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January 04, 2010 – Comments (14) | RELATED TICKERS: BGZ , SMN , RFN.DL.DL

I am sure that the top 100 ranked fools are all above average investors. I just think that every one of them could be doing better by red thumbing about 60 leveraged short ETFs if they are not already. I want the rating system to be more accurate than it is now so we can figure out who is a great fool and who should be ranked 80 instead of 99.

Looking at RonChapmanJr http://caps.fool.com/player/ronchapmanjr.aspx it is nice to see a player that is highly ranked using green thumbs. I also noticed that he has 20 or so top picks. His accuracy is 77% i would like to know what his top pick accuracy is. He may enjoy keeping 180+ picks managed but he also might now. I can tell you one thing though. If he had a 85% accuracy with his 20 top picks under the current system he would never have gotten enough points to be high ranked and under anyones radar. It would be too hard to find out about him and no one would ever gain from his ideas.

Eddy

14 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On January 04, 2010 at 10:15 AM, 100ozRound (99.72) wrote:

Sorry but if I red thumb anything I'll lose my yes man charm. I'm actually proud to have gotten this high of a score without red thumbing anything.

In fact, I believe I'm currently the highest ranked yes man.

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#2) On January 04, 2010 at 10:45 AM, anticitrade (99.58) wrote:

How do you define better? These guys are already in the top 100? I dont think there should be any confusion about who the top fools are, under the set of rules of Motley Fool, these guys are the top fools.

Additionally, someone who has 77% accuracy with 200 picks is much more impressive to me than someone who has 85% accuracy with 20. Maybe thats because I believe in STATISTICS.

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#3) On January 04, 2010 at 4:17 PM, CapsAreBroken (99.74) wrote:

Anticitrade i went more in depth in my initial blog post.

"CAPS ranks players is that having 200 pics that make 10 points (score) each (2000 points) is a whole lot better than 50 pics that make 30 points each (1500 points). Making 50 good pics is more than enough to prove accuracy but in the CAPS system you are a lot better making 200 O.K. pics. There is no easy solution to this problem but i would suggest a system that takes your average points/score and multiplies it by accuracy. You would obviously need some bonus so that the guy that rates 50 stocks well does better than the guy that got lucky with 3."

I understand it is it takes a very special skill set in order to pick 200 stocks with 77% accuracy. What is more important for me and i would figure for most people is what someone can do with 20-50 stocks. Who owns 200 stocks? Not me. I also think someone who has been picking stocks for a few years on the fool and has kept around 20-50 and rotated through 200 stocks i think has shown the reliability of their accuracy.

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#4) On January 04, 2010 at 4:27 PM, portefeuille (99.75) wrote:

In fact, I believe I'm currently the highest ranked yes man.

Yes you are, my player portefeuille5 is currently #2 and #1 as to score points in that "category".

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#5) On January 04, 2010 at 5:08 PM, truthisntstupid (85.16) wrote:

Kudos to the top players who are not among those who RonChapmanJr was leveling his criticism at when he created AntiRonChapmanJr in order to make his point. People can dispute my opinion but that will not change it. People that make it to the top without red-thumbing obviously crappy companies deserve more respect.

I can drive around and point at crappy cars belching smoke and going down the road on bald tires. I can see the sparks flying from a muffler that's dragging. I can see if the car has a cracked windshield, a window out, or the trunk has to be held shut with some twine.

However, I wouldn't feel quite right identifying myself as an all-star mechanic.

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#6) On January 04, 2010 at 8:45 PM, truthisntstupid (85.16) wrote:

Nor would anyone with any sense want me working on their car.

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#7) On January 05, 2010 at 3:32 PM, TMFUltraLong (99.98) wrote:

Oh great, are you in the "its UnAmerican to short" camp as well. People need to get over the fact that its ok to red thumb something. No companies go up forever. Have you ever considered that the ease you have of finding good companies is the ease a shorter experiences in finding bad companies. Historically speaking, since the 1930s you'd have been right more often on the short side than the long side. Shorting is a way of life in trading and on CAPS so you just need to get used to it, suck it up and move on.

UltraLong

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#8) On January 05, 2010 at 3:47 PM, catoismymotor (78.40) wrote:

Hey, it is all a game. In this game you can play it a few different ways. If you don't like to short for any number of reasons that is fine. If you want to play nothing but shorts that is cool as well. I would find it extemely amusing and interesting to see someone try it. Normally I don't short, unless it is a slam dunk because I have very little practice with it.

Fool on and stay warm.

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#9) On January 05, 2010 at 4:09 PM, truthisntstupid (85.16) wrote:

Want to see someone try it?

OK here it is again.....

http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=153083&t=01005948445502773037

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