Today's Trading Plan: GDP Providing Support
Pre-market update (updated 8:30am eastern):
Europe is trading 0.3% higher.
Asian markets traded -1.2% lower.
US futures are trading flat, with slight weakness.
Economic reports due out (all times are eastern): GDP (8:30am), Consumer Sentiment (9:55am)
Technical Outlook (SPX):
Market attempted to bounce yesterday, but gave up the day's gains quickly after the market
Short-term we are oversold, and no doubt ready for a bounce. Sometimes, it can take a lot longer than you think to have happen.
Price has come back inside the lower-bollinger band.
We had a small pop in volume yesterday, but nothing too exciting.
There's a trend-line off of the 2011 October lows, that would represent rising long-term support, and today that level sits at 1400.
We also broke below the critical 1425 support level. This creates an obvious lower-low in the market, but also a break down and out of current price channel. Very bearish.
Price support also exists at 1400.
Weekly chart also supports a breakdown in the previous channel, and end to its longer-term uptrend off of the June lows.
30-minute chart is showing some accumulation/channeling at the lows of the recent sell-off.
VIX is above 18.
Fed's QE3 launch is going to add a lot of buying power to this market and drive more people out of interest-bearing assets and into equities in search of some kind of return.
One area of concern is the 3 large gaps off of the 6/4 lows that remain unfilled, including 6/6, 7/26, 8/3My Opinions & Trades: