Use access key #2 to skip to page content.

alstry (35.42)

Some Clarification on Alstrynomics

Recs

19

June 30, 2009 – Comments (12)

1.  Alstry is not a doom and gloomer.  Yes he is forecasting 50% unemployment, but any idiot can see we are already OVER 30% using historical comparisons.  U6 is over 16% and over 30 million Americans are collecting welfare which is approximately 20% of the working population.  In The Great Depression, these people would have been considered unemployed because welfare did not exist.  Further, recently, millions of Americans have simply had their status changed from unemployed to welfare recipient once their unemployment benefits ran out.

 

2.  Alstry is not calling for the end of the world....simply a radical change in the World's economic and political systems as we know it due to a systematic insolvency.

 

3.  During periods of radical economic change, the liklihood for war, pandemic, or other large scale event is statisically heightened.....it is just the way it is and there is nothing we can do about it.

 

4.  Prepare means preparation for change, not preparation for the end of the world.

 

5.  9.09 signals the month by when Alstry forecasts his MOAP, mother of all predictions will come true.  It is not the end of the world, simply an event that will change your life forever and you will know it when you see it.

 

6.  When Alstry forecasts 70-90% of America will go bankrupt, it is not without historical precedent nor significant thought.  It is simply an analysis based on a current review of a number of factors, including the fact that over 70% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck, not to mention many businesses and state and local governments have very little savings and lots of debt.

 

7.  Alstry is not a genius.......simply a guy who is really good at taking tests without studying too hard.  The two are very different skills.

 

8. Where Alstry separates from most CAPs players is that he is an expert on Fraud.  As an attorney with years of litigation experience, including many cases involving fraud at the highest levels, I was able to appreciate things that most of you will only learn about in upcoming months.  Again, it is not the end of the world, simply a sharp challenge to existing paradigms as you know them or perceive to know them.

 

9.  Alstry writes in the third person because there really is no Alstry.  He is a creation unto his own by the collective thought of those that Alstry's creator interacts with on a daily basis...including ex CEOs of public companies, CFOs, Attorneys, Physicians, Business Owners, Medical Administrators to identify a few.  It is based on those interactions, and a lot of reading, that the character of Alstry was distilled and clarified.  Like any character, he is an evolving creature.

 

10.  Now Alstry is slowly becoming optimistic. But not for reasons many of you will be able to comprehend at the present.  He sees very positve changes ahead including amazing technological advances.  The issue with change is it often involves destruction such as the loss of old pardigm industries and jobs.  It would be irresponsible of Alstry to discuss the optimism without warning of the change.  Most of you will be dramaticlally affected by the change.

At this point, we are just ramping into the change process, or period Alstrynomics identifies as Deconstruction/Concentric Contraction.  It will end, but not likely for a long while.  It will seem like an eternity for many of you as your careers as you know them will come to an end such as the following:

Gannett to axe more than 1,000 jobs: WSJ

But don't fear.......in time, new opportunities will be created.  I am just unsure exactly what at the present.  In the mean time, prepare for the change.  Embrace the change.  And help those around you.....what is coming will be radical and creative thinking will be imperitive.

For those who think this is simply a cycle, you are mistaken.  It is the beginning of revolutionary change.  A change embraced by your political leaders and imposed upon you with little consideration of you input.  Let's hope they apply opportunities in a fair and equitable fashion.  If the current behavior is any indication, most of us are in for a very rough ride...unless we demand more input.

Prepare and start to open your eyes....9.09 is not just Alstry's rhyme.

 

 

 

12 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On June 30, 2009 at 7:57 PM, mts4243369 (< 20) wrote:

I don't agree exaclty. But there is some truth burried deep down in there. Most of which is radical change, hyper inflation and massive taxation. GLD for the win.

Report this comment
#2) On June 30, 2009 at 9:07 PM, checklist34 (99.70) wrote:

 apple pie for the win!

Report this comment
#3) On June 30, 2009 at 9:18 PM, Seano67 (33.13) wrote:

 5.  9.09 signals the month by when Alstry forecasts his MOAP, mother of all predictions will come true.  It is not the end of the world, simply an event that will change your life forever and you will know it when you see it.

 

Alright Alstry, enough with playing coy. When are you going to lay this MOAP upon us? 

Report this comment
#4) On June 30, 2009 at 9:31 PM, alstry (35.42) wrote:

Seano,

As stated, you will know it when you see it.

Here is a refreshingly realistic perspective on the current jobs picture:












Report this comment
#5) On June 30, 2009 at 10:23 PM, oshiri (< 20) wrote:

Oh golly, you betcha Alstry . . . Your 9.09 prediction will indeed be helped along by the new U.S. Senator from the great state of Minnesota -- a super majority for the ruling party. Ain't nothin' gonna stop'em now!

And if you didn't read about it . . .

GM to pull out of New United Motor Manufacturing Plant in Fremont, CA
From the San Jose Mercury News http://www.mercurynews.com

Elaine Redd, a spokeswoman for General Motors said, GM's involvement will end after the plant stops making the Pontiac Vibe - a Toyota Matrix look-alike - something the company previously has said would occur at the end of August. As part of it's bankruptcy reorganization, GM intends to halt producing Pontiac vehicles altogether.

The 5.3 million-square-foot facility, which built the Chevrolet Nova as its first vehicle, employs 5,440 people, according to its Web site. Many of those workers have been alternatively buoyed and deflated by recent rumors circulating about the plant's future.

Report this comment
#6) On June 30, 2009 at 10:57 PM, alstry (35.42) wrote:

After paying State and Federal Taxes...buying a beer in L.A. is going to be expensive......REALLY EXPENSIVE!!!!!

L.A. County sales tax jumping to 9.75%

But maybe we could buy beers with these.....

State Controller John Chiang, who is essentially California's banker, has said he will begin issuing IOUs on Thursday if a budget agreement is not reached. That would delay payments to vendors and to others who rely on the state, including the elderly, the poor and disabled.

http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-budget1-2009jul01,0,7817109.story

Or we could just go to Vegas and possibly see a lot of Russians.....

In Moscow alone, according to numbers from the Assn. for Gambling Business Development, there were 38 casinos and about 500 slot halls. The vast network of gambling fed about $2 billion in taxes a year into Russia's budget, the organization estimates. The closure leaves as many as 350,000 people jobless overnight, the association said.

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-russia-casinos1-2009jul01,0,753321.story

Is it just Alstry, or is a pretty clear trend developing around the world?????

 

Report this comment
#7) On June 30, 2009 at 11:59 PM, jddubya (< 20) wrote:

1.  Alstry is not a doom and gloomer.  Yes he is forecasting 50% unemployment, but any idiot can see we are already OVER 30% using historical comparisons.

You truly can't see how your delivery is what gets some folks knickers in a twist, can you?  So then those that agree with you are idiots?  What about the rest of them?   You should use a less degrading term... something along the lines of "...obvious to the most casual observer"

Report this comment
#8) On July 01, 2009 at 12:02 AM, alstry (35.42) wrote:

jd,

Of course I see it.....

But that wouldn't be Alstry...would it?????

Report this comment
#9) On July 01, 2009 at 3:51 AM, ati2ud (31.70) wrote:

wow, no caps, no bold, no !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  a rec for a nice easy read

Report this comment
#10) On July 01, 2009 at 8:42 AM, VintageCat (< 20) wrote:

 4.  Prepare means preparation for change, not preparation for the end of the world. 

I truly get number 4.  Being ready/open to change is probably a key component to preparing for anything in life.  

Yet in lieu of any foreknowledge and the chance to adjust accordingly before it's at one's doorstep, sudden course changes, reversals, paradigm shifts what have you, very well might be the end of the world as most people know it. Many caught unaware or trapped by circumstance will not be able to cope or shift appropriately and will be prone to act out in ways that are unpredictable, possibly violently.  

Preparing for that possibility?  I have no idea how to accomplish that other than taking the boat out for an extensive sail should things take a turn for the worst.

 

Report this comment
#11) On July 01, 2009 at 1:07 PM, ReadEmAnWeep (80.72) wrote:

"Alstry is not a genius.......simply a guy who is really good at taking tests without studying too hard.  The two are very different skills."

 

 Ha ha, same here!

 

Report this comment
#12) On July 01, 2009 at 2:55 PM, cudakhan (< 20) wrote:

Alstry is a genius!  Any half witted person that reads the news already knows that we are in the midst of change.  Only I do not see it all coming to an end in September, the house of hards have already started to tumble, the house is on fire, only you think the smoke is due to grandma's smoke eliminator breaking down. 

Report this comment

Featured Broker Partners


Advertisement