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alstry (< 20)

The American Country Club Losing Members



August 05, 2009 – Comments (7)

Think of America as a HUGE country club.  We all have to pay our dues to keep the golf course and club house up.  We have a great security system with defense and even a great health facility on the grounds with some of the best doctors in the world.  We even spend a lot on charity such as welfare, social security, and unemployment benefits for our members who lose their jobs.  Because of our club, our town flourishes.  If it wasn't for our club, there would be no town.

But all of this comes at a price, $6.5 Trillion dollar per year collectively. If we come up short, we can borrow,  but than we all have to pitch in to make up the difference.  If enough members quit, the entire nut must be borne between a few members.

Right now millions of members are quitting due to job losses or wage cuts.  Fewer and fewer are paying dues as corporate profits evaporate.  Residential and Commercial RE prices are crashing at unprecedented rates gutting property tax revenues.  Sales tax receipts are way down too.  Further, our expenses are skyrocketing due to more and more of our members getting old requiring social security or losing their jobs needing unemployment payments or welfare.


The Lingle administration yesterday delivered written layoff notices to about 1,100 state workers who will lose their jobs in November because of the state's budget deficit.

Gov. Linda Lingle said she also met with her Cabinet about a second round of layoffs, since the administration will not know how much money will be saved by the initial layoffs because of seniority protections.

In a separate move, Lingle announced she is ordering 900 nonunion workers to take three furlough days a month starting in September.

The governor said hundreds of state workers also may soon be laid off. Rendell said that number is expected to be between 300 and 800, a figure to be announced Thursday or Friday.

These layoffs were based old budget estimates.  Now revenues are contracting even further across the nation.  Many more layoffs are likely from Cities, States, and other agencies such as the Postal Service that is about to make very large cuts.

Private Company layoff notices increased in July and preliminary retail numbers are contracting further resulting in lower sales tax receipts.

It is getting mathematically impossible for government to come close to fulfilling its promises to us because there is simply not enough money coming in....and trying to cut a $6.5 Trillion dollar budget cannot be done without massive pain to the economy.

In this environment, it is clear few municipalities are decent credit risks based on shrinking revenues and a negative outlook.  Moody's today lowered NJ's rating.  Expect a torrent of downgrades in upcoming weeks.

Pretty soon tough decisions are going to have to be made whether a city protects its citizens or pays its bondholders.  Hospitals will have to decide whether they treat patients or pay debt obligations.  School districts are in the same boat.

Nobody is talking about the GOVERNMENT CRASH...except Alstry and a few others.  If we don't retructure debt soon...there may be not many members left in our country club as few are getting jobs after they are fired.


7 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On August 05, 2009 at 7:10 PM, alstry (< 20) wrote:

WOW!!!! Lots of pain ahead!

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#2) On August 05, 2009 at 7:19 PM, alstry (< 20) wrote:

This could be Alstry!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Maybe because the government knows we are better off dead than alive since they know they can't pay us what we have been promised.

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#3) On August 05, 2009 at 9:53 PM, alstry (< 20) wrote:

RIP....The Club just lost a few more members.

Natomas Unified lays off 59 teachers and counselorsBy Melody Gutierrez - Published: 4:07 pm Natomas Unified School District trustees approved a resolution Wednesday to layoff 59 teachers and counselors just days before the start of the school year. Report this comment
#4) On August 06, 2009 at 6:59 AM, JerseyShoreGirl (< 20) wrote:

Gosin looked like the wind was knocked out of him while he reported on the commercial real estate situation.  "We're just going into that black hole" .. sounds good!  "Banks still have $4T+ of this "stuff on their books" .. great!  He hit the nail on the head when he said that prices and demand when never really in sync.  Values were not driven by demand; they we're driven by liquidity.

As far as "Git-er-done-dude," he knows his stuff .. and I suspect it won't be long until we'll see public demonstrations like this.   How sad is this picture or what?  Alstry you should put together a more civil demonstration of these statistics .. (I found his pounding on the printer very distracting).  Someone simply looking straight into the camera, ratting off these stats would be very convincing for the people who have their heads in the sand .. more need to wake up.  Just because things seem relatively 'normal' right now doesn't mean the perfect storm isn't building.

As far as crashing the econ being the goal .. sure as heck seems like it .. NOT ONE THING THIS ADMIN HAS DONE/IS DOING GIVES ME ONE OUNCE OF CONFIDENCE THEY ARE TRYING TO PRESERVE CAPITALISM!  I pray for my children's futures.

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#5) On August 06, 2009 at 9:09 AM, Rebkong1 (< 20) wrote:

that's one of the funniest things i have seen put on these boards..funny but true

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#6) On August 06, 2009 at 11:08 AM, givmeabreak (29.07) wrote:

That guy is classic. What a swing he's got. I don't think he whiffed once. Absolutley hilarious.

And he knew his stuff inside and out.

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#7) On August 06, 2009 at 11:43 AM, alstry (< 20) wrote:

Pretty amazing.....especially in light of the nonsense Benny the B and Timmy the G are spouting out.

And their banker buddies getting billions in bonuses?

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