American Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMSWA)

CAPS Rating: 5 out of 5

The Company develops, markets and supports a portfolio of software and services that deliver enterprise management and collaborative supply chain solutions to the global marketplace.

Recs

2
Player Avatar alexs85 (45.06) Submitted: 10/12/2007 4:37:01 PM : Underperform Start Price: $6.70 AMSWA Score: -1.83

http://shadunskymethod.blogspot.com/2007/10/american-software-fairly-valued-amswa.html

So there has been a lot of talk regarding American Software on the Yahoo Message boards and in the MF Caps, everyone seems to think its undervalued and a great "Asset play." From further analysis, it is far from it. Here is the math:

AMSWA owns 88% of LGTY = $165.8 mln
Cash on the books is $75.6 mln, but $30 mln is from LGTY so net of $45.6 mln
So that gives a value of $211.4 mln for AMSWA so far.
The last portion of the calculation would be AMSWA the company, separate from LGTY. The last three years for AMSWA performance has been dismal separate from LGTY, their Net Income has roughly been $3.16 mln, -$2.03 mln, and $3.82 mln. They have roughly 26.8 mln shares outstanding which leads to roughly $0.06 per share on average over the past three years. Maybe a P/E of 10 in the best case scenario gives a valuation of $0.60 for AMSWA solo.

So, $7.89 valuation of cash on the books plus LGTY stake. Plus a valuation of $0.60 for the co itself suggests roughly a $8.50 valuation for each AMSWA share. With a P/E of 20 that yields roughly a $9.10. Regardless of how an investor values AMSWA by itself, the stock is fairly valued. The only reason AMSWA stock has been moving has been because of LGTY.

Member Avatar jdlech (< 20) Submitted: 9/6/2008 7:54:07 AM
Recs: 0

If they own 88% of another company, would they not own 88% of that companies assets and income? I don't see the logic of paring those assets from their numbers and refiguring their fundamentals. Isn't that like looking at Chrysler but cutting out all the assets of Jeep, Dodge, Mopar, and Chrysler Financial even though they 100% owned by Chrysler?

Featured Broker Partners


Advertisement