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JimVanMeerten (56.04)

Take a gamble on Bally



May 10, 2011 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: BYI.DL

While screening on Barchart for stocks having current upward momentum I can across Bally Technologies (BYI).  The stock looks like a turnaround situation.  35% of revenue comes from new gaming equipment and at the present time new casinos aren't coming on line.  In a few years as the economy recovers that's where the turnaround may set in.  The rest of the revenue stream is from gaming operations and gaming related software and systems, these revenue streams look more stable.  Price momentum is why I'm looking at this issue.

Bally Technologies (BYI) formerly Alliance Gaming Corp. is a diversified, worldwide gaming company that designs, manufactures and distributes gaming machines and computerized monitoring systems for gaming machines, owns and manages a significant installed base of gaming machines, owns and operates casinos and in Germany, is a full-service supplier of wall-mounted gaming machines and amusement games. The company has achieved a leading market position for each of its business units.

Factors to consider:

Technical Factors:

1 - 100% Barchart short term technical buy signal

2 - Trend Spotter buy signal

3 - Above its 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages

4 - 6 new highs and up 5.13% in the last month

5 - Relative Strength Index 71.47% and rising

6 - Trades around 40.51 with a 50 day moving average of 37.34

Fundamental Factors:

1 - 16 Wall Street brokerages are following this issue

2 - Brokerage analysts have issued 6 strong buy, 4 buy, 8 hold and an under perform recommendation for their clients

3 - Sales are expected to decrease by 3.90% this year but increase by 11.30% next year

4 - Earnings should decrease by 16.10% this year but turn around and increase by 37.20% next year and 15.00% annually for the next 5 years

5 - Hopefully, this turn around in the direction of revenue and earnings will also equate to an increase in price

General Investor Sentiment:

1 - Wide and positive measured by opinions expressed on Motley Fool where 228 readers have an opinion on this issue

2 - The CAPS members vote 128 to 46 for this stock to beat the market

3 - The more experienced All Stars vote 38 to 16 for the same result

Summary:  This issue is not a sure thing. All assumptions seem to imply that if the economy turns around new gambling locations will come on line and old ones may be remodeled and expanded.  If that happens they will need new equipment and Bally is positioned to provide that.

Jim Van Meerten is an analyst for  Marketocracy Capital Management.  He shares his knowledge and experience from over 40 years of investing in stocks, mutual funds and ETFs on  in his daily blog -- Barchart Portfolio Blogs.

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