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Reduced Obama Enthusiasm = Romney Presidency?

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November 06, 2012 – Comments (15)

Four years ago there was great excitement in the air and many Americans shared strong feelings that they were going to be part of history by casting a vote for Barack Obama, an eloquent speaker, political superstar, and first black president of the United States. People cried at campaign rallies upon hearing his message of hope and change. They recalled having goosebumps casting their vote and saw a brighter future on the horizon.

Fast forward to today, and the presidential election feels much different. The economy has been struggling. Food and oil prices have climbed appreciably, as has the cost of healthcare. The excitement surrounding Obama has been tempered greatly. This may be enough to give Romney the 2012 election.

-Rally 

15 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On November 06, 2012 at 10:07 AM, edwjm (99.87) wrote:

Popular vote perhaps, but not the electoral college.

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#2) On November 06, 2012 at 11:40 AM, RallyCry (< 20) wrote:

I think it will be interesting to see how Ohio turns out. It seems like it might shift the tide to one side or another.

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#3) On November 06, 2012 at 1:43 PM, awallejr (79.68) wrote:

Well this time tomorrow we will actually know.  Pointless to prgonosticate now on the results.  My view thereafter:

Romney= bear market/recession

Obama= continued bull market with slowly improving growth (unless the Norquistites decide to totally torpedo the Country in pursuit of Grover's agenda.

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#4) On November 06, 2012 at 2:28 PM, RallyCry (< 20) wrote:

 awallejr, following your logic, it's just as pointless to prognosticate now on the market's path after the election. Ultimately, we are dealing with unknowns but I'll humor you a  post-election prediction.

If the Senate is still under Democrat control - coupled with a  Republican house, no matter who the president is, gridlock will  continue to rule Washington. I actually prefer it that way. Politicians should take a page from doctor's Hippocratic Oath.

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#5) On November 06, 2012 at 3:01 PM, awallejr (79.68) wrote:

You may very well be correct Rally.  Personally I am of the view that Congress is a "broken" branch.

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#6) On November 06, 2012 at 3:13 PM, drgroup (69.33) wrote:

Romney: 53% popular: 321 Electoral

Obrady: 46% popular: Electoral; not enough

Romney will use executive orders to work around Reid. No worries...

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#7) On November 06, 2012 at 4:55 PM, Schmacko (55.64) wrote:

@) #6 321 Electoral college votes for Romney would mean he wins every single "battle ground state" + Pennsylvania, which is beyond unrealistic.

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#8) On November 06, 2012 at 6:16 PM, HarryCaraysGhost (99.63) wrote:

I'm going out an a limb and saying Gary Johnson wins it in a landslide.

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#9) On November 07, 2012 at 1:53 AM, awallejr (79.68) wrote:

I was tempted to vote for him Harry, but my Anti-Romneyism won out.  He so blew it when he picked Ryan as VP.  Condi Rice would have given him the win. I really do give good advice, and he should have taken it.

But on the brightside the bull market will continue since Uncle Ben doesn't have to worry about being fired.   Smart money should be buying the market now not selling.  Buy on those dips.  I know I will.

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#10) On November 07, 2012 at 7:40 AM, drgroup (69.33) wrote:

I concede...I truley underestimated the ignorance and stupidity of the american people. You wanted this monster, not it's up to you to keep him in his dark dingy cave away from civilized people...

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#11) On November 07, 2012 at 10:20 AM, RallyCry (< 20) wrote:

I am frustrated by people who say "oh, I live in X state, I don't vote, because my vote doesn't count." I think that this attitude toward voting sucks. Believing a given state may be a shoe-in for a candidate completely discounts and distorts the message a particular margin of victory sends to the President.

If you win in a landslide, this is an endorsement of your agenda, progress, ability, etc... where if the margin is much tighter this should speak volumes too. Sadly, I'm not sure that many candidates or voters see it this way, but I'd like to think they do.

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#12) On November 07, 2012 at 12:12 PM, Mega (99.96) wrote:

drgroup (67.52) wrote:

"I concede...I truly underestimated the ignorance and stupidity of the american people."

Actually you vastly overestimated your own predictive abilities. Something to know about yourself that could be relevant when investing.

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#13) On November 07, 2012 at 3:01 PM, Schmacko (55.64) wrote:

@ #8

Well he didn't get the landslide, but I don't think Gary Johnson should feel too bad about pulling 1.1 million votes.  It's less than the 5% he wanted but still more than any other libertarian presidential candidate has pulled and double what they did 4 years ago.

I think he actually would have done better if the election wasn't predicted by national polls and talking heads to be close.

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#14) On November 07, 2012 at 7:36 PM, HarryCaraysGhost (99.63) wrote:

@ Schmacko

Completely agree.

I've been voting for third party candidates since I was first eligible to vote twenty ot years ago.

It's nice seeing growing numbers, maybe one day elections won't be so controlled and contrived that the media and the candidates with the largest warchest dictate the will of the American people (whether they know it or not.)

 

 

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#15) On November 08, 2012 at 8:04 AM, drgroup (69.33) wrote:

  MegaShort... predicting stocks and peoples mental capacity are completely different. You make a clever point though.

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