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BillWaite3000 (< 20)

New BPHX CFO: Bankruptcy, fraud or legit hire?

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May 15, 2010 – Comments (2) | RELATED TICKERS: BPHX

On Thursday, Blue Phoenix announced that its CFO had resigned and had been replaced by a guy with a very thin resume. This happened less than two weeks before their quarterly earnings release, which is scheduled for May 26. My first thought was, "Holy crap! They're bringing in a sucker (or a cheater) to sign off on a fraudulently inflated earnings report!"

But it occurred to me that the move could also signal a looming bankruptcy, or they could just be taking a chance on a smart, motivated young guy.

How can I find out which it is? What other clues might I see if they were about to release an inflated earnings report? What clues would I see if they were on the verge of bankruptcy?

Some background:  Nir Peles, the new CFO, was a "business development manager" (i.e. a salesman who recruits investors) at a small private investment company. (They take up one floor of an office building, so I'm guessing 20-50 employees). Before that, he was a consultant at BDO consulting, which recently became the world leader in number of active bankruptcy cases (but also "specializes" in corporate restructuring and fraud prevention, among many other "specialties").

2 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On May 16, 2010 at 3:54 AM, amylawc (< 20) wrote:

I agree

this sounds like  avery fishy nomination.But who is to say the previous CFO did not sign off on inflaited earning reports?...BPHX reports deals closing all the time and the top line is going down.Dont be blinded by the revenue of the purchased company while the core business is in declince for more than 2 years...

You wont be able to get answers to your questions by simply reading the companies quarterly reports..

You need have access to other KPI's and insight as to how the companies manages it business internaly.

There are many ways to present "income" in cashflow statement or P&L ..

But the carefull analysis of the cashflow statement and trends of it will give you an idea of how healthy the company is financialy.

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#2) On May 20, 2010 at 3:23 AM, dovikg (< 20) wrote:

IMHO, BPHX failed to be victim of its own PR campaigns.You cannot endlessly recycle the same anonymous "success stories". BPHX needs real profitable modernization projects in order to earn money. Unfortunately it doesn't have them.

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