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This ridiculous bear market rally will have to end...



March 25, 2010 – Comments (13) | RELATED TICKERS: CR , A , SY.DL

Yes, it just has to. This market madness just can’t go on forever.

Why? I’m glad you asked.

Take a look at this, and then you tell me if you would consider this normal:


In September, I posted The Volume Story; since then

GCI is up 79%, CENX is up 64%, TCK is up 59%, GNW is up 48%, FITB is up 44%,….


In October, I posted Media is HOT; since then

MNI is up 69%, ETM is up 59%, SBSA is up 47%, SBGI is up 35%,...


In October, I also posted a list of my Buy recommendations;  since then

ARM is up 85%, TEN is up 82%, GRT is up 65%,…


In January, I posted Regional Banks are HOT; since then

WBS is up 29%, RF is up 21%, FULT and STBA are up 16%,…


In January I also posted Go against the flow on BONT; since then BONT is up 30%...


In February, I posted Possibly the best stock for 2010, since then

LF is up 30%.


In March, I posted Retail is HOT, since then (less than a month later)

ZUMZ is up 35%, KIRK is up 28%, SKS is up 27%, BONT is up 24%,…


Now, you tell me if a sane mind can accept this as normal. No way and no how.

This ridiculous bear market rally just has to end. I give it two more years tops… (maybe three)…



 Disclaimer: Just trying to cause temporary top and help binve’s cause…  :)

13 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On March 25, 2010 at 12:46 PM, outoffocus (22.87) wrote:

Nice try but we all know where you stand. You're like the anti-alstry.


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#2) On March 25, 2010 at 12:47 PM, cmfhousel (88.53) wrote:

But how much had all those stock fallen before? And was their drop entirely and completely rational to begin with?

I've noticed that most bears use March 2009 as a reference point of market sanity and rationalism, which is pretty far fetched.  

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#3) On March 25, 2010 at 1:05 PM, Vet67to82 (< 20) wrote:

Thanks for the smile ( insert smilee here ) ( plus 1 rec )

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#4) On March 25, 2010 at 1:05 PM, ETFsRule (< 20) wrote:

+1 rec

Bragging can be fun every once in a while, and these are some solid brags. Nice work.

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#5) On March 25, 2010 at 1:07 PM, cmfhousel (88.53) wrote:

I think i did misinterpret your post. Apologies. 

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#6) On March 25, 2010 at 1:09 PM, topsecret09 (86.72) wrote:

11,000 to 11,150 tops... The VIX Is stabilizing even though we are up over 100 points at present. Preparing for the selloff....   TS

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#7) On March 25, 2010 at 1:23 PM, topsecret09 (86.72) wrote:

 Buy the way...  some great calls Dragon :)

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#8) On March 25, 2010 at 2:09 PM, floridabuilder2 (97.59) wrote:

out of focus,

too funny.... we sure get the extremes on caps

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#9) On March 25, 2010 at 3:41 PM, dragonLZ (89.00) wrote:

Thank you everyone. Thanks a lot.

Last few months were a lot of fun, but watch out below. Last time I started posting stuff like this, my score went from 2500 down to zero.

Oh well, I'm not gonna stop enjoying the good times just because the world might be coming to an end tomorrow... :)

Good Luck Everybody!

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#10) On March 25, 2010 at 3:45 PM, dragonLZ (89.00) wrote:

outoffocus, I know you liked the title of the post, but unfortunately, the post itself is not what you were hoping for...

p.s. Thanks for the compliment. Alstry is a legend here on CAPS...

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#11) On March 25, 2010 at 3:56 PM, outoffocus (22.87) wrote:

What I meant by "nice try" is you used a title thats completely contrary to your true beliefs in order to draw more attention to your post (a classic Alstry move).  So when I said nice try, I meant that its a good strategy to draw more attention, but as a natural skeptic, I knew the post wasn't really going to reflect the title.  

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#12) On March 25, 2010 at 9:52 PM, TDRH (96.52) wrote:

Social Security is paying out more than it is receving.   This was not forecasted to occur until 2016.   The government is waiving 8k in front of homeowners and yet the   sales volumens continue to decline as the number of foreclosures continue to rise. 

March 2009 was the beginning of this surge.   Those that have secured gains from their investments will have them backed by stoplosses, after one year they can avoid short term capital gains.   I sense the potential for a second leg down. 

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#13) On March 30, 2010 at 8:12 PM, CharlieBeLong (30.97) wrote:


Good point on stop losses and 1yr tax impact. 

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