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Seeking Alpha on PDO article of June 2, 2008 says Small stock with Big Growth

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June 06, 2008 – Comments (1) | RELATED TICKERS: PDO

Pyramid Oil: Small Stock, Big Growth
by: Joshua Hayes posted on: June 02, 2008 | about stocks: PDO    
http://seekingalpha.com/article/79787-pyramid-oil-small-stock-big-growth?source=yahoo

A stock that has been making me a lot of money recently and is a stock you should be watching is a small stock not many know about. Pyramid Oil Company (PDO) is engaged in the exploration and development of crude oil and natural gas primarily in California.

When I go long stocks, I demand major growth, and I have that here. However, this is not the most safe position. Making sure that your style matches this style is very important before going long this gem.

Growth is the most important thing for me as EPS and sales growth have proven to be the major driver behind the best stocks ever. When it comes to EPS and sales growth, PDO has it covered. EPS growth has been 89%, over 999%, and over 999% the past three quarters. Sales growth has been 1%, 49%, 61%, and 92% the past four quarters.

This growth gives it a steady EPS growth rate of 39% with a P/E ratio of 29, which is in the mid range of the 3-50 zone of the P/E level the past five years. However, P/E ratio has never proven to correlate to history's biggest winners. EPS and sales growth have proven to be more important.

Other areas that light up a major interest for me about this stock is that management still owns 63% of the shares outstanding, which means that they are still highly invested in this company and expect higher growth. Even though there is only one mutual fund involved in the stock currently, I am sure that as the growth continues to increase we will see a lot more funds get involved in this high quality stocks.

The ratings in IBD are incredible with a 97 EPS rating, 99 group RS rating, a 99 RS rating, an A for SMR (sales, profit margins, and return on equity), an A for accumulation/distribution, a 99 for composite rating, and an A for timeliness rating. It simply doesn’t get any better than that.

I already have a 98% gain in the stock from my first purchase, but I do want to buy more of this stock and will pick up more if it can either create a base lasting five weeks and then break out on huge volume, or if it can pull back to the 50 day moving average and then bounce on strong volume.

Even though I use technical analysis (click to enlarge image) to make my actual purchases, you are more than welcome to tackle the stock any way you like. I am just bringing to your attention a potential future monster stock. Fundamentals account for 80% of the reason for me to go long a stock, but I have found technicals are best for me when deciding to actually take the trade.

Disclosure: I am long PDO.

1 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On June 06, 2008 at 10:05 AM, EPS100Momentum (71.56) wrote:

Guess my prediction of $100 oil is now out of the question.

Morgan Stanley Says WTI Crude May Reach $150 by July on Freight

By Nesa Subrahmaniyan

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20602099&sid=aDTcV34vBOrU&refer=energy

June 6 (Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley, the second-biggest U.S. securities firm, said current shipping patterns suggested that U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude oil may reach $150 a barrel by July 4.

Middle East oil shipments are similar to the end of the third quarter last year, when Morgan Stanley had predicted an ``oil price spike'' based on projections of inventory draws in the Atlantic Basin, Ole Slorer, the bank's analyst wrote in a research note today on commodity shipping.

``That same pattern is now again upon us, and we are making an identical call,'' Slorer wrote. This time ``we are starting from a much tighter Atlantic Basin inventory backdrop.''

U.S. oil inventories are down by 35 million barrels since March, a decline that led prices higher. Imports have fallen by 20 million barrels since March, he wrote.

While Atlantic Basin inventories are low, Asia is getting record volumes of oil from the Middle East, he wrote.

Crude oil for July delivery rose as much as $1.03, or 0.8 percent, to $128.82 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange today. It was at $128.62 at 2:28 p.m. Singapore time. Nymex crude futures reached a record $135.09 a barrel on May 22 and are up 95 percent from a year earlier.

To contact the reporter on this story: Nesa Subrahmaniyan in Singapore at nesas@bloomberg.net

Last Updated: June 6, 2008 02:40 EDT Report this comment

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