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$7.95 0.55 (7.43%)
10/10/2008 4:00 PM

Amtech Systems, Inc. (ASYS)

CAPS Rating:
*****

The Company is a supplier of horizontal diffusion furnace systems used for semiconductor and solar 'photovoltaic' cell manufacturing. It operates in two business segments: semiconductor equipment and polishing supplies.

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Avatar pre176 (< 20) Submitted: 12/11/07 2:41 AM : Outperform Start Price: $16.66 ASYS Score: -10.45

If everyone is at war, what better business is there than being an arms dealer? That's why Amtech is in such a good spot right now, all the solar companies are fighting tooth and nail to increase production dramatically. The proof is in the pudding for Amtech, with solar sales up 150% YOY, and that doesn't include the $17.4 million that they just booked in one order...nearly matching the previous year's solar income!

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Avatar EPS100Momentum (< 20) Submitted: 1/01/08 3:17 PM

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ASYS target $69.04 for end of 2008 based on intrinsic value.
Finance Online Calculators : Stock Price - Return & Intrinsic Value Based on Earnings
http://tinyurl.com/22ys5n Online Intrinsic Value Calculator
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ae?s=ASYS Estimates per yahoo stats

This online calculator evaluates potential investments by computing the present value of a stock's future earnings. A stock's intrinsic value is the present value of its future earnings and can be used to determine if a stock is over or under-valued. For stocks with no current earnings, visit our Projected Sales Stock Calculator. Visit our Finance Section for more personal finance, asset allocation, and investment information.


Current Stock Price $12.99 Based on your assumptions, over the next 10 years, this stock is projected to earn:
32% per year and be worth

$270 in ten years (pre-tax)

(This amount includes re-invested dividends)

The stock's current intrinsic value is:

$69.04 for end of 2008

Please note that this projection is very sensitive to your assumptions and makes certain simplifying calculations. You may want to perform a simple "sensitivity analysis" by varying your assumptions for "Growth" and "Discount Rate."

Looks like a very good investment. Check your assumptions and look for other risk factors. How does the stock price compare to its intrinsic value?

These values below were used to come up with above end of 2008 intrinsic value of $69.04 for ASYS :

Earnings per Share $0.99 for end of 2008 per estimates on yahoo
Growth in Earnings during the next 10 years
(Over time, growth should approach 6-10% as competition and other factors come into play.)

Yr 1-3 40 % used per yahoo estimates

Yr 4-6 35 % used per yahoo estimates

Yr 7-10 15% used per yahoo estimates

Discount Rate 15% used for riskier stocks
(This is the interest rate used to compute present values.) 12% for typical stocks

15% for riskier stocks


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