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Player Avatar noirblood (98.68) Submitted: 7/30/2010 12:51:52 PM : Outperform Start Price: $3.70 AXTI Score: -5.72

.08 EPS in the first quarter, 0.13 EPS in the second quarter (0.17 inclusive of one-time items), fresh estimates for 0.12 to 0.14 EPS in the third quarter...that gets them over 0.30 EPS before the fourth quarter even begins.

I had previously estimated 0.30 annual EPS would put a reasonable valuation on this one around $8. If they can deliver on estimates in the third quarter and even have a decent fourth, this one is going to continue to roar.

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Member Avatar jasenj1 (45.68) Submitted: 8/9/2010 7:33:23 PM
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Wow. Nicely timed pick.

Member Avatar noirblood (98.68) Submitted: 10/29/2010 11:50:07 AM
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.08 1Q, .13 EPS 2Q (.17 with one-time items), .13 EPS 3Q (.17 with one-time items), fresh estimates for .15 to .17 EPS in 4Q.

That puts us around .49 to .51 EPS for 2010 (exclusive of one-time items). We've cleared $8/share, which I thought was a reasonable valuation given .30 EPS for 2010. Given the recent performance and high expectations for Q4, I have to think that $10 is not far away. I think it would still be undervalued at that price.

I bought shares of AXTI at $3.72 on April 23.

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