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$42.00 -1.38 (-3.18%)
5/16/2008 4:00 PM

Guess?, Inc. (GES)

CAPS Rating:
***

The Company designs, markets, distributes and licenses lifestyle collections of contemporary apparel and accessories for men, women and children that reflect the American lifestyle and European fashion sensibilities.

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Avatar abitarecatania (96.59) Submitted: 1/03/08 11:21 AM : Underperform Start Price: $37.01 GES Score: -14.66

Guess? Guess what? I Guess you are going to lose your aXX if you own Guess? stock!

1. The American consumer is saturated
2. BRIC countries buy fakes. Why pay more?
3. US consumer and housing based recession is going to crush Guess
4. Retail sector saturation
5. Hyper competition in retail space
6. P/E = 22 vs Industry average of 13
7. Guess present clothing line suxs

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Avatar TMFBent (99.99) Submitted: 5/14/08 9:37 PM

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you and I agree a lot, abit, but you've got this one way wrong. It's been overpriced, but Guess has been selling well despite the consumer meltdown, and it's nearly (or already) 50% foreign, with more international growth on the way. It's products (often identical to those sold in the U.S.) can bring 2x the price in many foreign markets, making for margin-busting expansion.

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