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These stocks will be up 50% in 3 months...

Recs

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September 15, 2009 – Comments (68) | RELATED TICKERS: MNI , CNO , THC

Forgot to say: At least 50% (some will double, and some might triple).

Also, this 50% (or for some 100%) gain will for majority of these stocks most likely happen much sooner (by the end of September is what I'm thinking).

CNO $5.06 (price on 9/14/09)

MNI $2.51

THC $5.75

TA $6.15

PWAV $1.59

FTWR $1.17

CMRG $3.45

NNBR 4.23

BLC $4.25

ODP $6.16

BPOP $2.27

OMN $5.35

CPE $2.11

 p.s. I know this sounds ridiculous as no serious investor can make a statement like this (disclaimer: I'm not a serious investor).

p.p.s. Once again, 50-100% gain for each of these stocks, in 3 months or less... 

68 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On September 15, 2009 at 1:20 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Top 3 are my favorite ones, but I like the next 3 ones too...

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#2) On September 15, 2009 at 1:53 AM, JMrosenb (< 20) wrote:

Bold!

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#3) On September 15, 2009 at 2:19 AM, checklist34 (99.70) wrote:

i am long CNO, MNI, TA and ODP and NNBR in real life from far, far lower prices.  ODP and CNO are among my largest holdings, CNO in the top 10.  my positions in MNI and TA are not>2% of total holdings.

I don't know the others.

in each case i think the companies will survive and in each case all it took was survival to basically guarantee multi baggers (50 bagger CNO, 20 bagger ODP, 10 bagger MNI, 5 bagger NNBR, 5 bagger TA) from their bottoms.  

stocks in early 2009 = fish ina  barrel

now if only my pet penny stocks insv.ob and joez would wake up and move a little, lol

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#4) On September 15, 2009 at 2:44 AM, prose976 (< 20) wrote:

This account will be up 50% in 1 year.

http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=252328&t=01001882548745899321

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#5) On September 15, 2009 at 6:14 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

-----------------------------------

#2) On September 15, 2009 at 5:47 AM, portefeuille (99.99) wrote:
The 5 stocks I wanted to choose for the tigerpackfund were EMC, FACT, SQNM, EXEL and LUK.
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#8) On June 19, 2009 at 12:45 PM, portefeuille (99.99) wrote:
hey, since the first thoughts are usually the best (are they?) here are 5:
EMC,FACT,SQNM,EXEL,LUK. all "outperform", "long-term".
(see comment #17 here)
-------------------------
(from comment #8 here)
I calculated the relative change (in %) between the closing value on 09/14/09 and the closing value on 06/19/09.
EMC 29.16
FACT 91.78,
SQNM 43.00,
EXEL 28.29,
LUK 17.14,
S&P 500 index 13.91,
average rel. change of those 5 "picks" 41.87.

-----------------------------------

(from here)

Not quite 50% yet but also not quite 3 months yet.

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#6) On September 15, 2009 at 6:18 AM, portefeuille (99.60) wrote:

BLC $4.25

-----------------------------------

#276) On March 22, 2009 at 1:04 AM, portefeuille (99.99) wrote: BLC - 0.55 - outperform

-----------------------------------

(from here)

Maybe "the easy money has been made" already here.

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#7) On September 15, 2009 at 7:40 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

porte, all of these stocks were penny stocks a few months ago so I know I'm a little late.

But, the point I'm trying to make is that it's not too late.

I'm making this call based on my markets-next-moves-projection from here.

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#8) On September 15, 2009 at 8:08 AM, jddubya (40.12) wrote:

nice calls - i got into pwav last December.... i agree they should continue up up up.... hopefully they'll benefit from the ATT network expansion.

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#9) On September 15, 2009 at 10:48 AM, IBDvalueinvestin (99.68) wrote:

You can add LIWA to that list with a current PE at 5.96

 

 
http://caps.fool.com/Ticker/LIWA.aspx

10Q filing:
http://biz.yahoo.com/e/090729/liwa10-q.html

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#10) On September 15, 2009 at 12:58 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

LVS

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#11) On September 15, 2009 at 1:01 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

porte, it's funny you mentioned BLC. It's up 11.2% as of 1 PM...

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#12) On September 16, 2009 at 11:35 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Not in this portfolio, but:

#44) On September 09, 2009 at 11:51 PM, dragonLZ (98.96) wrote:

I think KERX is getting ready for another one-day big jump (30-40% is my guess)...

 

p.s. Everybody can see on the CAPS front page that KERX is up 45% today (as of 11:30AM)...

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#13) On September 16, 2009 at 11:45 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

#36) On September 06, 2009 at 6:01 PM, dragonLZ (98.96) wrote:

p.p.s. Hope you are enjoing this long weekend (and finding some bargains for RL porfolio). I'm thinking about buying another 150 shares of CNO. It looks to me it could be a $6-7 stock in short order...

 

On Sept. 6, CNO was $4.08. Today (as of 11:43 AM) CNO is up 12.5% and is a $5.75 stock now...

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#14) On September 16, 2009 at 3:50 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

#54) On September 11, 2009 at 12:02 AM, dragonLZ (98.97) wrote:

p.s. Haven't you noticed I like media stocks right now. Like them a lot. I own GCI in RL (bought around $3), MNI (one of my 40%-up-the-next-day stocks, and intend to buy more as I think it's making a move to $3+, then some more), and I just recently added GTN. I also added BLC to my CAPS portfolio two days ago, and it's already up 17%...

 

 

As of 3:45PM today, GCI up 10.3%, MNI up 3%, GTN up 22.5%, and BLC up 4.4% (57% since I added it to my CAPS just the other day).

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#15) On September 17, 2009 at 3:36 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

#28) On September 05, 2009 at 4:30 PM, dragonLZ (98.96) wrote:

Forgot to mention some of my penny stocks.

FNSR is my first one. First buy (small position) at $.31 (now $.94). Have 522 shares at this time. Hope to see it at $3 in 9-12 months, but because of the merger with Optium in 2008, who knows what the upside is (how about $12 in 3 years or so). Disclaimer: Always an optimist...

 

#60) On September 12, 2009 at 11:02 AM, dragonLZ (98.96) wrote:

p.s. I like what happened with INHX yesterday. It was down more than 20% in the morning, then slowly climbed back to finish the day one cent up from its closing price the day before (one cent below 52W high). It looks like there are people believing in this stock. Will definitly buy another 200 shares or so next week.

Almost the same thing happened with FNSR. It was down 20% in the morning, but it ended the day at the day's high, only 3 cents down from the Thursday's closing price. Even though I don't like to see something like that on a chart, I think there are people backing up this stock too...

 

 

Today, FNSR is up 14% (and market is down for the day) on a 700% increase in volume. Price $1.17. 

23 milion shares traded in a single day. That's not me and my uncle buying this stock... :)

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#16) On September 18, 2009 at 12:59 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

#28) On September 05, 2009 at 4:30 PM, dragonLZ (98.63) wrote:

GTN, 400 shares at $.95 (speculative, but high hopes). IMO, might be $10+ stock in 12+ months, $4- $5 short term.

 

 

GTN is up 30% today (and it was up 27% 2 days ago), and is now at $2.40...

 

 

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#17) On September 18, 2009 at 4:28 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Oops, spoke too soon...

GTN finished the day at $2.65, up $47%...

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#18) On September 18, 2009 at 4:55 PM, jason2713 (< 20) wrote:

I don't get it, GTN is losing money hand over fist, and they are going up?

 

That's why I say this market makes not sense.  I don't get it.

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#19) On September 24, 2009 at 5:47 PM, EyeT4Me (64.68) wrote:

Do you still think all of these are going to be up 50% in 3 months at this point?  I'm 10 days late in seeing this post, but I think we just saw the beginning of what will be a long slide today, so if these CAN come out the other end up at end of year, this is a great time for me to buy them over the next days.

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#20) On September 24, 2009 at 6:13 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Eye, I still do.

However, if you click on my link in comment #7, you will see that I was counting on this slide, and that I think the best time to buy will be between mid-Oct and end-Oct.

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#21) On September 24, 2009 at 9:13 PM, EyeT4Me (64.68) wrote:

Dragon,

 

   Thanks - agreed - don't want in at the beginning of a slide!  I looked up these stocks and am certainly a novice, but the only one that looks good all around to me is NNBR. FTWR has its nice points as well.  I imagine you don't want to share all of your secrets, but can you give a novice such as me any idea what you look at to make such a bold determination of value 3 months out?  I just keep learning every day, but find that I am woefully unskilled in predicting value.  My first look at anything in stocks was in May - and I have several positions now.  They were mostly up until today (:() - now about 1/2 of them are underwater. This too will change with time, I suppose. I bought GSI yesterday (dumb move).  Could have gotten it much cheaper if I'd waited.

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#22) On September 24, 2009 at 10:03 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Eye, I don't think GSI will go much lower from here so I don't think you made a big mistake (but I'm also not convinced GSI is a good buy right now).

 

p.s.

Eye, I have to warn you that I consider myself a novice investor too (even though I started investing in 2002) so don't take everything I say too seriously (but do keep an eye on my picks).

I also think that it would be stupid of me to give you any advice (or reveal my secret) at this point as I might be proven very wrong very soon (but I have to say, I doubt it).

In case I'm proven right (if these stocks really do go up 50%), just remind me and I'll e-mail you a bunch of stuff on my "secret".

At this time, I can only tell you that 95% of my buys are based on charts (some people call it techicals, but I don't think I'm a typical technical guy). 

And I do think that I have a very good ability to read charts (look at them and predict a stock's move).

For example, in early March, I told my wife the new bull market has started and we should start investing as much as we can (during 2008 we hardly invested any money - very proud of that call too).

In March, I bought LVS at $2.09, FNSR at $0.31, BYD at $3.44, BAC at $5.40, MOD at $2.51, HTZ at $3.73, MIC at $1.76...   Today, these stocks are up anywhere between 200% to 700%.

I'm just telling you this because even though I don't consider myself an expert by any means, I do think that I know when to buy a stock...

So stick around, and if I'm proven right in 3 months, I'll have no problem letting you in on my "secret"... :) 

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#23) On September 24, 2009 at 10:20 PM, EyeT4Me (64.68) wrote:

Fair enough.  I argued with myself between CPSL and GSL - I am worried about the bottom of the dollar dropping out and don't want to keep everything in US stocks.  Don't know if I made the right choice. Some of the better stocks I THINK I have are based in the US but serve the gloabal market, like MTW - I got that one just over 6 bucks and it looks to me that it will be strong for a while.  I have trouble resisting the cheap stocks as well.  Speculative, geuss, and risky.  I will watch these over the next months and will possibly buy in to one or two.  Talk then!

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#24) On September 24, 2009 at 10:36 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Eye, I don't think buying cheap stocks right now is a mistake as we are still in the beginning stage of the bull market. In a mature bull market, I stay away from cheap stocks and usually buy stocks $15 and up. 

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#25) On September 24, 2009 at 10:56 PM, EyeT4Me (64.68) wrote:

Dragon - Yes, that makes sense.  When I am running numbers, it looks like there are a lot of choices that might normally be $15 stocks but right now are $8 stocks or even less - NNBR for example.  Can't stay away from those.  How long do you think the bull will run?  Is it a "V" or is it a "W" recovery?  Again, what do I know? (nothing, I can tell you!)...but I think the 'W' is possible - and it seems we are beginning to go down again for maybe 3 weeks to a month, in my opinion.   Anyhow, it is easy for a new investor like me to get over zealous...pure greed, no doubt. :)

 More FOOLISH questions -  I am mostly in energy, thus took a HARD hit today, but I know that our appetite for oil & gas doesn't go away overnight, so I'm not too worried about that. 

Are you diversified across all sectors? I am scared of health (Obamacare) care, and banking. What about retail?  Gotta come back at some point - but when - I can't tell at all. In your picks you had some retail - specialty retail at that!  Why would that be a target?  Sorry for all the questions - I'm pretty much a sponge right now trying to learn and understand too much at once.

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#26) On September 26, 2009 at 9:55 AM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Eye, Dragon and I have been having some fun "discussions" and beer bets on these speculative stocks that spiked. Dragon does have a knack for picking up on the ones that join the insanity parade.  A few fun plays in your portfolio are okay if you've got some  tolerance.  Banking on all speculative stocks, however, is not investing.  Dragon is after stocks that took hard hits.  Small caps usually come back the fastest after a recession. Dragon is all technicals, and a narrow branch of technicals. I'm almost all fundamentals, but get my attention called to some stocks because of technical signals. Unfortunately, most stocks that took hard hits are highly leveraged, in serious debt, and currently losing money. The ones that are promising in my opinion are the ones that were losing money, but have found a way to either turn the corner, or the economy sectors they are in are shifting back positive.  The news that a company losing money had a profit will cause a spike in a stock that might stick.

Right now the retail investor is all over anything that moves. Greed, fear, greed, fear....    The major players are after the more stable stocks. 

On some of dragons other blogs we've had some running fundamentals versus his technical play dialogues.  He does have a knack for finding some and he's taught me a little bit more about how Mr. Market is operating. I'm not going to be so quick to down thumb Mr. Market's stupidity until the herd turns. Most of these spikes are across 3-5 days and I was down thumbing them on the first day they spiked.  If Mr. Market wants to be an idiot, there is no reason not to either join in or stand back.  I would just caution against too much of Mr. Market's get rich scheme and not enough healthy balance of quality.

Certainly be careful jumping in on one that has already had a good 2-3 day run for no apparent reason. When it drops back down again you'll be left holding the bag. So I will say that Dragon has a knack for finding them before they spike, but it's all highly speculative.

If you are interested in fundamentals then I would recommend Mary Buffet's book. It's a small little read that talks about the financial statements in a very easy to read manner.  Eventually the insanity will wane and maybe buying long will work again for a few years.  Capital gains will kill you if you are a good guesser with a high churn. It would be nice to find some undervalued winners and hold them for at least a year and cut down giving some of your gambling money back to the governement.

Note that while I would agree that oil/gas are necessary commodities, I cautioned against gas.  The recent spike in prices may have been a correction back to near where it should be, but it gets all the closed valves opened up at once and floods the market again. We need a serious cold snap to bleed off some of the inventories. There is no where to store it, so no one is going to pay much for it. Some of the smaller gas plays are in serious trouble.  They aren't making any money so they aren't able to drill new wells. Not a good cycle to be in.

"Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements: The Search for the Company with a Durable Competitive Advantage"

Good luck.

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#27) On September 26, 2009 at 1:49 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Eye, I didn't answer your questions just because I'm not a good investment / opinion source. Just as I said before, I consider myself a novice investor, and I don't know much about a lot of stuff when it comes to stock market, investing, etc.

Once again, if the time shows there is some merit in what I'm doing (investing based on charts), I'll gladly share my "secret" with you.

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#28) On September 26, 2009 at 8:10 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

TSIF, I agree with everything you told Eye.

However, IMO you are making the same mistake many fundamental investors do. You are overly cautios.

Just to give you an example: I see you 5Y-green-thumbed FUQI at $30. FUQI was $3-4 stock back in March, or $6-7 in May. I'm pretty confident if someone asked you back then about a stock like FUQI (this is just an example), you would say: Be careful. Now, at $30, you like it. Do you see what I mean? You can play it safe (and still lose money), or you can take some risk and make a killing (but you can lose too, let's be clear).

To be continued...

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#29) On September 27, 2009 at 12:56 AM, EyeT4Me (64.68) wrote:

Dragon - I appreciate your candor.  I don't understand how you can say you are a novice, though, when you have been investing for 7 years.  I am learning every day but I have only been investing for a matter of months. I bet you know A LOT more than I about Mr. Market.

 

WOW!  How are all of you guys so wise?? I have so much to learn.  I can only hope now that I have made mostly the right choices.  I have not gone into gas because it looks too iffy to me, but I HAVE gone into small cap energy, months ago - Mostly traditional fossil fules such as WNR, SYMX, PKD and EPD  (dividends make me happy), and other companies such as these. Just to make me feel a little green, I also invested in PBW.

 

  It seems evident that our US dollar is going to drop soon, so I have gone into China, Japan, and Canada with about 1/3 of my porfolio.  Again - I hope this is right...hedging.

 

   I subscribe to the Stock Advisor - and have invested in 4 stocks from those picks - ATW,  IBKR,  VTIV and DLB.  The rest of my portfolio, though, is speculative from what I think will be good choices...SUTR, GSI, BQI, VITA, MTW... I think I am learning overall that I should listen to the smart people instead of myself!

 

Thank you for being willing to share your experience!  If you were in my portfolio, would you move on any of these positions?  I'd love to have any opinions. Overall, I like my stocks.  I am thinking of sitting back for a while and riding the market up and down for a bit.  I am not a day trader - haven't the energy for it.  I am looking for undervalued stocks that will come up in the next 3-7 years.

 

 

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#30) On September 27, 2009 at 3:38 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Dragon,

"Do you see what I mean? You can play it safe (and still lose money), or you can take some risk and make a killing (but you can lose too, let's be clear)."

You can play it lose and pick quality companies and reduce your risk of losing money.  I bought Stec at $3.56, TC at $5, APTG at $7, BGC, LXU etc. IF I had "found" FUQI sooner, I would have bought it as well. These companies are making money in the recession.  You are picking your calls on stocks that got beaten down and are well off their highs. Highs from 2 years ago when you're debt laden, have net negative equity, and were not prepared for the recession do not make companies worth a a snapback.  The only think keeping some of them out of bankruptcy is because their creditors don't want the company either.   There are quality beatend down stocks that will do okay when the economy recovers. There are some that will not recover for years. Mr. Market has no discretion right now, but eventually will have. Learning to apply fundamentals to your charting will help you find the "longs" in the trash.

There are also companies that came into "play" during the recession.  FUQI has 10% plus operating margins, and a 90% quarterly growth rate. 

I don't think any of your fun/speculative picks have a profit, let alone growth.  Some will survive. The pirce per share is NOT the issue, the quality of the company is. Mr. Market may reward some.  Your TV/Newspapers may cut their way long enough that a recovery might get some advertising dollars back, but they will have years of struggle and competition from the internet and book readers to contend with.  (Not to mention a populace who is forgetting how to read).

EyeT is doing well adding some quality companies to his portfolio for an eventual recovery. I also like Fools Hidden Gem for some smaller cap ideas. 

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#31) On September 27, 2009 at 8:27 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

TSIF, I agree I'm more a gambler than an investor... maybe this should be my new disclaimer...

p.s. I hate serious discussions. Let's have some fun. Here is my newest post (revealing one of my "secrets").

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#32) On September 27, 2009 at 11:15 PM, EyeT4Me (64.68) wrote:

TSIF,

 

   Do you subscribe to Hidden Gems?  I've been contemplating it myself.

Eye

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#33) On September 28, 2009 at 1:01 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

Yes EyeT.

Small caps usually snap back hardest after a recession. Part of that has been done already.  I have picked several of the Hidden Gems for my RL portfolio.  Just like with Stock Advisor, there are some that they mention that just don't interest me.  Some I disagree with, and some I dig deeper into.  They usually offer up a few "tinies" that are also fun sometimes. I have a few of those.  I actually like Hidden Gems better than stock advisor, but that's just my investing style.   They are harder to find on your own.

DragonLZ, if it strains your brain to digest other opinions, then by all means party on and stop straining!  It's your portfolio and your beer money!

TSIF

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#34) On September 28, 2009 at 4:06 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

TSIF, I just said I hate serious discussions (I don't think I said anything offensive).

When did you see me post something that wasn't my bregging or celebrating of my picks? I was just honest when I said I'm more of a gambler, and don't want Eye to think he should listen to me.

To be continued (when I have more time)...

p.s. Half of the time I'm writing these posts / comments, my 18-months old daughter is sitting in my lap. That gives me additional "stress" as I know I just don't have time for serious / lengthy replies (or not enough time to get my point across)... 

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#35) On September 28, 2009 at 4:26 PM, Mary953 (74.27) wrote:

Dragon, It is unfair to bring up your daughter when I can't even bring out the pack-and-play for another week. *jealousy*

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#36) On September 28, 2009 at 4:37 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

No Dragon, you didn't say anything offensive, just that you like to ask serious questions when you think it makes your point, but you didn't want to have a serious discussion if someone disagrees by using stock fundamentals. It's perfectly okay with me if your volume theory is all you need!  I might borrow the concept and apply it to the stocks I think are fundamentally sound to support the price/volume. Different strokes for different folks, risk, and experiences.    Have fun with the daughter, you shouldn't be stressed when she's in your lap. If you are then you aren't having as much fun as you should be.  Take an investment timeout!!!   Careful with her college money!  :)

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#37) On September 28, 2009 at 8:07 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Something from MY (meaning: don't take it too seriously) chartology manual (totally unralated to any discussions above):

Rule #3123    Never buy a stock that had a big share-price-drop right after the drop. Wait for at least one quarter of side or up price movement as I've seen way too many stocks that had a big drop in one quarter just to have a bigger one in the next quarter.

Just to show you this is nothing new:

#1) On September 07, 2009 at 5:48 PM, dragonLZ (98.70) wrote:

I don't like its chart. I wouldn't buy it at this point. Based on what I see, HNSN might have another big drop in its share price in the next quarter too. If it continues going up through the next quarter, then it deserves another look. Right now, my rating of HNSN: Stay Away...

 

OK, this was on HNSN and so far, I've been wrong on this one as it recently had a 30% jump (but did come down some after the jump).

However, I just found out that SQNM (the stock that saw its share price drop from $15 down to $5 last quarter) is down 43% in afterhours trading today.

SQNM is a $3.12 stock now, and we all know how many Fools recommended it at $5 or $6...

That is it for today.

Next time, we will cover the chapter called: Why am I buying 350 shares of WNC tomorrow (on top of 150 I already have)...  

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#38) On September 28, 2009 at 8:35 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

SQNM droped 50% on "news".  It was a speculative stock to start with, but I'm still long on it and have made decent money off the bounces. It will either be BK if it doesn't have a viable product or $20 per share if it does. Any medical stock can take those kinds of drops or pops.  I would guess that GTN, TVL or YRCW would drop a heck of a lot more if it posted it was going BK.  It's part of the risk/reward we take on with any company, (i.e. Enron, SAY).  I'd rather take my chances with a medical company. The reward if you're right is generally better.

Dragon, if you're predicting six weeks of down market wouldn't it be better to wait, or does your volume indicator on an individual stock outweigh your thoughts on general market movement??

 Thanks,

 

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#39) On September 28, 2009 at 8:58 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

TSIF, I had no idea you had SQNM too (I know porte did and I've seen other people recommend it). 50% drop doesn't mean it's the end of this stock though. My point was: better wait a little...

To answer your question: I think market will continue going down for a while, but I don't know it for sure (who does?). Since last Wednesday, I'm 60% in cash. My largest position: TZA.

TZA worked form me for 3 days, but today it kept my portfolio flat (my stocks jumped: GCI and CNO, for example, but TZA was down a lot).

I'm willing to start buying again (little by little), but will hold TZA until I'm sure I was wrong about market's direction (meaning market will go up). If next few days tell me I was right, I'll buy some more TZA (and will still look for regular stocks buy opportunities)...

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#40) On September 28, 2009 at 11:10 PM, TSIF (99.96) wrote:

I've owned SQNM since it dove the first time. I'm all profit from it bouncing under and over $6 multiple times, except for some options that will be underwater now if it doesn't bounce back by the end of December.  If they had redone or clearned the data from the tests without firing the CEO by end of December then I would have had a nice holiday present. 

TZA's a good hedge. I don't like owning hedges when the market is moving against them, but they keep you from going down when the market turns nasty and you don't want to sell your core holdings.  Sideways or slightly negative on your portfolio rather than selling and incurring the trading fees and capital gains is sometimes the best play.

3,123 PLUS rules, sounds like a lot to keep track of! :)

WNC, IMnsHO is a DOG!  Thanks for the pointer, if it pops above $100 Million market cap then I'll have a new CAPs short!!! :)  Beer on that one??

 

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#41) On September 28, 2009 at 11:18 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Correction: I'm 40% in cash (not 60%), and TZA worked for me for 2 days (not 3).

Also, just to make myself clear:  TSIF, by no means was I celebrating somebody's loss on SQNM, I was just glad the rule I have has worked once again.

Even if I knew you had SQNM, I wouldn't "tease" you about it as I think both of us know: "One can never know with bios/pharmas/medicals..."

p.s. Btw., you know I think there is a huge bull developing in the above mentioned industry so my BIO plays are the only stocks (as a group) I didn't want to sell last Thursday morning. I know I'm gambling a little, but what the heck...(also, don't have large positions in any of them).

One more thing, even though 80% of BIOS fit my volume theory (they have never seen volumes as high as they have lately), I didn't use them as past examples in my theory or as possible new winners just because: "One can never know..."

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#42) On September 29, 2009 at 6:28 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

I know WNC is a real JUNK, but I just like its chart so much.

However, right now, after I slept on it, I'm thinking of either not buying any more shares of WNC (150 might be enough as a gamble money) or just adding another 150, not 300.

Will take a beer bet though, just make me an offer... :)

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#43) On September 29, 2009 at 11:11 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

WNC was up 17% at one point this morning, but it ended the day "only" 9.7% up... I picked up another 175 shares. I can't stop looking at its chart. Beautiful. Pure art...

Today, I also bought 240 shares of MNI. Now have 500. MNI is at $2.65 now, but ready to "attack" $4 real soon...

How about that GCI today? Up 17.6% (or $1.76).

GCI, I love you. I really do.

Some other media stocks: LEE up 41%, MNI up 6%, BLC up 4.4% (after being up 14% yesterday), MEG up 13.4%... And all of this on a down day for the market...

I think, a year from now (maybe two), everybody will be talking about the media stocks being one of the best performing industries in this bull market (or sectors - I'm not very good with these terms), but almost nobody saw it coming...

p.s. Have I mentioned already: I'm in love with GCI...

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#44) On September 30, 2009 at 7:51 AM, Mary953 (74.27) wrote:

Aha!  Finally getting a clue as to why my CAPS score is underwater!  I have been so concerned with RL portfolios, I keep forgetting to update CAPS.  After your comments, I went to see how many points I had from GCI.  It isn't there.  I forgot to switch back over and add it to paper trading when I put it into the regular.  At least I remembered to put GRMN in (I hope).

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#45) On September 30, 2009 at 12:32 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

OMN, which is one of the 13 stocks I said will have at least 50% gain in 3 months or less (in my original post) is up 22% today (or $1.17, as of 12:30 PM).

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#46) On September 30, 2009 at 12:34 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Mary, I do remember you telling me GCI has been good to you too.

Congratulations, and Good Luck going forward (or should I say upward)  :) 

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#47) On October 01, 2009 at 12:01 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Update on 50%Portfolio is here.

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#48) On October 02, 2009 at 12:00 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

I'd just like to mention here that WNC was down only 7 cents today (or 2.6%), on a day when DOW was down 200 points, S&P 500 was down 2.6%, and Nasdaq down 3.1%.

I like that a lot. That was very unusual for a cheap stock.

If WNC is really junk (like a lot of people think), why it wasn't down 10%, 15%, or even more? I mean, wasn't today a perfect day to dump shares of a "bad" stock? But, it didn't happen. I like it.

As soon as I see another confirmation of my theory that WNC is a good buy, I will be getting me some more shares. I don't know why, but I think that will happen rather soon.

Mark my words: There is no way WNC is not going to double in 3 months or less. NO WAY.

Just for the record: WNC is at $2.65 today.

Go WNC!

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#49) On October 12, 2009 at 10:45 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Today, I doubled my position in WNC.

If MNI is down tomorrow and/or on Wed., I will also double my position in MNI late Wed. afternoon.

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#50) On October 12, 2009 at 10:49 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

My largest holdings (75% of my portfolio):

1. CNO

2. MNI

3. WNC

4. LEE

5. SEH

6. BPOP

7. GCI

8. GTN

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#51) On October 13, 2009 at 2:19 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Got some more CNO today.

Waiting to buy some more MNI tomorrow afternoon if it stays where it's at today or below.

LTS is on the move. Up 8% today on 5X average volume. Today at $0.80, it will be breaking through the $1 mark in 30 days or less. IMO, an easy 5-bagger in 12 months or less. Risk of losing any money at this one: Very Low. Just my opinion.

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#52) On October 13, 2009 at 3:11 PM, jason2713 (< 20) wrote:

I like CNO, SEH, and GTN.

In real life I am in:

DEER (UP a bunch in recent days)

GTN

SAH - beat earnings past 2 Q's
TEN - beat earnings last 3Q's majorly (almost 50% on avg)
BRCD - low P/E, high cash, may be purchased
ETP - 8.46% dividend
CMLS - media company, speculative but doing well.

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#53) On October 13, 2009 at 3:27 PM, USMNT (64.90) wrote:

You still think FITB is a buy? I am about to pull the trigger irl. Saw your blog on it the other day and the chart has great potential.

 You think it is better than any other financial like bac or usb at this point?

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#54) On October 13, 2009 at 11:51 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

USMNT, Yes I do. Nothing has changed so I don't see why not.

Keep in mind, that's just my opinion.

I like BAC as well, however, I think FITB will probably double faster than BAC. Again, just my opinion...

All in all, I think the possibility of losing money on FITB at this point is very low - 10% maximum.

FITB has moved nowhere since beginning of August. However, it's still up 50 % since the beginning of last quarter (July). That's a very good sign. 

Also, being an early winner (FITB took off toward the end of February), than taking a breather from Aug. until now (but not falling much), I think the stage is set for FITB to fly again... 

Just my opinion, but an honest one (and to the best to my ability to read charts)...

Good Luck!

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#55) On October 13, 2009 at 11:55 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

to the best of my ability...

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#56) On October 14, 2009 at 12:00 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

jason, let's hope GTN's closing at the day's high is a sign of better days ahead...

Good Luck!

p.s. Have you noticed how GTN refuses to close below $2? I just hope I didn't jinx it now... :)

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#57) On October 14, 2009 at 12:08 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

One more thing on my RL portfolio.

Probably, everybody has noticed already that all of my RL holdings listed above are highly speculative stocks. Imo, good speculative (I expect all of them to perform well during the next 30-45 days).

However, as soon as this earnings season is over, I will be moving toward less speculative stocks, and hopefully will be taking some profits too.

Good Luck to all of us!

 

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#58) On October 14, 2009 at 12:29 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Sorry, one more thing. Picked up another 400 shares of LTS. Now have 900. My goal is to have 1500 - 2000 before LTS reaches $1. 

LTS is chugging along ever since it had it's big "unload" day on 6/26/09. It's up 80% since then.

Go LTS!

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#59) On October 14, 2009 at 12:33 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

CNO is up 26% as of 12:30 PM...

p.s.

Thank you, CNO.

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#60) On October 14, 2009 at 3:27 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

Update on 50% portfolio is here.

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#61) On October 14, 2009 at 10:53 PM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

I got me some FCS late this afternoon hoping tomorrow morning's earnings announcement will provide for a nice 15-20% jump...

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#62) On October 14, 2009 at 11:37 PM, devilzadvocate (48.78) wrote:

Dragon.. if you consider yourself as novice.. then I am not born yet.

Firstly, I would like to mention that you have made me decent money in RL through your suggestions and tricks.

Secondly, what's your take on WNC and LTS now as the two were down 1.77% and 0.44% respectively even though DOW went up by 144 points today.

PS: Check out TA. I had bought 200 shares of it in Aug for $3. After yesterday's 19% jump.. I think I might grab a few more..

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#63) On October 16, 2009 at 12:19 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

I was wrong on FCS...

I hope nobody followed me. If you did, sorry, I apologize (p.s. Don't follow me...)

I bought it late yesterday afternoon, sold as soon as the market opened this morning.

Luckily, I wasn't down a lot. Approx. 4%.

MNI was down quite a bit, but it was kind of expected after being up more than 50% in a week.

Even though I lost a bunch on MNI today, my portfolio managed to be slightly up for the day thanks to GTN and CNO (WNC helped a little too)...

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#64) On October 16, 2009 at 12:26 AM, dragonLZ (99.44) wrote:

devilz, I think TA is a nice pick. Congrats!

WNC is a very speculative stock, and I wouldn't recommend it to anyone other than myself...

LTS, I think is a much safer play (a sure bet I'd say), and I would recommend buying it slowly and not buying too much before you see some kind of confirmation of my opinion (hint: significant move on high volume would be nice)...

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#65) On October 16, 2009 at 4:02 PM, EyeT4Me (64.68) wrote:

Dragon,

 

   I've been watching the 50% list - mostly good.  Care to share that 'secret' yet?

 

Eye

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#66) On October 22, 2009 at 3:44 PM, jason2713 (< 20) wrote:

Ever notice how the market plummets, all your stocks follow, yet the market pops (like today)...not all your stocks follow?

GTN and CMLS thanks to the loss of 2-3%, you suck!

 

BRCD, thanks for the 3%, I love you!

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#67) On November 03, 2009 at 11:49 AM, jason2713 (< 20) wrote:

All I have to say, is thank the friggin lord I got out of GTN when I did.

Wow, lost over 60% of its value in roughly a week.  Came out realtively unscathed.  BRCD has held its value, losing roughly 3% on that.  

DragonLZ, I pray you got out man, or you're hurting something aweful.  It was fun while it lasted lol!

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#68) On November 03, 2009 at 11:58 AM, jason2713 (< 20) wrote:

Oh yeah, CMLS went from $2.71/sh to $1.74/sh.

 

Wow.

Speculation picks got crushed.  Take the gains while you can, and get the f*ck out of the way. 

I ended up 20% ahead, not too bad, but sucks cuz I was 40-50% ahead when GTN hit 2.91/sh!

 

I'll be interested in what DragonLZ did among the carnage.  His caps score looks like the crest of a roller coaster going straight down...I hope the value of his portfolio didn't follow it!! :(

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