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alstry (35.35)

No Floor Yet...Techno Spector Vector partying Hard in a negative sector

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March 01, 2009 – Comments (16)

As we talked about last Thursday, the spector vector is flashing like a projector.  If you think we are close to the bottom yet, my suggestion is drink a Sunday Bloody Sunday and dump the kool-aid.  Anyone who has been around me knows I have had my fair share today.

Technical Analysis without Alstrynomics is like gin without tonic, like rum without coke, or whiskey without seven up.  Just like you need two hands to clap, you need to look at the full picture before drawing any conclusions.  Too narrow a focus leads to a narrow minded result.

I am just wrapping up a fun weekend with a group of buddies that each have successful business backgrounds and one as a corporate litigator....not yours truly.  Let me tell you, as bad as many of you think it is....the consensus from the Institute of Alstrynomic practicioners is that it is a lot Worse than many currently perceive.

We at the Institute love to win.  After all, isn't winning what it is all about when it comes to investing?  Few know how to win like those that practice Alstrynomics.

More banks are failing, more jobs are being cut, and more misguided policies are originating out of Washington.  You know what that means folks....the spector vector has fallen beneath the floor and sees no place to land...just yet.

Flash memory company Spansion files for bankruptcy- AP

States' budget woes will outlast the recession

Reports: AIG to get up to $30B more in Fed aid

NewsWatch: Worst job losses in 60 years expected

HSBC to cut back on U.S. lending: WSJ

Illinois bank closed, FDIC named receiver

Nevada's Security Savings is 16th bank to fail in 2009

On Thursday, Alstry made a 500 point drop call.   Although we didn't reach the call, we are now over 25% of the way and the party resumes tomorrow.  To remain intellectually honest and characteristically consistent.....Alstry is making a negative 375 point down call for tommorrow.

Will the spector vector hit target projection????  No one knows for sure....but I can tell you this....if the spector vector teams up with a ionically bonded positive polarity sector erector connector with a velocity injector, 375 points down could be just the beginning and watch the lemmings start swimming only to find out that they are too far off shore to make it back safely.

Alstry does not want you to be a lemming.  Folks, the Alstry bashers have come and gone but Alstry stands strong to deliver the facts.  The fact is things are getting a lot worse for as long as Alstrynomics can see.  When things turn, you will start to feel it.....in the mean time as the Spector Vector runs wild..........Who you gonna call when you need to team up technical analysis with Alstrynomics????

16 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On March 01, 2009 at 7:17 PM, RodneyFarva (< 20) wrote:

While I appreciate what it is you're doing and I don't want to downplay Alstrynomics, I prefer my whisky straight no chaser.  And I can one-hand-clap as well.

 Forgive my ignorance but what exactly is the spector vector?

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#2) On March 01, 2009 at 7:23 PM, jesusfreakinco (28.82) wrote:

This is a bit of a shccker:

"Michigan, which took in $26.4 million a month through the tax five years ago, is now averaging $9.8 million a month"

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/States-budget-woes-will-apf-14505291.html

 

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#3) On March 01, 2009 at 8:01 PM, jimmybroderick (< 20) wrote:

:)

 

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#4) On March 01, 2009 at 9:46 PM, BGriffinFlorida (27.03) wrote:

JesusFreak,

i'm not sure if you are shocked that Michigan is taking in so little or so much.  I'm shocked that they are taking in that much compared to five years ago.

Michigan property values have fallen off a cliff in the last 5 years.  There are regularly houses selling for $1,000 (One Thousand dollars, lest you think I committed a typo).

Actually that is a misstatement.  I know that there are regularly houses on the market for as little as  $1,000.  I don't know that these are actually selling.

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#5) On March 01, 2009 at 9:49 PM, InsuranceHunter (< 20) wrote:

Alstry-

Keep bringing the knowledge!  The trend is our friend so who cares what direction the market swings.

Bring it!

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#6) On March 01, 2009 at 9:59 PM, alstry (35.35) wrote:

To understand the Spector Vector, please read comment 5.

http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=152577&t=01002130057764754273

What we are witnessing the accelleration of Alstrynomic's foundational concept of concentric contraction.  By understanding the fundementals, and combining it with all other diciplines, you get the synthesis of Alstynomics.

Alstrynomics is only about doing your best to be the best.

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#7) On March 02, 2009 at 3:30 AM, shffl (< 20) wrote:

great post alstry. im from cali and i just found out the school district that i went to from elementary to high school is currently bankrupt. the economy seems to be really crumbling.

what are your views on the potential commercial real estate collapse? with all the companies shutting down stores and etc, it's going to leave a lot of vacant spaces and potentially damaging whoever owns that property.

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#8) On March 02, 2009 at 5:24 AM, maxhoffa (< 20) wrote:

market should open about a third of the way to your -375 call . . . looks like a rough start to the week.

still a fair amount of *cautious* enthusiasm about the market out there.  not sure that's synonymous with a bottom or not, but my flat out hunch would be no.  i think the boa needs to toss a few more coils around this market before the life is fully wrung from it.  only then will the orgy begin anew.  

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#9) On March 02, 2009 at 7:58 AM, alstry (35.35) wrote:

Commercial is going to make residential seem tame.

The ripple effect is going to be enormous especially in loss of tax revenues to the states and municipalities.

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#10) On March 02, 2009 at 1:30 PM, shffl (< 20) wrote:

no surprise to me when i woke up and saw 6800 dow this morning.

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#11) On March 02, 2009 at 2:12 PM, abitare (33.77) wrote:

Here is some more Techno. Techno Viking!

 

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#12) On March 02, 2009 at 4:30 PM, FishSRQ (27.19) wrote:

ok... you have my full $#%&ing attention now

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#13) On March 02, 2009 at 4:39 PM, jesusfreakinco (28.82) wrote:

Al,

Impressive call (albeit) over two days.  You've got guys to make a call like that.  So much for the TA crowd calling for a bounce...

JFC

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#14) On March 02, 2009 at 6:10 PM, shffl (< 20) wrote:

interesting how snp500 is still 700 though. any reasoning for that?

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#15) On March 02, 2009 at 8:40 PM, Varchild2008 (85.32) wrote:

"What we are witnessing the accelleration of Alstrynomic's foundational concept of concentric contraction.  By understanding the fundementals, and combining it with all other diciplines, you get the synthesis of Alstynomics.

Alstrynomics is only about doing your best to be the best."

On the contrary... What we actually have is Alstry giving ZERO guidance what-so-ever other than perhaps to Hoard Cash and wait for some lovey, dovey, to make your legs shake like Chris Matthews that the economy has turned.

Well.. I hate to burst Alstry's bubble.  But, I've already declared March 1st / 2nd   as the day the Economy began to turn up.

And I've got plenty of fundamentals already in January's Consumer Spending / Income levels on the rise.

Oh and capitulate tomorrow and trade no where near your negative 375.  Not that tomorrow matters much it doesn't.  Everyone knows FRIDAY is D-Day.

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#16) On March 02, 2009 at 8:45 PM, Varchild2008 (85.32) wrote:

My apologies Alstry.  Failed to catch the date.  You were writing about (today) not March 3rd.

Still.. Your spector vector miscalculated by 76 points.  
I suspect you also believe tomorrow won't be a down day as I do...but it won't be a day worth carrying about either.

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