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Five banks write 97 percent of all credit-default swaps in the U.S. These 5 banks are: Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Morgan Stanley(NYSE: MS). This is the present system. Yes, I think that some of these are debatably insolvent. Yes, I think that there is rampant mortgage fraud. Yes, this recommendation flies in the face of trying to value businesses based on their terms of doing business. This is a bet that is driven by my belief that housing is bottoming. The economics of the situation and the global monetary authorities will not let these banks collapse into insolvency and thus, they do have an intrinsic valuation where larger, unnecessary risks actually do create shareholder value because they aren't REAL risks because they are backstopped by society.
http://beta.fool.com/bradford86/2012/02/07/bet-fraud-its-natural-component-global-banking-sys/1752/