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alstry (35.49)

The Biggest Convex Reflector EVER!!!!!

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March 13, 2009 – Comments (13)

A huge Convex Reflector Formation has developed in response the the Spector Vectors breaking through the series of smaller reflectors set up between 7000 and 7200 on the DOW.  Those slimy buggers managed to accomplish an amazing feat. 

That said, this formation is unlike anything discussed in the past.  It is very large and very powerful and has the capability to supercharge the dual carb injector accellerator into a reversal like we have not seen in a long long time.

What make this Reflector so different is its thickness between 7200 and 7500.  Is it possible it won't repel the Spectors???  Sure....but not very likely from this practioner of Alstrynomic's new emerging work on Techno Trance Spector Vector Analysis.

Not to be one who just spouts off, in the last two days, Alstry added over 30 negative picks and a few green thumbs on companies that I think might go down less than the market such as MSFT due to its strong cash position.  Is it an "all in" move??? no....but I have increased my open interest by 50% as I am shooting to reach a rating of 100 and my goal to surpass ALL of the Techno Fairies scores.

What distinguishes Techno Trance Analysis is that it factors fundementals into the equation.  Alstrynomics core competency is fundementals and applying it to Techno Trance analysis is a new and emerging area for Alstry and The Institute of Alstrynomics.  As a result, NO REAL LIFE DECISIONS should be made upon it or anything related to Techno Trance Analysis.....at least for now.

Is Alstry calling THE TOP....he is calling a TOP among a long parade of decreasing future TOPS as we move forward.  Can the Spector Vectors get by this very thick new Convex Reflectors beyond its 7500 physical silver back coating......it is possible, but these buggers will have to have more strength then Alstrynomics psychotropic spectrometer is currently reading.

I would show you charts, but since spector vectors are translucent in nature, they wouldn't show up.  You have to be an experienced student of Alstrynomics to see them.  Alstry is working on a way to do a better job presenting his Techno Trance Analysis in a visual format, but has yet to devise a system.

At the end of the day, we will really know if Techno Trance Analysis is the best technical tool on CAPs if Alstry can surpass the score of every Techno Fairy in CAPs.  Between now and that accomplishment, it is simply conjecture, speculation, and hyperbole.....

13 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On March 13, 2009 at 11:28 AM, RodneyFarva (< 20) wrote:

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#2) On March 13, 2009 at 11:49 AM, Option1307 (29.74) wrote:

Swinging for the fences this early hu? Good luck.

At least you green-thumbed some ETF's as well, props for that one...

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#3) On March 13, 2009 at 11:54 AM, barich1 (69.63) wrote:

I used to really enjoy your posts, delivering the facts about why our economy is screwed, reminding me not to get bullish. It was informative and useful. All the techno fairy spector vector fiction is silly. Good vibe has quieted down, you can quit with this junk.

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#4) On March 13, 2009 at 12:12 PM, alstry (35.49) wrote:

Barich,

I understand your frustration.  Really I do.  But believe it or not, in the past I was pure fundemental analyst and dismissed technicals completely.   However, whether you or I like it or not, a lot of people use technical analysis to move serious quantities of money when making purchasing and  selling decisions.

Call it what you want...Head and Shoulders, Cup and Saucer, Elliot Wave, or Altrynomics Techn Trance Analysis.  Is it the answer, of  course not....but it is a tool to place whatever weight you think is appropriate.

Don't forget, in addition to blogging, CAPS is a game.  Quite frankly, there is not much facts for me to blog about that doesn't simply repeat what I have been blogging about for the past year.  If you havn't heeded the warning by now, it is unlikely anything more I say will help. 

As far as the game goes, there are 4 or 5 Techno Fairies in the top ten.  My goal is to surpass them all in points as well as ratings.  Don't put too much weight on Techno Trance analysis....view it in perspective with the strong fundemental foundation I have provided over the past year supported by thousands and thousands pieces of factual evidence to back it up.

If Technical Analysis turns you off, as it did me for a long long time......dismiss these blogs completely as garbage.  But if you like to try to analyze the emotional aspect of the market....wouldn't it be nice if someone could combine aspects of both fundemental analysis and technical analysis to form a NEW  SCHOOL OF INVESTING????

Currently, that is what the Institue of Alstrynomics is attempting to achieve.  Can it be done???  Who knows.......  but the best  way to judge its success as far as I can tell is by Alstry's score....at least for now.

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#5) On March 13, 2009 at 1:00 PM, barich1 (69.63) wrote:

What? You mean all this stuff about techno trance spector vectors isn't just a spoof to make fun of TA? Now your pulling my leg too. I'm fine with people using TA as one tool in the box to help timing an entry on under valued stocks.

I'm all for you repeating the THEME of what you have been blogging about for the last year over and over, adding the new information as it comes out. For instance the new monthly unemployment numbers, layoffs, bankruptcies, etc. I get it but I need constant reminding to not try to catch the bottom and there are always new readers joining in that the info helps.

I guess I don't really think of CAPS as a game. I'm not competing against anybody. I'm trying to get useful info for my real portfolio and useing my caps account to play out positions that I either took or thought closely about taking.

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#6) On March 13, 2009 at 1:08 PM, GoodVibe4Ever (< 20) wrote:

Al wrote: "But believe it or not, in the past I was pure fundemental analyst and dismissed technicals completely.   However, whether you or I like it or not, a lot of people use technical analysis to move serious quantities of money when making purchasing and  selling decisions"

                                   ..........................

I've been told by one of my many identities that Al is a new believer in the thought of Altrynomics Techn Trance Analysis and I had to come to check for myself.

That's a smart man who doesn't let an old believe stand in the face of making money as well as Caps' point. To be the best, you have to beat the rest, right?

I would like to invite you to have your Alstrynomics theories and practices posted on on my own blogs so you can enlighten those misfortunate souls for your wisdom (not kidding or pulling your leg here, man). You will be welcome even if they hate you (probably you like that too).

We can team up you with your Alstrynomics and me with my Techn Trance Analysis. We can rock some grounds together. Don’t you think? :)

I guess I am in extra good mood today. What do you say about that, Al?

GoodVibe
TA fairy living in wonderland

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#7) On March 13, 2009 at 1:12 PM, alstry (35.49) wrote:

Barich,

If you are reading my blogs, I am still supporting them with facts riddled thoughout the main blog and the comments.  I will never stray from fundementals being the foundation of Alstrynomics.

All the symbols in my caps accounts are publicly traded symbols.  Need I say more?

As far as the game....if you are the BEST on CAPS.....you should also being doing pretty well in your real life portfolio....assuming your real life trading is consistent with your caps trading.

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#8) On March 13, 2009 at 1:37 PM, alstry (35.49) wrote:

Good Vibe,

If you notice EVERY Techno Trance call I have made has been negative or be in cash and stay on the sidelines.  It is because I think telling, suggesting, implying, or inferring that anyone should go long in this environment is beyond a risk level or perspective that I want to attach Alstry's or Alstrynomics or The Institute of Alstrynomics to...........

The world is slowly waking up that the primary driver of the World's economy over the last 8-10 years has been pretty much a ponzi scheme of ever increasing borrowing to keep things going.

One morning we are all going to wake up and realize this....it will either be by some unpredictable exogenous event like a war or some "unexpected" financial catastrophe.

It is not that I think this is going to happen....I am almost certain of it.  In the meantime, the current medium of exchange is currency....the current currency in circulation. 

As we speak, the money supply as Alstrynomics defines it...currency plus those assets that can be converted into currency is contracting at a historically high rate.

Evidence of this was yesterday's released record contraction in household wealth.  As I see it now, barring some radical government intervention, if we continue down the current path I have little doubt that the DOW will break 2000.

It is not that complicted nor a stretch to reach.  Revenues and Incomes are evaporating all around America right now.  Much of the recent basis for revenue and income was the creation of debt that many couldn't afford to really pay.

Now we are all waking up to this fact.  ALL OF US.  If you want to know what it may feel like when we all find out?????  Just listen to the interviews of Bernie Madoffs clients.

It is not a end of the world perspective....just an end of the system as we now know it when we find out that just about everything we put value on is heading towards or is financially bankrupt.

If you think you can trade this market both ways, all the power to you...I guess I don't think I am enough standard deviatioins smart enough or insightful enough to do it.

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#9) On March 13, 2009 at 1:48 PM, Gemini846 (57.17) wrote:

With your lowest position being 100 shares assuming it was in a $100 stock (given the market beatdown and all). It would take a $2M portfolio to replicate CAPS. Of course to keep the percentages right you'd have to get rid of all of the penny stocks that you could never get in and out of $10k without becomming your own pumper. Maybe you could get some parity at $200k.

While I've never read your blogs too seriously I think more people need to know how to spot fundamental changes. To identify what makes a company good, to identify the long term trends and then simply use the technicals to get in and out in line with those trends.

I took a "slot machine" long position in Ford at $0.95 that I'm pretty happy with. Dispite the rise of Citi I would never take that bet at $0.95 because dispite thier recent press releases they are insolvent.

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#10) On March 13, 2009 at 1:57 PM, GoodVibe4Ever (< 20) wrote:

If you notice EVERY Techno Trance call I have made has been negative or be in cash and stay on the sidelines.  It is because I think telling, suggesting, implying, or inferring that anyone should go long in this environment is beyond a risk level or perspective that I want to attach Alstry's or Alstrynomics or The Institute of Alstrynomics to...........

This is why I want you to add your inputs. You will not be there to agree but to disagree when your Alstrynomics doesn't match the mainstream views. Believe it or not, some people disagree with us in our blog and take the other side of the trade like GMX lately. We always welcome the other side’s inputs, ask for it, and never carry a scoreboard around. We can always disagree and both of us make money. Don't you think? I am sincere about my invitation. Use your style, ideas, wit, and experience and add it to the mix. I believe there's always room for improvement in both sides. You will be surprised to know that we agree about the long-term view while I look closely to short-term opportunities where I can make money every swing of the way and this is where TA helps me navigate the way.

........

It is not a end of the world perspective....just an end of the system as we now know it when we find out that just about everything we put value on is heading towards or is financially bankrupt.

I agree with you about that 100%. I believe there will be a new world order but that will not stop me from making money from the old system until I go into the new system with a lot of fire power and rule that world.

........

Here is our last room we opened yesterday. Come on! You know you're a helpful dude and would like to help in your own way.  

GoodVibe

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#11) On March 13, 2009 at 2:13 PM, angusthermopylae (39.61) wrote:

Oh Woe is Me!! 

You mean the Spector Vector and the Techno Trance-a-mah-jigitz is not real, but a hyperbole to point out the flaws in Technical Analysis?  Much like the Flying Spaghetti Monster was used to point out the flaws in putting Intelligent Design in school curricula?

For weeks I've been trying to delve deep into the mind of Alstry and ferret out the working theories and formulae behind the Spector Vector and the Con-vexed Reflector....now I'm just a Defector with no one to hector....

*sigh*  Guess it's back to the drawing board.  Excuse me, I just have enough time to catch up on my Tivoed Jim Cramers and make it to my Scientology meeting...then get back home to catch the latest guidance from Bernanke and Friends...

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#12) On March 13, 2009 at 3:01 PM, usmilitiadude (31.50) wrote:

Never carry a scoreboard? Ultimately, we are talking about our own money. If we don't know the score, how do we know if the system works?

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#13) On March 13, 2009 at 3:26 PM, GoodVibe4Ever (< 20) wrote:

USM - We don't carry a scoreboard against each other. But we sure carry a scoreboard for our calls. Indulge

Record

Enlarge

GoodVibe

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