The way I organise my picks is through the length of the pick. The picks that I am uncertain of I give a 3-week or 3-month rating, If I feel pretty good about a pick I'll give it a 1 year rating and if I am dead certain it gets the 5 year tag.
Looking through the picks I have made so far it seems that I would be much better off if I eliminate the 3-week/3-month picks and only stick with the ones that I feel warrant 5-year status.
Unfortunately it is fun to hit homeruns with short term picks that are riskier/I am uncertain about.
So CAPS what do you think? Guns or butter? Less fun and better score or keep trying to hit the home runs?