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The CASE for Hemispherx Biopharma. DRUGS for the gambler!

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June 04, 2009 – Comments (20) | RELATED TICKERS: HEB

 

I'm a switch hitter. Yes, I turn with the tide.


Hemispherx became inflated from swine flue wannabe and FDA approval/denial for a Ampligen(r)), for Chronic Fatigue Syndrome. They have tounted Ampligen as a cure for everything for ten years now with no success. Sorta like Dr. Carter's little liver pills. Besides FDA approval pending for CFS, a Japanese based partner has been indicating that Ampligen is " "most promising adjuvant candidate for mucosal vaccines."  (read, taking it through the nose, instead of the arm where it's less effective).  It can also be used to "water down" the serum and stretch it further. Which is important when you may have multiple vaccines this year. (Aka H1N1, H5N1, and any variants that might arise).  Since it had not been tested for the flu and no trials in place, I had discounted this option, but the Japanese are serious about getting any tool available they can before another pandemic.


When FDA approval did not come on schedule for CFS, I was also suspicious.  Hemispherx indicated that the FDA had requested a one to two week delay on a reply.  This seemed "fishy" to me.   It does appear that the FDA and Hemispherx have been rubbing elbows at a conference in Italy, so are indeed both "busy.


In the meantime hemispherx has been popping in stages. Is it a weapon against flu variations? Is it help for CFS which has been questioned as an "actual disease"?   Is it a cure for the gout, arthritis, or a Cialis replacement?  I really don't know, but it's popping and I'm riding.  We will see what's left when this one deflates. 

I lucked out on a small portion of DNDN.  I lost out on Northfield Laboratories (NFLD)

Bios are drug stocks, and playing them can be addictive.  You can see them popping and dropping.  People running from one to the next.  Very few make the grade with the FDA.  Many get sent back for more data, disapproved on the spot, end up with dangerous side effects, or management just stinks.  Most pops are the herd following too late. 

I can't say what will happen with HEB.  I have my doubts after all these years.  The double option of antiviral or CFS means this could posibly stay up above my buy price if one falls through.  It could really pop if both hit.   But it could all turn to air just as easily.

FOOLS go where others fear to tread...or are too smart to fall in. 

Don't play bios/pharma like FAS and FAZ, but on a small scale, it's cheap drugs for the mind/soul and worth some fun.


Good luck.

 

20 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On June 04, 2009 at 3:45 PM, nerachal46 (< 20) wrote:

Get a life !!!!!

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#2) On June 04, 2009 at 3:54 PM, vanbookey (< 20) wrote:

Don't believe what the Japanese released today do you?

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#3) On June 04, 2009 at 3:59 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Nerachal46, maybe you need a life....since you only use your account to spam blogs.

Vanbookey, I'm not sure what to believe. I had discounted the flu angle since nothing was in the works, but the Japanese are scared. They lived and breathed several threats the last few years between SARs, the bird flu, etc. They wear masks when two or more people sneeze.

Do I believe they that it has any function or do I belive that the Japanese could fast track it.  I don't know to the former, yes to the later.  I really didn't think the FDA would approve this magic drug this time either, nor did I buy the Flu hype to start with. I made points with a down thumb.

All I can tell you is that I switched, put some play money in this and am riding it up.  Either it will deflate under me, or I'll score large.  This is the fourth spike this week.  The MM's are dropping it occasionally to push out the limit orders. The float has traded hands multiple times.

Either the FDA will approve it for CFS or the Japanese will take it and gamble, or it will drop back into the hole it came from, this time forever.

FEAR is a powerful thing.

Good luck.

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#4) On June 04, 2009 at 4:31 PM, goldminingXpert (29.51) wrote:

HEB is a scam worth the 25 cents it was trading for before swine flu hit. The pumpers running this stock should be in jail. That's all.

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#5) On June 04, 2009 at 4:49 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

GMX,I doubt if it's worth the $0.25 if neither of these pan out. I'm a sceptic myself, but the green in my account looks pretty good and I never know where to quit.  I am a compulsive gambler. Maybe I will sell half and play with the houses money.  Thanks for the opinion, much respected.

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#6) On June 04, 2009 at 4:56 PM, goldminingXpert (29.51) wrote:

This traded at 35 cents in March. Ampligen is the same off-patent drug that people have been trying to use since the 1970s (yes, you read that right) to cure AIDS, chronic fatigue and everything else under the sun. I think they should sell it as floor wax, but that's just me. This company is pulling a Repros (RPRX), they take old generic drugs that don't work, test them for something else, run up the stock price, dilute (as they already did--they didn't even see the scam getting to $4) have capital for another few years so that they can try (and fail) to cure something else. All the while, the executives get paid well and give themselves plush stock options.

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#7) On June 04, 2009 at 5:48 PM, vanbookey (< 20) wrote:

TSIF/GMX ...

Yes, Ampligen has been around since Carter developed it in the 70s.  But you see he never sold out to the drug cos, and so he never had a chance to prove its validity either for CFS, AIDS or anything else for that matter.  So he went overseas where the big drug cos aren't members of the FDA drug approval boards.  Seems like he had a easier time getting approved in Belgium, Canada, Spain, Portugal, eventually England, but in the US, it only gets emergency use status.

In fact, why did Dupont have to fund Hem Research instead of a drug company.  So let's not say Carter is a total scam, he has had alot of negatives staring at him in the face, and finds it much friendlier overseas.

 So yes, the Japanese are scared shitless of  birds and pigs and any other microbe that gets released, so I think they are serious about grabbing onto something that has some efficacy to it.

 Hype?  Sure...But remember, Jonas Salk add to try his vaccine on himself cause noone believed in what he said his vaccine could do for polio....

 

Van

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#8) On June 04, 2009 at 7:17 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Thanks Van, I was going to post that "most dogs" have their day.  Excellent points to consider.

The FDA not giving a ruling was very strange. The Japanese Play is another unknown.  While I know it is often the same shares trading hands over and over again, seeing the "float" move in three days was impressive.  Block sizes would also indicate that if it's all speculators, some have a lot to "speculate" with over a fraud.

I think I'll ride, but per my comments in my main blog, I don't recommend piling on unless you check your gut at the door and  write the money off BEFORE you make the trade.

Dr. Carter is a good name....I should do a geneology on Dr. Carter and the Carter from Carter's Little Lvier pills. He's 71 and along with the rest of his staff don't have too many more tries left in them, but some dogs do win out after numerous beatings and persistance.

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#9) On June 04, 2009 at 10:27 PM, goldminingXpert (29.51) wrote:

GM keeps trading tens of millions of shares despite everyone involved knowing its worthless. Welcome to the world of zombie companies driven in price by short covering demands.

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#10) On June 04, 2009 at 10:47 PM, biggestfool88 (< 20) wrote:

GMX do you do all of your own research or do you subscribe to any motley fool newsletters?

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#11) On June 04, 2009 at 11:00 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

here is wikipedia on ampligen.

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#12) On June 04, 2009 at 11:03 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

HEB is the object of the first "underperform" call in my list (see comment #524 there).

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#13) On June 04, 2009 at 11:07 PM, goldminingXpert (29.51) wrote:

GMX do you do all of your own research or do you subscribe to any motley fool newsletters?

These aren't mutually exclusive. I do read some of the Fool newsletters--MF Pro is really good--but I do tons of my own research. I biked 31 miles today with a camcorder in hand filming some of the unfinished housing developments in Colorado Springs as part of my research into the homebuilding and banking scams of the past few years. Saw 8 moving trucks and several cop cars with cops at the door and people moving stuff out--persumably forcible foreclosures. Green shoots...

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#14) On June 04, 2009 at 11:08 PM, goldminingXpert (29.51) wrote:

Portefeuille: Have you any interest in rolling out Ampliwax for people's flooring and auto needs and possibly a sister product--the Ampligen Energy Drink for college students?

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#15) On June 04, 2009 at 11:12 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

Portefeuille: Have you any interest in rolling out Ampliwax for people's flooring and auto needs and possibly a sister product--the Ampligen Energy Drink for college students?

no. do you think I can post a short recap of that "cil" chat (see comment #1 here)?

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#16) On June 04, 2009 at 11:26 PM, goldminingXpert (29.51) wrote:

You can do whatever you want. I'm a libertarian--I would never tell you could or couldn't do something.

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#17) On June 04, 2009 at 11:30 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

okay, maybe I should not. I saved it just in case anyone needs it.

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#18) On June 05, 2009 at 1:14 AM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

There's another blog on HEB by  jowenmofield'   Since according to GMX, my blog here wasn't very good, I thought I'd give you the link and my reply to GMX.

I'm learning, please be patient with me!!!   Thanks GMX!

#2 GMX: The original post really isn't that good but the comments are

Yes, I admit I was in a rush and I did try to play both sides and warn about bios.  I know, long winded as usual.  (Which comments specifically were good?  I'll try to model after them).

#2 GMX:  You should be ashamed for green thumbing this 

I am ashamed GMX.  (I'm also sorry that I didn't open it sooner so that my 7 days would be up sooner, of course I'd also have 50 more pionts like Jowen, but I know that's the wrong attitude).

I'll close my upthumb as soon as I'm allowed. It will serve me right if it drops back to zero while I'm stuck with it.

 I'll sell the stock I bought this week and if I have any profits, (Very unlikely as I'm sure that I'll lose my 60% upside before I can blink in the morning, then 'll donate it to charity).  THANKS!

TSIF

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#19) On June 05, 2009 at 1:48 AM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

GMX also posted a blog on HEB setting things straight!

I don't think HEB is a "Gold Mine", (unless the pumpers win out), but GMX nails it pretty good!

goldminingXpert

Go give it a REC so the word gets out before some FOOLS get mis-guided by GREEN that is possibly POISON IVY! 

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#20) On June 23, 2009 at 6:21 PM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

a new HEB article by feuerstein

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