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sagitarius84 (< 20)

Utility dividends for current income

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October 01, 2009 – Comments (5) | RELATED TICKERS: ED , TEG , FPU.DL

Electric, Gas and Water utilities have always been traditionally regarded as income stocks by investors. Their high current yields, and the relative stability of their distributions made them a preferred choice for investors who are seeking current income from their assets.

Utilities typically pay out a large portion of their earnings as dividends, which explains their slow dividend growth and high dividend yields. Most utilities operate as natural monopolies, which guarantees almost no competition in their specific geographic areas. It would be very costly to run two separate electrical grids, and such investment could take many decades to pay off. Thus utilities tend to generate stable earnings and revenues in any economic conditions, as people keep using water, gas and electricity in their daily lives no matter what.

A main risk factor for many utilities is government legislation in regards to greenhouse gases, which could increase their costs over time. Such legislation could force utilities to purchase CO2 pollution allowances, which could cut into earnings. The heavy government regulation could be the driving force behind future growth however. A recent phenomenon has been the smart grid initiative.

The smart grid initiative integrates information and communication technology into electricity generation, delivery, and consumption, making systems cleaner, safer, and more reliable and efficient. While it would be costly to modernize electric grids, there is some stimulus available from the department of energy. The department of energy plans to distribute $3.9 billion in Recovery Act funds for smart grid projects through two funding opportunities. The first provides $3.3 billion for deploying and implementing smart grid technologies across the country. The second provides $615 million for smart grid pilot projects. (Source: Yahoo Finance)

Because of the stability of their cash flows, utilities could afford increasing their dividends for long periods of time. Most utilities that I have stumbled upon have had a history of dividend increases, followed by a steep dividend cut, which is then followed by another string of dividend increases. More often than not however, dividend cuts in the Utilities Sector are followed by dividend increases for several years until the dividend payment reaches or exceeds the previous levels. Because of this cyclical nature of utility dividends I view the sector as more suitable for current income generation that for solid dividend growth. Thus for a younger investor who has more than 2 decades until they plan on living off their dividend income in retirement, I would not recommend a high exposure to utilities.

While current yields on utilities tend to be higher than the yields on S&P 500, dividend growth is much slower, which could erode the purchasing power of your utility dividend income over time. I view utilities stocks similarly to fixed income, as they are very sensitive to interest rates and have stable distributions.

Utility stocks typically lag during strong bull markets as investors chase higher growth prospects. In flat or bear markets however utility stocks do not decline as much and they are further helped by their generous dividend yields.

While it is true that some utilities don’t have a strong history of raising distributions, there are several utilities, which have raised their distributions for more than 25 consecutive years, and thus are part of the dividend champion’s list:

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It is important to look at the dividend payout ratios, the EPS trends and the EBIT to interest expense ratio in order to gauge the sustainability of the dividend payment over time. The EBIT to interest expense or coverage ratio is an important indicator which shows whether utilities could afford servicing their debt obligations. While some investors focus only on the debt to asset ratios, I view the ability to service interest payments as an important factor that shows how sustainable the company’s ability to operate as a going concern actually is.

Because of the slow dividend growth, I would not consider initiating a position in utilities stocks yielding less than 4% to 5%.

Full Disclosure: Long ED


Relevant Articles:


- The case for dividend investing in retirement

- Why should companies pay out dividends?

- Dividend Portfolio Investing for monthly income

- Dividend Conspiracies

5 Comments – Post Your Own

#1) On October 01, 2009 at 9:36 AM, sagitarius84 (< 20) wrote:

What is your opinion on utility stocks?

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#2) On October 01, 2009 at 10:45 AM, leohaas (33.21) wrote:

"A main risk factor for many utilities is government legislation in regards to greenhouse gases, which could increase their costs over time. Such legislation could force utilities to purchase CO2 pollution allowances, which could cut into earnings."

Not true. Utilities typically have their rates set by the state Public Utilities Commission (or similarly named entity). These PUCs take all costs into account when setting rates. If greenhouse gas legislation will require utilities to purchase CO2 pollution allowances in the future, no doubt us rate payers will be on the hook for it and not the utilities.

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#3) On October 01, 2009 at 10:56 AM, pj19 (< 20) wrote:

I have about 200 shares of SO.  I have dividend re-investment turned on, and I also write covered calls for additional income on the shares.  It's interesting because it is one stock that I am happy when it goes down (so that it doesn't hit my call strike price and I can get more for my money when divideneds are paid to aquire more shares).  Once the cash from covered calls builds up a little bit I plan on buying more shares.  Its yield is currently about 5.5% but with the addition of the covered calls I am hitting about 8% return after commission costs.

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#4) On October 01, 2009 at 11:06 AM, TDRH (99.72) wrote:

The question/risk with utilities is inflation and the impact of expected inflation on interest rates.   The amount of liquidity pumped into the economy to rescue the financial institutions poses a threat to the value of the dollar and the interest of foreign nationals in US Treasuries.   Bottom line if interest rates/yields on treasuries rise due to Fed intervention, or lack of demand you will see the prices of these stocks drop to make them more attractive and any yield you receive will be wiped away by inflationary pressures.

I view dividends as attractive if I anticipate interest rates to fall or remain stable.   Currently interest rates do not reflect the real risk of inflation, and I believe this is temporary.

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#5) On October 01, 2009 at 11:26 AM, chk999 (99.97) wrote:

I think they make part  of a great portfolio. They provide stable income and I tend to think of them as perpetual bonds. Capital appreciation can be somewhat limited, but as a nice stable keel on a portfolio they have a lot to recommend them.

Chris - long XEL and other fine companies

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