Trading vs Investing
For the most part I try to stick to investing in companies that are undervalued. Once in a while I toy with the idea of trying to take advantage of a short term event that seems like it has a high probability of happening. I usually talk myself out of it; vacillating back and forth about potential outcomes. It didn't even occur to me to try to game a government shutdown however the aftermath so far confirms for me the futility of trying to out guess everyone else and the value of just trying to buy companies when they're cheap.