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Should I patent this thing or what?

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February 08, 2012 – Comments (16) | RELATED TICKERS: HOV , BZH , FOE

Recently, I slightly adjusted my stock-picking method (as reported here) - and here is what I see so far.

Since second part of December (I had a gap in CAPS stock picking from 12/6 to 12/19), I picked 49 stocks, with 40 of them still being open (9 closed).

Out of those 49 stocks, only 4 are losing to the market:

EXEL -2.6 points

BFR -10.3 points

RBCN -1.0 point

QUICK -12.3 points

In other words, that's a 92% accuracy without red thumbing any inverse ETF's, crappy OB stocks, and other commonly used accuracy pumping methods.

Best performers are HOV at +125 points, followed by BZH at +49 points, FOE at +40, SRZ at +27 points, TSON and NLST at +23 points, ...

Am I onto something here or is it all just a chk999 effect?

 

Disclaimer: Do not try this at home. Every time I blogged about my "successes in the past, I ended up losing a few thousands CAPS points within matter of days...

16 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On February 08, 2012 at 1:16 PM, Teacherman1 (43.04) wrote:

Before you patent it, show us in detail how you do it, so we can "steal" it and get a 92% accuracy rate too.

Some of us could really use it::).

Or was chk999 your system?

Good luck in 2012.

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#2) On February 08, 2012 at 1:26 PM, leohaas (31.35) wrote:

Probably too late for a patent application, since you already published about it! So share your details here, so we can copy it and make lots of money as well ;)

 

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#3) On February 08, 2012 at 1:32 PM, dragonLZ (99.31) wrote:

Teacherman1, good luck to you too.

p.s.

No problem, I will gladly share my system with you, for a small fee... :)

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#4) On February 08, 2012 at 1:33 PM, dragonLZ (99.31) wrote:

Forgot to mention that these 49 picks on average outperform the market 11 points per pick...

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#5) On February 08, 2012 at 4:15 PM, dragonLZ (99.31) wrote:

So share your details here, so we can copy it and make lots of money as well ;)

 leohaas, please see the comment about the "small" fee I will be charging to reveal my new method.

If still interested, please let me know. :)

Good luck. 

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#6) On February 08, 2012 at 4:25 PM, RallyCry (< 20) wrote:

Hint....I see some interesting similarities in the shape of the charts on your picks....they all look like big elongated u's. Do you accept paypal?...lol

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#7) On February 08, 2012 at 5:50 PM, FoolWB66 (< 20) wrote:

Don't care about the method. Just email your picks on a monthly basis.  Yearly automatic subscription renewal works best for me.  Fool-on. 

 

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#8) On February 08, 2012 at 8:16 PM, portefeuille (99.61) wrote:

well done.

something nice happened in late December indeed ...

 

performance of my "fund" (see comment #101 here and comment #147 here).

March 8, 2010 - December 19, 2011: -19.7%.

March 8, 2010 - February 8, 2012: 50.5%.

 

80.3 -> 150.5 is a gain of around 87%.

yeay.

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#9) On February 09, 2012 at 4:40 AM, rancidx3 (40.09) wrote:

How will your new method perform when the market drops?

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#10) On February 09, 2012 at 9:29 AM, SkepticalOx (99.50) wrote:

Put your money where your mou... I mean, model is. See if it makes money in a real moneyed portfolio. Sample size is too small right now though if you only bought the stocks less than 2 months ago.

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#11) On February 09, 2012 at 10:12 AM, dragonLZ (99.31) wrote:

 RallyCry FoolWB66, Don't worry, I'll put you on my mailing list. PayPal and all major credit cards welcome. :)

portefeuille, 80%! Man, you are making my model look weak. :) Great job. Congrats.

rancidx3, Are you sure market will drop? My model is telling me this market will go up forever.

SkepticalOx, Real life results are coming. However, I won't show them if they will give you a hart attack if they show similar results as my CAPS' picks?

p.s. 49 picks is too small of a sample size for you?

Btw., as an update for you, RBCN was up 4% yesterday, meaning only 3 (not 4 as I reported) of my 49 latest picks were losing to the market. 

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#12) On February 09, 2012 at 12:39 PM, SkepticalOx (99.50) wrote:

It's the length of time... 2 months that's too short. Is it reproduceable over another few months (or depending however long the timeframe of this model is set for)? 

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#13) On February 09, 2012 at 12:54 PM, dragonLZ (99.31) wrote:

Oh, OK, I see what you mean.

I guess we'll see. When I was picking these stocks, I thought they are good plays for 3-6 months.

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#14) On February 10, 2012 at 1:29 PM, CCharing (89.60) wrote:

how do I join this newsletter?

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#15) On February 10, 2012 at 2:42 PM, dragonLZ (99.31) wrote:

 CCharing, Two of my 49 picks are down 20% today, so you might be better off subscribing to The Motley Fool's Global Gains newsletter (they are down only 50 % points when compared to S&P 500).   :)

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#16) On February 11, 2012 at 9:44 PM, CCharing (89.60) wrote:

well as long as you keep making your picks on caps timely maybe I won't have to pay to subscribe.

At any rate, if you are really selling the method for some $$ I still might be interested..

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