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Today's Trading Plan: GDP Providing Support



October 26, 2012 – Comments (0) | RELATED TICKERS: SPY , DIA , QQQ

Pre-market update (updated 8:30am eastern):

Europe is trading 0.3% higher. 

Asian markets traded -1.2% lower.

US futures are trading flat, with slight weakness.  

Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): GDP (8:30am), Consumer Sentiment (9:55am)

Technical Outlook (SPX):

Market attempted to bounce yesterday, but gave up the day's gains quickly after the market


Short-term we are oversold, and no doubt ready for a bounce. Sometimes, it can take a lot longer than you think to have happen. 

Price has come back inside the lower-bollinger band. 

We had a small pop in volume yesterday, but nothing too exciting. 

There's a trend-line off of the 2011 October lows, that would represent rising long-term support, and today that level sits at 1400. 

We also broke below the critical 1425 support level. This creates an obvious lower-low in the market, but also a break down and out of current price channel. Very bearish

Price support also exists at 1400.

Weekly chart also supports a breakdown in the previous channel, and end to its longer-term uptrend off of the June lows. 

30-minute chart is showing some accumulation/channeling at the lows of the recent sell-off. 

VIX is above 18. 

Fed's QE3 launch is going to add a lot of buying power to this market and drive more people out of interest-bearing assets and into equities in search of some kind of return. 

One area of concern is the 3 large gaps off of the 6/4 lows that remain unfilled, including 6/6, 7/26, 8/3

My Opinions & Trades:


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