Today's Trading Plan: 200-Day Moving Average Looms Heavy
Pre-market update (updated 8:00am eastern):
Europe is trading -0.6% lower.
Asian markets traded -0.9% lower.
US futures are moderately lower.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (7:30am), ICSC Goldman Store Sales (7:45am), Redbook (8:55am), Treasury Budget (2pm)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
Extremely light day of trading due to Veterans Day's and it being a holiday for banks yesterday.
As a result we traded in a sideways pattern, which is the second day in a row that we've seen this.
Still remained fixed below the 200-day moving average.
Typically a dead-cat bounce is a 'snap-back' reaction in the market. It doesn't typically occur after days of consolidation. We may need to see additional selling if that dead-cat bounce is going to occur.
Near-term support levels are are at 1374-5 and if that breaks there's support at 1356. Both support levels are considered minor support levels.
If there is a rally in the coming days, I'd look for 1404 to be targeted resistance.
We are undoubtedly oversold short-term and long-term.
Price is back inside the lower-bollinger band.
A lower-low was established at 1403 as well as a previous lower-high. All bearish developments of an established downtrend.
Last time we broke through the 200-day SMA, it led to a major sell-off in August 2011 that lasted through early October of that same year.
The 30-minute chart show a nice block of consolidation of late.
VIX has been all over the map of late, and dropped 10% yesterday and settled at 16.37.My Opinions & Trades:
Chart for SPX: