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portefeuille (99.60)

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20

September 01, 2010 – Comments (241)

I have done some more portfolio reshuffling (see this post).

the current top20 positions.

1 EMC call options (18%)
2 ATPG (13%)
3 QGEN (5%)

4 VOW3:GR (3%)

5 EXEL (2.5%)

6 EMC (2.5%)

7 ANTH (2%)

8 MNTA (2%)

9 XNPT (2%)

10 VVUS (1.5%)
11 ALTH (1.5%)

12 AIXG (1.5%)

13 IDT
14 EXAS
15 CHTP

16 ALNY

17 EPI
18 IMGN
19 ISIS

20 FOLD

241 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On September 01, 2010 at 2:12 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

4 VOW3:GR (3%)

4 VOW:GR (3%)

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#2) On September 01, 2010 at 2:23 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

1 EMC call options (18%)

valued at current "ask prices". I now have quite a few different EMC call options and warrants (Optionsscheine) (different strikes and maturities and some traded in Europe only). The number of underlying EMC shares is around 70000 currently.

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#3) On September 01, 2010 at 2:38 PM, SockMarket (42.84) wrote:

What do you like about ATPG? I have just started following them and know nothing about the company.

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#4) On September 01, 2010 at 2:51 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#3 A post on ATPG is here.

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#5) On September 01, 2010 at 3:14 PM, SockMarket (42.84) wrote:

thx.

not sure if it is in there, I haven't read it all (obviously ignore this if it is), but do you know why they are running at a loss (CF is in the red too) and racking up debt? 

Is it a bad production cost or am I missing something?

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#6) On September 01, 2010 at 3:30 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#5 The company presentations are pretty good usually, you might also want to listen to the last conference call (see here).

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#7) On September 01, 2010 at 3:35 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#5 This article gives an "overwiew".

12 Reasons It's a Mistake to Short ATP Oil and Gas

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#8) On September 01, 2010 at 4:20 PM, zzlangerhans (99.80) wrote:

Are these your real money positions, Port? Or another portefeuille virtuelle?

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#9) On September 01, 2010 at 4:38 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

No, that one is the real one. The 2.5% EMC shares position is just 200 shares, so almost all positions are entirely insignificant even for me. I promise to put the million USD I get if someone buys EMC for $35 or so in the next few weeks into biopharma stocks. Okay, all that is left after I buy a new macbook ...

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#10) On September 01, 2010 at 4:39 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

$35

$35 per split-adjusted share

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#11) On September 01, 2010 at 5:03 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

more insignificant positions (#21-50).

VWS:DC, MOR:GR, OPTR, TRBN, ALKS, ARIA, ITMN, NTAP, AMLN, ARNA, KOSPI call options, GAM:SM, BHP, DSCO, STEC, STD, BP, GLCH, PARD, RXII, DAX call options, ANDS, SNTA, MYGN, PBTH, SQNM, HGSI, NOK, EWO, INHX.

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#12) On September 01, 2010 at 5:09 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#11 The top 50 positions make up around 88% of the portfolio.

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#13) On September 02, 2010 at 12:36 AM, Donnernv (< 20) wrote:

Who cares?

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#14) On September 02, 2010 at 12:42 AM, Donnernv (< 20) wrote:

Who cares?

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#15) On September 02, 2010 at 1:40 AM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

Well, personally, I enjoy reading his posts.

Port's timing is remarkable, he may get an SEC letter soon...

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#16) On September 02, 2010 at 12:24 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 21% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 4% position).

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#17) On September 02, 2010 at 7:07 PM, MegaEurope (< 20) wrote:

You finally persuaded me to green thumb AIXG, porte.

Of course, it wasn't all your persuasion. The market helped by making it cheaper and AIXG helped by putting up a couple of good quarters.

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#18) On September 03, 2010 at 9:31 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 22% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 6% position).

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#19) On September 03, 2010 at 9:51 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some CLDX shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#20) On September 03, 2010 at 11:17 AM, WallstreetKnight (43.51) wrote:

Hmm nice job on the EMC calls... are you switching to shares to lock in the gains and play EMC for the longterm?

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#21) On September 03, 2010 at 11:22 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#20 Yes, just some "profit taking". I still have most of my call options.

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#22) On September 03, 2010 at 11:35 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

-----------------

IDC: 3Par's storage market share is 0.58 percent

By Larry Dignan | September 3, 2010, 5:11am PDT

EMC continued to lead the external storage market in overall market share, but there’s a dogfight between IBM, NetApp and Hewlett-Packard for the No. 2 spot. Dell was No. 5 in market share.

But the most interesting part of IDC’s second quarter storage standings was 3Par’s market share. 3Par, which triggered a fierce bidding war between HP and Dell, had second quarter market share of 0.58 percent.

HP landed 3Par with a bid of $33 a share, but it won’t benefit much in market share. Time will tell if 3Par materially changes HP’s standing in the storage market. Storage had a strong second quarter as industry revenue was up 20 percent from a year ago to $5 billion, according to IDC.

For now, storage pure plays such as EMC and NetApp have the most momentum. EMC increased its market share to 25.7 percent in the second quarter, up from 22 percent a year ago. NetApp’s second quarter share was 11.4 percent, up from 8.8 percent a year ago. No. 2 storage player IBM saw its market share end up at 13.6 percent in the second quarter, down from 14.7 percent a year ago.

Here are the standings:

...

-----------------

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#23) On September 04, 2010 at 2:39 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

My portfolio currently has a value of around 100000 EUR (more or less no cash and no debt). I have added some fresh money a few times (and not withdrawn any in the past few years), so it is hard to say what the "performance" has been. Most of the now "boring" stocks I have sold in the last few weeks were up quite a bit from their 2008/2009 lows when I sold them. In early March 2009 my portfolio probably had a value of around 30000 EUR and I have added around 10000 EUR "fresh money" since then.

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#24) On September 04, 2010 at 9:14 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

My next buy might be some MIPI shares, maybe a 0.3% position.

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#25) On September 04, 2010 at 9:18 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

... in addition to the ones I already have (see comment #109 here).

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#26) On September 08, 2010 at 12:56 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 23% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 5% position).

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#27) On September 09, 2010 at 9:36 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 25% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 7% position).

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#28) On September 09, 2010 at 2:23 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some EMC call options (now a 19% position), sold some EMC shares (now a 3% position).

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#29) On September 09, 2010 at 2:23 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

now a 19% position

now a 29% position

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#30) On September 09, 2010 at 2:26 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

I have added quite a bit of fresh money today, the portfolio value is at around 105000 EUR currently.

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#31) On September 09, 2010 at 3:20 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

the current top20 positions.

1 EMC call options (29%)

2 ATPG (10%)

3 QGEN (3.5%)

4 EMC (3%)

5 VOW3:GR (2.5%)

6 EXEL (2%)

7 ANTH (1.5%)

8 MNTA (1.5%)

9 EXAS (1.5%)

10 XNPT (1.5%)

11 VVUS
12 AIXG
13 ALNY
14 ISIS

15 ALTH

16 CHTP

17 IMGN

18 OPTR

19 MOR:GR

20 FOLD

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#32) On September 09, 2010 at 9:58 PM, sentinelbrit (86.14) wrote:

Guten tag meine freund. My german is rubbish but wanted to say hi. I haven't been doing much, in fact, hardly any buying or selling, but wanted to check in on how you are doing.

 

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#33) On September 09, 2010 at 10:53 PM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

1 EMC call options (29%)

*cough cough insider information cough* 

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#34) On September 09, 2010 at 10:56 PM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

I assume most of that is the appreciation of your call position, rather than adding to the position?

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#35) On September 09, 2010 at 11:08 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#32 Nothing spectacular happening here yet. One of my larger EMC options/warrents positions are currently $22 warrents expiring in December 2010 (see here). I have certainly managed to re-risk my portfolio, hehe ...

 



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#36) On September 09, 2010 at 11:18 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#35 "Bez.-Verh.: 1,000" means "Bezugsverhältnis = 1" (In Germany a comma is used as "decimal point"), so each of these warrents (Optionsscheine) represents one EMC share (the underlying). I currently have around 80000 EMC shares as underlying of a few different options/warrents.

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#37) On September 09, 2010 at 11:33 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#33 No, no insider information, I would just hate to see someone start a takeover attempt of EMC or VMware without me sitting on a few EMC shares/calls/warrents. Those have been my largest position since late 2007.

#34 I think I am in the green by around 100% with my EMC calls/warrents postion (if you use "ask prices") currently.

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#38) On September 10, 2010 at 1:25 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Seoul shares hit 27-mth high on exporters, retailers

 

my KOSPI call options are happy ...

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#39) On September 10, 2010 at 8:11 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

5 VOW3:GR (2.5%)


5 VOW:GR (2.5%)


 

Volkswagen ordinary shares (VOW:GR) in Xetra trading.



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#40) On September 10, 2010 at 4:06 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ANTH shares (now a 2.5% position).

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#41) On September 12, 2010 at 2:20 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Cloudy Future for VMware?

VMWare Faces Challenge From Software Rivals, Barron’s Reports

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#42) On September 12, 2010 at 9:04 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#38 good old KOSPI ...



enlarge

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#43) On September 13, 2010 at 9:47 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 30% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 6% position).

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#44) On September 13, 2010 at 11:32 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 30% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 9% position).

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#45) On September 13, 2010 at 11:37 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:



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#46) On September 13, 2010 at 11:52 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 25 VMW shares short (to open), now a 2% position (2% of the sum of all long positions).

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#47) On September 13, 2010 at 11:55 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#46 That is just a "partial hedge" for the EMC exposure. It can be considered part of a small "arbitrage" position. EMC currently owns around 80% of the VMW shares.

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#48) On September 14, 2010 at 9:39 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ARNA shares, now a 1.5% position.

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#49) On September 14, 2010 at 9:49 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some IRWD shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#50) On September 14, 2010 at 9:53 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

LORCASERIN HYDROCHLORIDE (APD356) NDA 22-529 Briefing Document for FDA Advisory Committee Meeting (pdf)

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#51) On September 14, 2010 at 10:08 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 28% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 13% position).

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#52) On September 14, 2010 at 10:34 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 30% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 14% position).

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#53) On September 14, 2010 at 10:51 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 45 VMW shares short (to open).

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#54) On September 14, 2010 at 11:00 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 30% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 16% position).

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#55) On September 14, 2010 at 11:06 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

I have just shifted the EMC call options position slightly towards "lower strike or later maturity date". The number of underlying EMC shares is around 55000 currently.

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#56) On September 14, 2010 at 11:17 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#35 update.



enlarge

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#57) On September 14, 2010 at 11:42 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 50 VMW shares short (to open).

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#58) On September 14, 2010 at 12:01 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Arena's Diet Pill Lorcaserin Works by a `Slim Margin,' FDA Staff Says

 

FDA Briefing Document NDA 22529 Lorqess (lorcaserin hydrochloride) Tablets, 10 mg (pdf)

-----------------

When gauged by the standards of the Division’s 2007 draft guidance for Developing Products for Weight Management, the mean weight loss associated with the lorcaserin 10 mg QD and BID dose was about 3% greater than the mean weight loss with placebo. Therefore lorcaserin did not satisfy the guidance’s mean efficacy criterion. However, the lorcaserin 10 mg BID dose did, by a slim margin, satisfy the categorical efficacy criterion.

-----------------

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#59) On September 14, 2010 at 2:10 PM, FreeMortal (29.44) wrote:

Hey, just wondering what your reasoning might be for shorting VMW?  Was it the Barron's article?

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#60) On September 14, 2010 at 2:11 PM, BlackSwanCapital (80.81) wrote:

I wonder, with these BioPharms, are you just bottom diving knowing that more likely than not they are oversold, or do you believe in the efficacy of their trial candidates?  

It's hard for me to understand much of the research output... 

 

I guess in summation, are you swing trading these, or holding for a longer term? 

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#61) On September 14, 2010 at 2:14 PM, BlackSwanCapital (80.81) wrote:

@ 59

I think he's been saying that he's hedging/arbitraging his EMC position (EMC has something like 80% of VMW).

I read somewhere (probably here) that you can flesh out the EMC "stub" by shorting a corresponding amount of VMWare versus going long EMC. 

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#62) On September 14, 2010 at 2:34 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#59,61 Yes, I have sold short less VMW shares than my EMC shares long position "represents". I have mentioned the "EMC stub" a few times, see for example comment #77 here and my EMC "pitch").

#60 I usually hold my shares for a few months, sometimes for a few years. I change the number of shares I hold "occasionally" and almost never sell a position completely. VMW shares are my only short position currently.

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#63) On September 14, 2010 at 3:22 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#35,56 10.12.10 stands for December 10, 2010 by the way ...

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#64) On September 14, 2010 at 3:24 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sell 60 RDWR, limit 38.60 USD.

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#65) On September 14, 2010 at 3:25 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 60 RDWR 38.69 USD.

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#66) On September 14, 2010 at 3:28 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#64,#65 Those comments were meant to appear in the comment section of this post.

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#67) On September 14, 2010 at 6:36 PM, FreeMortal (29.44) wrote:

I'll check out those links.

Thanks Portrfeuille, you rock.  

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#68) On September 14, 2010 at 8:00 PM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

#58

Do you think ARNA will get the affirmative recommendation after the information released today?  I figured they would recommend against tomorrow..

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#69) On September 14, 2010 at 8:25 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#68 It does not look so great, Feuerstein gives a summary here. I have chosen the "basket approach" (ARNA + OREX + VVUS) and so far am in the red with that "basket" ...

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#70) On September 14, 2010 at 10:00 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

current top30 positions.

EMC call options, EMC, ATPG, QIA:GR, VOW:GR, ANTH, EXEL, ARNA, XNPT, MNTA, EXAS, AIXG, VVUS, ALTH, ALNY, RXII, ISIS, CHTP, OPTR, IMGN, MOR:GR, KOSPI call options, FOLD, NTAP, ITMN, ARIA, ALKS, AMLN, SNTA, GAM:SM.

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#71) On September 14, 2010 at 11:13 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 25 VMW shares short (to open), now a 2% position (2% of the sum of all long positions).

sold 25 VMW shares short (to open), now a 1.3% position (1.3% of the sum of all long positions).

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#72) On September 14, 2010 at 11:41 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

US FDA cites concerns with Alkermes addiction drug

FDA Briefing Information, Vivitrol (Naltrexone for Extended-Release Injectable Suspension), for the September 16, 2010 Meeting of the Psychopharmacologic Drugs Advisory Committee (PDF – 787KB)

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#73) On September 15, 2010 at 12:40 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

My next buy might be some XRTX shares ...

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#74) On September 15, 2010 at 12:43 AM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

Do you think you will get more ARNA on a drop?

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#75) On September 15, 2010 at 9:39 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sell 400 CYPB, limit 3.95 USD.

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#76) On September 15, 2010 at 9:41 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

buy 40 RDWR, limit 36 USD.

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#77) On September 15, 2010 at 9:42 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought 40 RDWR 35.66 USD.

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#78) On September 15, 2010 at 9:47 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#75-77 Those comments were meant to appear in the comment section of this post.

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#79) On September 15, 2010 at 9:48 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some XRTX shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#80) On September 15, 2010 at 4:04 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some PYMX shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#81) On September 15, 2010 at 4:44 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#74 That depends on the size of the drop in relation to the cause of the drop. It always does, I guess, hehe ...

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#82) On September 16, 2010 at 2:06 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Best Global Brands 2010 rankings

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#83) On September 16, 2010 at 10:59 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some SLN:LN shares (now a 1% position).

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#84) On September 16, 2010 at 11:12 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some PYMX shares (now a 1% position).

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#85) On September 16, 2010 at 1:12 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ANTH shares (now a 3% position).

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#86) On September 16, 2010 at 1:13 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

... making it my 4th largest position.

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#87) On September 17, 2010 at 11:45 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ARNA shares, now a 2% position.

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#88) On September 17, 2010 at 12:42 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some PYMX shares (now a 1.5% position).

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#89) On September 17, 2010 at 2:43 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC shares (now a 13% position), bought some ANTH shares (now a 6% position).

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#90) On September 17, 2010 at 4:03 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ANTH shares (now a 10% position).

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#91) On September 18, 2010 at 12:29 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

VMware Is in Talks to Acquire Novell's Linux Software Unit

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#92) On September 19, 2010 at 10:29 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

My next buy might be some NYT shares ...

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#93) On September 20, 2010 at 11:43 AM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

Golly, that's a lot of ANTH.

2nd largest position?

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#94) On September 20, 2010 at 11:44 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now a 1% position), bought some BION:SW shares (now a 2% position).

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#95) On September 20, 2010 at 11:44 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now a 1% position), bought some BION:SW shares (now a 2% position).

sold some CHTP shares (now a 1% position), bought some BION:SW shares (now a 2% position).

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#96) On September 20, 2010 at 11:49 AM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

So ANTH is still around a 10% position?

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#97) On September 20, 2010 at 12:30 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#96 Yes, ANTH shares are currently a 10% position.

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#98) On September 21, 2010 at 10:42 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some VVUS shares (now a 0.7% position).

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#99) On September 21, 2010 at 1:49 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some YHOO shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#100) On September 21, 2010 at 4:49 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some NYT shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#101) On September 21, 2010 at 4:56 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

buy 1000 ADBE, limit 28.60 USD in extended or regular trading.

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#102) On September 21, 2010 at 4:57 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought 1000 ADBE 28.30 USD.

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#103) On September 21, 2010 at 4:59 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#101,#102 Those comments were meant to appear in the comment section of this post.

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#104) On September 23, 2010 at 2:17 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

current top50 positions.

EMC call options, ANTH, EMC, ATPG, QIA:GR, BION:SW, VOW:GR, ARNA, EXEL, PYMX, EXAS, XNPT, AIXG, MNTA, ALNY, ALTH, ISIS, OPTR, FOLD, CHTP, KOSPI call options, RXII, IMGN, MOR:GR, SLN:LN, ITMN, NTAP, ALKS, VVUS, ARIA, DAX call options, SNTA, AMLN, GAM:SM, ANDS, VWS:GR, DSCO, STD, EPI, NOK, MYGN, YHOO, GLCH, NYT, PARD, XRTX, PBTH, STEC, BP, BHP.

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#105) On September 23, 2010 at 2:21 AM, Nickalisk (49.22) wrote:

Hey, whats your opinion on eurobanks?

STD, NBG, AIB, DB in particular? 

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#106) On September 23, 2010 at 2:25 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

120 VMW shares are still my only short position.

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#107) On September 23, 2010 at 2:28 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

I think a "well diversified" basket of "European banks" should do alright. Also see this post.

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#108) On September 23, 2010 at 9:59 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ARNA shares, now a 2.5% position.

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#109) On September 23, 2010 at 10:01 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now an 11% position).

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#110) On September 23, 2010 at 10:33 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now an 8% position).

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#111) On September 23, 2010 at 10:43 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now a 7% position), bought some EMC call options (now a 30% position).

The number of underlying EMC shares is around 65000 currently.

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#112) On September 23, 2010 at 10:50 AM, Nickalisk (49.22) wrote:

Your ANTH pick would be impressive if you weren't insider trading.

 

Lol jk.

 

Seriously though, that was prescient.  Grats! 

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#113) On September 23, 2010 at 11:03 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Those "per cent statements" refer to the ratio of the current value of the position to the current value of all long positions in the portfolio (including the warrents/options. those are valued using a recent "ask price"). Short positions (currently just the VMW position (see comment #106 above)) and "net cash" (usually I have very little cash or use very little margin) are ignored.

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#114) On September 23, 2010 at 11:24 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some NOVL shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#115) On September 23, 2010 at 11:34 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

The current value of all long positions is now at around 150000 EUR (I have added some more "fresh money", Germans don't spend all that much, hehe ...).

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#116) On September 23, 2010 at 1:14 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ANTH shares (now a 9% position).

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#117) On September 24, 2010 at 11:21 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 110 VMW shares short (to open), sold some EMC call options (now a 28% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 20% position).

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#118) On September 24, 2010 at 11:39 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ALNY shares, now a 1% position.

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#119) On September 24, 2010 at 11:59 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#35,56 update.



enlarge

 

ask price currently at around 0.79 EUR.

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#120) On September 24, 2010 at 12:01 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options (now a 26% position).

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#121) On September 24, 2010 at 12:39 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some NTAP shares, now a 1.5% position, bought some RHT shares, now a 1% position.

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#122) On September 24, 2010 at 1:03 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

currently 2500 EMC shares and -230 VMW shares in the fund. EMC holds around 80% of the "outstanding" VMW shares (I think).

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#123) On September 24, 2010 at 1:03 PM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

I noticed you bought, sold, then rebought some ANTH.  Were you just rebalancing?  Do you have any sort of hunch as to the price target of ANTH?

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#124) On September 24, 2010 at 1:05 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

current value of the long positions: around 185000 EUR,
current value of the short position: around 15000 EUR,
net cash: around 0.

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#125) On September 24, 2010 at 1:07 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#124 So this gives a "total" of around 170000 EUR. Still quite a bit to go to reach the first million EUR, hehe ...

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#126) On September 24, 2010 at 1:08 PM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

While I'm asking, are you still looking to EMC doing something dramatic to boost share prices, or do you see it as a value buy at almost $22?

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#127) On September 24, 2010 at 1:14 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#123 No, I don't have a price target. I think I will just keep the ANTH position as it is unless the price starts jumping around again (or some "news comes out").

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#128) On September 24, 2010 at 1:17 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

The "value" part of EMC is the non-VMW part. And that part might still be around $10 per share too cheap currently. The VMW part is probably not really in "cheap territory" currently.

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#129) On September 24, 2010 at 2:56 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#2,36,55,111 I have shifted the EMC call options/warrents position towards "lower strike or later maturity date". The number of underlying EMC shares is around 45000 currently.

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#130) On September 25, 2010 at 9:58 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#119



enlarge

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#131) On September 27, 2010 at 11:03 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ATPG shares (now a 5% position).

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#132) On September 27, 2010 at 11:31 AM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

Hm, are you looking to pick up ATPG on the cheap again, or are you trying to lower exposure?

I figured the positive momentum would hold for at least a couple of days.

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#133) On September 27, 2010 at 4:14 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#132 That was just some "profit taking".

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#134) On September 27, 2010 at 7:19 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

My next buy will probably be some Actelion shares (ATLN:VX).

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#135) On September 28, 2010 at 10:40 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ATLN:VX shares (now a 0.5% position), bought some IRE shares (now a 0.6% position), bought some AIB shares (now a 0.4% position).

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#136) On September 29, 2010 at 11:38 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 80 VMW shares short (to open), bought 500 EMC shares (now a 24% position). currently 3000 EMC shares and -310 VMW shares in the fund.

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#137) On September 29, 2010 at 12:14 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold the KOSPI call options, bought some EWY "shares" (now a 0.5% position).

current top20 long positions.

EMC (24%), EMC call options (22%), ANTH (8%), ATPG (5%), QIA:GR (2%), ARNA (2%), BION:SW (1.5%), NTAP (1.5%), VOW:GR (1.5%), RHT (1%), PYMX (1%), EXEL (1%), ALNY (1%), EXAS (1%), XNPT (0.8%), AIXG (0.8%), MNTA (0.7%), ALTH (0.7%), SLN:LN (0.7%), OPTR (0.7%).

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#138) On September 29, 2010 at 1:47 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some SAY shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#139) On September 30, 2010 at 5:36 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some PAH3:GR shares (now a 0.3% position).

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#140) On September 30, 2010 at 5:43 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some SLN:LN shares (now a 0.4% position).

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#141) On September 30, 2010 at 1:36 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some MRNA shares (now a 0.3% position).

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#142) On October 01, 2010 at 12:25 PM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

46% of the portfolio is comprised of EMC shares and calls?

I think i'll greenthumb EMC in your honor. 

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#143) On October 01, 2010 at 4:45 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some CFW shares (now a 0.2% position).

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#144) On October 02, 2010 at 3:37 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

My next buy will probably be some additional QGEN shares.

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#145) On October 04, 2010 at 11:04 AM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

I don't really follow Germany so much, but is QGEN just wavering with the economic outlook over there?

I think you posted a lot of optimistic stuff about German manufacturing/industry a little bit ago?  Any update on that?

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#146) On October 04, 2010 at 12:21 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

The QGEN business and share price have little to do with the "German economic outlook". I have posted the results of the latest ifo survey in comment #93 here.

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#147) On October 04, 2010 at 12:44 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

currently 3000 EMC shares and -310 VMW shares in the fund.

currently 3000 EMC shares and -310 VMW shares in my portfolio.

 

bought to cover 220 VMW share. -90 VMW shares are currently the only short position in my portfolio.

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#148) On October 04, 2010 at 2:44 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ATPG shares (now a 1% position).

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#149) On October 04, 2010 at 2:45 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ATPG shares (now a 1% position).

sold some ARNA shares (now a 1% position).

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#150) On October 04, 2010 at 3:25 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some TSRX shares (now a 0.3% position).

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#151) On October 04, 2010 at 3:31 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some VIP shares (now a 0.4% position). see this post.

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#152) On October 05, 2010 at 12:26 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some CRME shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#153) On October 05, 2010 at 12:44 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 200 VMW shares short (to open). currently -290 VMW shares in my portfolio.

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#154) On October 06, 2010 at 10:31 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought to cover 200 VMW share. -90 VMW shares are currently the only short position in my portfolio.

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#155) On October 06, 2010 at 12:01 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought to cover 90 VMW share. no short positions currently.

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#156) On October 06, 2010 at 6:28 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ITMN shares (now a 0.4% position).

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#157) On October 06, 2010 at 6:49 PM, Nickalisk (49.22) wrote:

what do you see in QGEN?

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#158) On October 07, 2010 at 12:30 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

a post on QGEN is here.

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#159) On October 07, 2010 at 12:42 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some AIB shares (now a 1.5% position).

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#160) On October 07, 2010 at 1:08 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

current top20 positions.

EMC (25%), EMC call options (13%), ANTH (9%), ATPG (5%), QIA:GR (2%), BION:SW (1.5%), NTAP (1.5%), VOW:GR (1.5%), VIP (1.5%), AIB (1.5%), RHT (1%), EXEL (1%), ARNA (1%), PYMX (1%), EXAS (1%), ALNY (1%), XNPT (1%), AIXG (0.9%), MNTA (0.8%), IMGN (0.8%).

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#161) On October 07, 2010 at 2:29 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now a 6% position).

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#162) On October 08, 2010 at 2:38 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some SLN:LN shares (now a 1% position).

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#163) On October 08, 2010 at 3:46 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now a 3% position).

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#164) On October 08, 2010 at 3:49 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold 100 VMW shares short (to open).

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#165) On October 08, 2010 at 3:51 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EXAS shares (now a 0.7% position).

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#166) On October 09, 2010 at 6:13 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some CFW shares (now a 0.1% position).

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#167) On October 11, 2010 at 10:24 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now a 2.5% position), sold some ATPG shares (now a 4.5% position).

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#168) On October 14, 2010 at 5:46 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some DAX call options (now a 0.6% position).

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#169) On October 14, 2010 at 2:51 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some AIXG shares (now a 0.6% position).

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#170) On October 14, 2010 at 2:56 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some CHTP shares (now a 1.3% position).

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#171) On October 14, 2010 at 3:37 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EXAS shares (now a 0.5% position).

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#172) On October 15, 2010 at 3:47 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some MOR:GR shares (now a 0.4% position).

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#173) On October 15, 2010 at 5:10 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#130



enlarge

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#174) On October 15, 2010 at 10:10 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some MIPI shares (now a 0.1% position).

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#175) On October 18, 2010 at 4:49 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Run EMC: Parent Looks Like Better Pick Than VMware

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#176) On October 18, 2010 at 5:05 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#129,130,173 a better "representative" of my current EMC call options position is this warrent.

June 2011 $25 call (1,2).



enlarge
 

 

The number of underlying EMC shares is still around 45000.

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#177) On October 18, 2010 at 5:06 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

warrent

warrant

call options position

call options/warrants position

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#178) On October 18, 2010 at 5:59 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some DAX call options (now a 0.2% position).

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#179) On October 18, 2010 at 6:04 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

DAX.



enlarge

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#180) On October 18, 2010 at 10:07 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ANTH shares (now a 1.5% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 29% position).

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#181) On October 18, 2010 at 5:06 PM, Nickalisk (49.22) wrote:

VMW numbers look good, whats up with EMC/VMW after hours?

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#182) On October 18, 2010 at 5:18 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought to cover 100 VMW shares. no short positions currently.

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#183) On October 18, 2010 at 5:38 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some EMC shares (now a 32% position).

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#184) On October 18, 2010 at 5:45 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#183 The 32% position are 3700 EMC shares.

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#185) On October 19, 2010 at 1:49 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

My next buy will probably be some IDRA shares, maybe a 5% position.

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#186) On October 19, 2010 at 9:29 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some VMW shares, now a 1% position.

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#187) On October 19, 2010 at 10:12 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some IDRA shares (now a 4% position).

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#188) On October 19, 2010 at 10:57 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC shares (now a 29% position).

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#189) On October 20, 2010 at 8:01 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ALKS shares (now a 1% position), bought some AMLN shares (now a 1.4% position).

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#190) On October 20, 2010 at 10:38 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some TSPT shares (now a 0.4% position).

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#191) On October 20, 2010 at 5:55 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

current top20 positions.

EMC (29%), EMC call options (13%), ATPG (4%), IDRA (4%), QGEN (2%), BION:SW (1.7%), NTAP (1.6%), VOW:GR (1.6%), VIP (1.5%), AMLN (1.4%), AIB (1.4%), ANTH (1.4%),  EXEL (1.2%), CHTP (1.2%), ALNY (1.1%), RHT (1.1%), PYMX (1%), XNPT (1%), VMW (1%), ARNA (1%).

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#192) On October 21, 2010 at 10:12 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC shares (now a 28% position).

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#193) On October 22, 2010 at 11:14 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ARNA shares (now a 0.4% position).

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#194) On October 23, 2010 at 8:15 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#176



enlarge

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#195) On October 24, 2010 at 1:54 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

I think I will add a few EXAS shares next week.

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#196) On October 25, 2010 at 3:24 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold the remaining DAX call options.

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#197) On October 25, 2010 at 4:45 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some PAH3:GR shares (now a 1% position).

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#198) On October 25, 2010 at 10:26 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold my VMW position.

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#199) On October 25, 2010 at 1:11 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some SVNT shares (now a 1.3% position).

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#200) On October 26, 2010 at 10:33 AM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

Does the EMC insider selling say anything to you one way or another?

 

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#201) On October 26, 2010 at 11:02 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

No, I don't follow insider trading activity.

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#202) On October 26, 2010 at 1:00 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some MYRX shares (now a 1% position).

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#203) On October 26, 2010 at 3:39 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some EXAS shares (now a 0.9% position).

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#204) On October 27, 2010 at 12:14 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some EXAS shares (now a 1.8% position).

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#205) On October 27, 2010 at 4:07 PM, MyunderratedLife (90.80) wrote:

Are you confident in tomorrows presentation regarding EXAS?

Looking back, that was a nice call at the 3 dollar range.  Whats the bullish case for it now?

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#206) On October 27, 2010 at 5:43 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

I don't know what they will present tomorrow.

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#207) On October 29, 2010 at 11:20 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ITMN shares (now a 1.1% position).

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#208) On November 02, 2010 at 11:24 AM, Nickalisk (49.22) wrote:

How do you determine how to weight each of your biotech positions?


You seem to generate uncommon (<--understatement) alpha 

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#209) On November 02, 2010 at 1:14 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#208 There is no system behind the weights.

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#210) On November 04, 2010 at 1:08 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#2,36,55,111,129 I have shifted the EMC call options/warrents position towards "lower strike or later maturity date". The number of underlying EMC shares is around 40000 currently.

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#211) On November 04, 2010 at 1:09 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

EMC is currently at around $21.82.

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#212) On November 04, 2010 at 4:02 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some TSRX shares (now a 3.2% position).

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#213) On November 05, 2010 at 10:55 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some ALBK:ID (0.5 AIB) shares (now a 1.7% position).

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#214) On November 05, 2010 at 4:36 PM, WallstreetKnight (43.51) wrote:

Why the AIB position if I might inquire?

It seems they keep increasing the estimated amount they need to recapitalize...  Is the sentiment in europe different from what we are seeing/hearing stateside?

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#215) On November 05, 2010 at 11:45 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#214 I think it might do alright.

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#216) On November 06, 2010 at 1:04 PM, Momentum21 (80.66) wrote:

I have not calculated my "fund's" performance since March but from Oct 31, 2009 to Oct 31 2010 it was 30%.  I am well behind you but ahead of the S&P...

 

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#217) On November 06, 2010 at 1:07 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

great. has biotech "outperformed"?

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#218) On November 06, 2010 at 1:16 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

I just noticed that I might have found the "sweet spot" for a theoretical physicist without a secretary. I should probably call it "mid frequency trading". Total trading volume of my "fund" (see this post) has been around $51 million so far (having started with $3.4 million virtual money and usually using some "leverage" (via a few million "negative cash", hehe ... (currently around -$3 million)). The fund is by around 40% in the green currently (i.e. by around 0.4 * $3.4 million = $1.36 million).

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#219) On November 06, 2010 at 5:22 PM, Momentum21 (80.66) wrote:

#217 - for the most part yes...my closed positions over the time period have yielded a 45.3% return on the equivalent of about 17% of the portfolio (ANTH, ARNA, AZN, EXEL, FOLD, ITMN, JAV and KVA)

the current holdings have a current return of 3.7% (ABT, ALXA, ANDS, ARNA, AZN, CRME, EXAS, GXDX, IDRA, KVA) and represent about 20%.

Let's call it the biotech/pharma piece... I am probably due for an implosion or two from the ones above which is why I like a cushion of more than 45%.

These tickers probably look familiar to you... : )

 

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#220) On November 08, 2010 at 1:05 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options/warrents (now a 10% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 31% position).

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#221) On November 08, 2010 at 1:06 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

EMC is currently at around $21.97.

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#222) On November 08, 2010 at 1:15 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

currently 4050 EMC shares in the portfolio.

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#223) On November 08, 2010 at 1:25 PM, Melqart (< 20) wrote:

theoretical physicists? are you? anyway, congratulations for the performance! even without a secretary....

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#224) On November 08, 2010 at 1:29 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Yes, I am. Thank you.

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#225) On November 08, 2010 at 1:39 PM, Melqart (< 20) wrote:

Funny! Since I was too! But I'm now a mathematician...

 

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#226) On November 08, 2010 at 1:42 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

I am at the border of "theoretical physicist" to "mathematical physicist", I guess ...

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#227) On November 08, 2010 at 1:48 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#226 So I guess my benchmark should be the performance of the Medallion Fund by Renaissance Technologies ("referenced" in my second comment to my first "caps" game blog post here), I guess ...

Renaissance Technologies' Medallion Fund: Performance Numbers Illustrated

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#228) On November 08, 2010 at 2:09 PM, Melqart (< 20) wrote:

even more curious, since my research deals exactly with math-phys! but perhaps more on the side of math, well it is just because what I do is considered sometimes to be a bit abstract and because I teach analysis.

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#229) On November 09, 2010 at 9:40 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some ALBK:ID (0.5 AIB) shares (now a 1.3% position).

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#230) On November 09, 2010 at 9:47 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some PAH3:GR shares (now a 0.6% position).

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#231) On November 09, 2010 at 9:51 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some YHOO shares (now a 0.2% position).

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#232) On November 09, 2010 at 10:22 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some EMC call options/warrents (now a 7% position), bought some EMC shares (now a 42% position).

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#233) On November 09, 2010 at 10:25 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

bought some PAH3:GR shares (now a 0.6% position).

sold some PAH3:GR shares (now a 0.6% position).

 

EMC is currently at around $22.23, currently 6100 EMC shares in the portfolio.

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#234) On November 09, 2010 at 11:18 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold my BP, BHP and CLDX positions.

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#235) On November 09, 2010 at 1:48 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#35,36,56,63,119,129,130,173,176,194.

June 2011 $25 call warrent (Optiosschein) (1,2).



enlarge

 

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#236) On November 09, 2010 at 1:59 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#176 Another "representative" of my current EMC call options/warrents position is this option.

EMC April 2011 $22 call option (1).



enlarge

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#237) On November 09, 2010 at 2:04 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

sold some IDT shares (now a 0.1% position).

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#238) On November 09, 2010 at 5:20 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

current top20 positions.

EMC (42.9%), EMC call options (6.4%), ATPG (3.5%), IDRA (3.1%), TSRX (2.8%), QGEN (1.6%), VOW:GR (1.5%), NTAP (1.4%), BION:SW (1.4%), AMLN (1.3%), VIP (1.3%), AIB (1.2%), EXAS (1.1%), SVNT (1%), PYMX (1%), RHT (1%), ANTH (0.9%), CHTP (0.9%), ITMN (0.9%), EXEL (0.9%).

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#239) On November 09, 2010 at 5:27 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

so I guess my portfolio is back to boring again ...

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#240) On November 09, 2010 at 5:40 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

continued here.

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#241) On December 15, 2010 at 6:31 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

#176

June 2011 $25 call (1,2).

June 2011 $22 call (1,2).

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