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"I reject the label "gloom-and-doomer"...There's a lot about the way we live that is disgusting, degrading, demoralizing, and socially toxic"

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November 04, 2008 – Comments (14)

FYI - I am still #1 in points, but OOji, "a bull" keeps climbing at a record pace, with a bunch of Green Thumbs. So I added a few Green thumbs today also.

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Sometimes in looking for some wisdom to post, I find someone that has written something better then I could hope to. Plus, as I have been posting my narative over the last year it is important to provide another refeence.

James Kunstler writes once a week like no one else.

http://jameshowardkunstler.typepad.com/

A Nervous Nation

      This is a nervous nation. Though I'm usually allergic to paranoia, something makes me think that there's a back office in the US Treasury that is buying the entire Dow Jones Industrial Index at opportune moments -- like fifteen minutes before the closing bell -- at the direction of Mr. Paulson. He seems to easily spend $50 billion a day on other dubious hand-outs. At that scale, buying the whole Dow would just take his walking-around money. The idea behind it, my paranoid fugue goes, is to jack up the stock market enough around election day to give the dimmer members of the voting public the idea that the financial fiasco is over and happy days are here again. You can't put this past the Republican party, despite John McCain's friendly turn on Saturday Night Live, consorting with "the enemy" for laughs.
     Apart from that, McCain has run the flat-out most scurrilous campaign I've ever seen, despite his reputation as a war hero and a sterling fellow among the senators. He's run a campaign of malicious innuendo and slander, seemingly aimed at voters who would have trouble qualifying for the Special Olympics. And you have to wonder whether he actually requested Vice-president Dick Cheney to lay that "kiss-of-death" endorsement on him at the last moment. It could only have been better if Mr. Cheney borrowed some trick-or-treater's Darth Vadar costume for the grand occasion.
     What many people are nervous about, of course, is the chance of shenanigans with the voting tally. Just one minor feature of the general paralysis gripping this society has been our inability to get rid of those mischievous Diebold computerized voting machines that leave no paper trail. By the way, these touchscreen voting units are an example of the diminishing returns of technology. There was nothing wrong with the old mechanical units, but by making over-investments in complexity we've just created more problems for ourselves. This ought to be a warning to those in the thrall of techno-triumphalism.
     People are nervous not just because Mr. Obama might be swindled out of a victory, but because John McCain might get elected. Credibility in his judgment dissolved about eleven minutes after he picked the Bombshell from Wasilla to be a heartbeat away from the oval office. Anyway, the Republican Party needs to crawl off to a dark hole somewhere and either pupate into something better or die -- as the Whigs did in 1856. The Republican Party is not through wrecking America. They have three more months to destroy the US dollar and the economy that runs on it. And with Mr. Paulson shoving out pallet-loads of bundled dollars to the likes of JP Morgan, so they can continue doing the very thing that provoked this financial fiasco -- lending money recklessly to anyone with a pulse -- they might just "get her done!"
      Other people are afraid that Mr. Obama will hand out bales of money, too, only to a different class of people. I suppose he will. I hope he will show restraint and apply it to public works that benefit all Americans -- such as my pet project of restoring passenger railroad service so people don't have to drive, for instance, from Atlanta to Louisville or Cleveland to Columbus. Even so, the new President will face not only a tide of woes created by his predecessor, but very likely, too, an obese and ineffectual federal bureaucracy unable to carry out even well-intentioned programs.
     He will take office in what may be the darkest economic year this country has ever faced. 2009 shows every sign of being worse than this one, with house foreclosures and car re-pos accelerating, companies hemorrhaging jobs, oil prices heading back up (with shortages possible), and a large new group of the formerly middle class growing restive and sore in the background. It will be an historic act of governance if he can keep the lid on all this. Many people will be worrying, of course, whether he will even survive. The ghost of JFK and the dashed hopes he represented (however real or illusory) still haunt this nation.
     Apart from the awful debt deflation and probable rebound hyper-inflation that will whipsaw the nation cross-eyed, the new president will face the energy question. I hope he learns the fundamental lesson: that the only way we can hope to become "energy independent" is to severely reform our car-dependent living arrangements and live more locally. Anybody who believes we're going to run the interstate highways and WalMart on solar, wind, tar sands (which belong to Canada, by the way), oil shale, methane gas, algae-diesel, or used fry-max® is going to be disappointed. We'll have to inhabit the terrain of North America differently -- in traditional towns, villages, cities (scaled smaller, to a lower energy diet), as well as a productive agricultural landscape that will require more attention from live human beings (and maybe help from our friends, the animals).
     Much of the real work of the next president will be guiding a transition out of obsolete habits, practices, and expectations that we must shed whether we like it or not. The painful downscaling of the financial sector, from a bloated 20+ percent of the US economy back to something more in the 5 percent range, is only the first of these agonies. The transition away from suburbia -- our tragic misallocation of resources in an infrastructure for daily life with no future -- will be even more harrowing because of the psychology of previous investment, which will provoke a misguided effort to sustain the unsustainable, and squander our dwindling resources in the process.
      I reject the label "gloom-and-doomer" where these difficult transitions are concerned. There's a lot about the way we live now that is disgusting, degrading, demoralizing, and socially toxic -- from our suicidal diet of processed fat, salt, and corn syrup byproducts to the spiritually punishing everyday realm of the highway strip to the fantastic loneliness and alienation of a people made hostage to a TV-consumer nexus of corporate colonialism. Were done with that. We just don't know it yet. Mr. Obama may not know it, either, but he is a trustworthy soul to hold our hands as we enter this unknown territory.

14 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On November 04, 2008 at 6:12 PM, abitare (99.31) wrote:

Peter Schiff 3 Nov 08

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#2) On November 04, 2008 at 6:43 PM, alstry (35.49) wrote:

Your problem is you need to be more positive like me!!!!!!

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#3) On November 04, 2008 at 6:49 PM, TheBubbleBoy (< 20) wrote:

TL;DR

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#4) On November 04, 2008 at 7:59 PM, abitare (99.31) wrote:

FYI - Ron Paul on CNN today:

 

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#5) On November 04, 2008 at 9:27 PM, Tastylunch (29.89) wrote:

You certainly aren't a gloom and doomer at all, Ares. I feel very  bad for people who can't tell the difference between what you do and the crazy guy yelling on the street corner. Gloom and doomers rant irrationally heedless of facts.They are no different really than sunshiney Bulls in their mindset, just different in their POV.

You OTOH provide evidence for what happens to be a severe bear case in a provovative fashion. Reasonably intelligent and intellectually flexible people can tell the difference even if they may not always agree with you.

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#6) On November 04, 2008 at 9:52 PM, johnw106 (61.35) wrote:

This is nothing more than another left wing rant. As the little old lady used to ask "wheres the beef?".

Democrats have been known as whiners and doom and gloom the Earth is being destroyed cry babys since the first Republican cave man picked up a stick that was on fire from a lightning strike and brought it back to camp. "The smoke will surely be bad for the enviroment lets stick to bugs and grubs not cooked meat".

Move out of the Citys and go back to an agraian society? Perhaps we should give up TV and computers and rely on town criers for our daily news while we are at it. Using electricity isnt good for the enviroment and buying oil is evil.

This is nothing more than 1960's era radical left wing drivel repackaged as new and improved neo radical left wing drivel.

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#7) On November 04, 2008 at 11:39 PM, DarkToast (90.86) wrote:

"We'll have to inhabit the terrain of North America differently -- in traditional towns, villages, cities (scaled smaller, to a lower energy diet), as well as a productive agricultural landscape that will require more attention from live human beings (and maybe help from our friends, the animals)."

Our friends, the animals. This made me laugh. 

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#8) On November 05, 2008 at 12:50 AM, awallejr (80.08) wrote:

That video of Schiff was almost as bad as the one of Cafferty going off on Palin.  He is totally babbling.  He argues we should abolish controls, while it was the deregulating that caused the problem to begin with.  I wish he would just stop being given the air time at this point. 

Ares give more Roubini videos, at least he isn't nuts.

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#9) On November 05, 2008 at 1:58 AM, Tastylunch (29.89) wrote:

Oh n/m you were quoting Kunstler, you weren't referrig to yourself. :-)

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#10) On November 05, 2008 at 4:36 AM, EnergyCzar79 (52.65) wrote:

Ares has a point. The move to a more localized economy is inevitable. Not because of any slanted ideology, but from the simple fact that a cheap energy source is dwindling in an expanding global population.

 

It is not without precedent, however. I refer you to the Plague of Europe.

 

Prior to the Plague there was only the aristocracy and the serfs. When the "cheap energy" of the serfs was wiped out by the Plague, the serfs became "free agents." Their labor was sorely needed by all in power. From that point forward the world was introduced to the "Middle Class" and the notion of "Social Mobility."

 

We still have the aristocracy, and we still have the down-trodden, but the world has relied on the "Middle Class" for stability ever since.

 

I agree that a return to a more localized form of society is what the future holds. I just hope we can get there without civil unrest, or worse, civil war.

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#11) On November 05, 2008 at 5:13 AM, EnergyCzar79 (52.65) wrote:

An Addendum:

 

You can dress the move to a more localized economy any way you want.

 

Flaming Liberal: It was our idea to return to mother Earth and be in touch with Nature.

 

Rabid Conservative: It was our idea to cut out-of-control spending habits and make due with what we have.

 

Whatever...

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#12) On November 05, 2008 at 7:44 AM, abitare (99.31) wrote:

ALCON,

Thank you for the replies.

Bubbleboy,

A.D.D.? lol. It is only one page? I would have to guess you are not much on an academic?

Alstry,
I think it is fair to say “we are keeping it real”

Tastylunch,
No doubt, the crowd of “doom and gloom” callers has gone quiet lately with my rise into #1 spot in points. But many Americans still cannot fathom the current circumstance, and are still locked into the old paradigm.

johnw106,

I like your reply and it is not totally off base. But I like Kunstler, you have to read a couple of his posts and watch his video at TED to get the larger idea and agenda behind him. You cannot take this one post and make an ACCURATE call of JK.

DarkToast,

We can all agree, that we like animals, they taste delicious.

Awallejr,

I hope you become a Bear sooner then later. We will know the market has bottomed when you are uber-bearish. Meanwhile, Schiff has made the most accurate calls of any talking head on TV. Infact I am going to post: A Tribute to Peter Schiff in your honor! Deregulation was part of the problem, but it is small considered to damage that has been caused by the corrupt private cartel the FED.

EnergyCzar79,
Aligned here:
I just hope we can get there without civil unrest, or worse, civil war.

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#13) On November 05, 2008 at 11:10 AM, jegr5347 (< 20) wrote:

Blame the Fed all you want. The Fed is just a reactionary institution trying to clean up after the unsustainable policies of our federal goverment.

The Republicans had a frat party with my vote for 8 years. We gave them the house, senate, the executive and supreme court and look what we got in return. In public they portray themselves as the anti liberals and in private they have orgies with the Democrats. The are for conservatism only out of convenience and until SHTF.

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#14) On November 05, 2008 at 11:50 AM, awallejr (80.08) wrote:

Ares all my picks are FIVE YEAR plays.  You keep your portfolio AS IS today and I will do the same with mine and I guarantee mine will have crushed yours five years from now.The accumulating dividends alone will do that.

And please, we've been down this road too many times where I am just repeating myself.  Lower interests were a part of the problem, but I have told you over and over that had they left the regs alone with the leverage rates and kept non banks OUT of the mortgage we wouldn't be facing this crisis now.  Greed greed greed.  Chant that nightly please. 

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