280 bucks in 3 months. Beat that.

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#19) On May 22, 2009 at 5:46 PM, AndreylikesMTL (95.40) wrote:

but natural talent only goes so far without training and experience to get the full benefit of the Force....

Is Alstry talking about Drugs here?

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#20) On May 22, 2009 at 5:54 PM, goldminingXpert (29.53) wrote:

.how about below 555 by the end of 9.99 and watch a True Jedi Master at work??????

I'll be highly impressed if this happens. I'll be watching.

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#21) On May 22, 2009 at 6:02 PM, JIMRH1 (< 20) wrote:

I think he means well.. Maybe just drinks a bit too much....btw  I read your blogs all the time Al and this doom and gloom may well happen .. and it may well not..Just like you forecast there would be lower unemplyoment than there actually was and it wound up being higher than what even the so called experts said it would be. 

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#22) On May 22, 2009 at 7:45 PM, bridgeboy0 (30.60) wrote:

What exactly does: by the end of 9.99 mean?

Is that supposed to be some kind of shorthand for Sept 9th, 2009?

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#23) On May 22, 2009 at 9:01 PM, FreeTruth (< 20) wrote:

I have two votes, though both probably will not occur by fall.

 My first vote is the government ushers in universal health care. It will affect everyone of us as companies will be completely eliminate it as a benefit. In addition, health care provider stocks will be nuked off the map and I would have very grave concern for the pharm industry.

 

My second vote is more conspiratorial; if we were to see another serious down turn, and I am talking punching through to 500/550 or below, we could see the government float the idea of confiscating our 401K's to replace them with a "safer" (as they would tell us) defined government pension. The shock and ripple effect that something like this hitting the market is just inconceivable, but large enough to shock and certainly impact us all at Alstry levels!

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#24) On May 22, 2009 at 9:09 PM, MikeBobulinski (< 20) wrote:

Alstry,

I'm not very clear on your concept of bigger than big.  Your previous forecasts included some fairly monumental events.  If you are thinking that something bigger than those will occur, then perhaps you'd care to enlighten the rest of us.

Did your mountain top telescope spy a massive asteroid heading for the planet?  Locust like aliens coming to plunder our natural resources?  Global warming finally creates the day after tomorrow scenario?  The Umbrella corporation releases the Zombulator and the banks aren't their target...anything living is?

I only ask because much of what you forecast before might have appeared pretty far fetched, and bigger than that must be science fiction.

Am also curious to know about the 9.99 bit in your post.  Sept 9, '09 as posed by bridgeboy?  So are you telling us that the release of the Beatles Remastered albums is a bigger than big deal, or have you suddenly fallen in with the folks that think the Devil's day is coming?  As I recall June 6, 2006 was supposed to be a big todo and before that there was the big millenia scare for rolling from 1999 into 2000 and the chaos that was supposed to occur due to technology.

I guess we'll all have to wait and see... 

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#25) On May 22, 2009 at 9:15 PM, MikeBobulinski (< 20) wrote:

Disregard my snide remarks ...you answered the mail in a separate posting.  Guess we will just have to wait and see if what you forecast comes to fruition.

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#26) On May 22, 2009 at 9:19 PM, NOTvuffett (< 20) wrote:

More amazing than sliced bread, more technologically innovative than flush toilets- it is the introduction of the Segway model 2.  It will get you to the front of the soup line faster, lol.

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#27) On May 23, 2009 at 12:28 PM, ocsurf (< 20) wrote:

Anyone drinking this Kool-Aid?

It's like listening to a cartoon character.

I was picture a cult leader when I read this.....PREPARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

BEWARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

THINK BLACK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MUCH BIGGER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

HUGE BIG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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#28) On May 26, 2009 at 11:26 AM, unvrsldeflation (81.67) wrote:

Maybe it isn't going to be California that goes first and starts the tidal slide? It could easily be Michigan or Ohio or Pennsylvania, anybody with a lot of unemployed people or that will be the target of the movement of a lot of the unemployed looking for work. Wage pressure is certainly pushing once mighty living wages down to summer intern levels over time. Could that timescale suddenly be accelerated?

Maybe the black swan isn't domestic at all? Could the US military be forced for economic reasons to severely draw back from its positions all over the globe? A pullback like that would seriously undermine dollar flows, especially in shadow markets.

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#29) On May 26, 2009 at 11:36 AM, outoffocus (23.43) wrote:

OOOh OOh. I know what will happen.  The Eagles will finally win the Superbowl!!  O.O

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#30) On August 30, 2009 at 4:47 PM, jddubya (< 20) wrote:

"Between now and FALL....something will occur which will change all of our lives forever...."

Anyone care to expound on what they've done to prepare?  My guess is that the majority of people haven't done a thing to prepare simply because there is NOTHING that can be done to prepare for whatever is being claimed will occur.  Nothing, nada, zip, zero.

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#31) On August 31, 2009 at 3:27 PM, Evlampius (< 20) wrote:

haha good one ddubya.  But also 70K turned into 280 bucks is good - means deflation not inflation.

 

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#32) On August 31, 2009 at 6:49 PM, bridgeboy0 (30.60) wrote:

 Evlampius

But also 70K turned into 280 bucks is good - means deflation not inflation.

The person on the other side of his trade/bet would not agree with your assessment.

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