Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

The world’s leading software company, Microsoft is the force behind the Windows operating systems and the Office suite of software.

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3
Player Avatar MrOneHundred (30.43) Submitted: 2/25/2013 5:34:07 AM : Outperform Start Price: $26.17 MSFT Score: +46.34

With their entrance into the mobile marketplace with the hip-looking, touch-screen Surface laptop/quasi-tablet, I feel that the company is stepping in the right direction. More products like the Surface are a good move. Windows 8 was an excellent innovation that merged all the operating system platforms. However, it was released at the wrong time, and consumers bashed it. It also sort of left regular, old desktop users in the dust when it came to ease of use; good for touch screens, bad for most other things. While it has a learning curve, I think revamping the graphics and changing its accessibility will save Microsoft in the long run. The integrated store, I agree, is a good business model waiting to build up steam (no pun intended). The company seems to be focusing its attention mostly on the Xbox and reviving the PC market. I think this is also a good move because unlike Apple's products which are mostly information sharing, Microsoft's products still have multiple avenues of usefulness. IMacs are also way too expensive to be in the average consumer lifestyle... especially with all the home foreclosures since 2009. (In a more personal note, I find them buggy, and hate the lack of modularity.) If the Xbox hits the living room as the article below suggests, I can see Xbox Music and the Xbox Kinect dominating Pandora and seriously competing with other gaming systems. (I still think Pandora's cooler though.)

http://www.forbes.com/sites/davidewalt/2012/06/04/microsoft-xbox-is-winning-the-living-room-war-heres-why/

With Apple's stock steady decline, and the Steve Jobs death syndrome going around, some consumers may change sides. Sentiment towards AAPL has definitely seen a dramatic shift, and it's one that could play into MSFT's inclination. It still seems like a long shot, but I can see it happening.

Ballmer needs to go. Period.

People keep bashing Microsoft, and they've got some good reasons to: The administration generally hasn't made the best decisions in the past, the stock's growth has been too conservative, and at first glance Windows 8 was a disappointment. Plus, there's positive sentiment towards Apple's products that has been built into investors by several years of enormous growth and innovation.

I think, all other things being equal, that Microsoft could see enormous growth over the next 5 years. (This stock is on my watch list for this reason.) Again IMO, I think this will take some time to grow into the consumer hearts. I'll be there with a buy if I ever find significant evidence that this has happened. Until then, I'm going to wait to see what happens.

As you can tell, I get rather long-winded! XD I hope you enjoyed my rant.

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Member Avatar MaryStern (56.04) Submitted: 2/27/2013 8:29:45 PM
Recs: 0

Mr Eightysix,
I have bought SLCA yesterday.
100% invested.
Please give me your highly educated opinion

Member Avatar MrOneHundred (30.43) Submitted: 2/28/2013 4:20:15 AM
Recs: 0

I created a pick for it. Seems like a good stock. What kind of research do you do to keep up with the market?

Member Avatar MaryStern (56.04) Submitted: 2/28/2013 3:55:24 PM
Recs: 0

I am purely technical.
I believe that the all the info is in the price / volume action.
Bought a powerful breakout three days ago.
By powerful I mean the break out from the "cup" base on a volume over 1000% than the average one.
That happened on the day when the market was down, so the action of the stock gave an additional buy signal.
The breakout happened the same day when the stock gave an excellent earnings report at 10AM.
The stock is at the part of the IBD's Top 50 list with the EPS rating of 97.
Thank you for your post about SLCA..
Keep the good work.
Thanks

Member Avatar MrOneHundred (30.43) Submitted: 2/28/2013 4:52:00 PM
Recs: 0

Before the Motley Fool, I've been an ultra long term investor based mostly on news for major, blue chip corporations. I tell ye, the news is most important long term! It tells you how supply and demand are shifting for major corporations. Made some major bucks doing that... but I've grown impatient.

In the realm of day trading and swing trading (which is where I want to be) I'm horribly inexperienced. It makes sense that the technical stuff becomes a lot more important the shorter the time frame. Bought two books on Day Trading and Technical Analysis, been reading up on different formations and market indicators. Very eye opening.

Do you day trade or swing trade?

Member Avatar MaryStern (56.04) Submitted: 3/1/2013 1:08:59 PM
Recs: 0

Mr Eightyeight,
I do not day trade.
It's not my style and the "emotional" build up..
To be successful in the market your trading system has to be compatible with with you.
Otherwise you will fail because you will abandon your system, which has to be followed religiously so that you have any chance to make money.
The main point is to cut your losses short and let your winners run forever so the gains from that winning trades will cover your losses with abundance.
Read the "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator' by Lefevre but Jesse Livermore.
THere is the very important sentence in that book.
"In the bull market you game is to buy and hold until you think that the general conditions of the market changed"
"Nobody can catch all the fluctuations"
So you have been in the right pass

Member Avatar MaryStern (56.04) Submitted: 3/1/2013 3:16:58 PM
Recs: 0

So to answer your question I have to say that I would like to be so resilient as to just watch the 40SMA on the weekly chart and close the winning trade once the stock goes below the average.
But I can not do it.
I can not just sit thru the market's corrections just watching my money disappearing.
I have my stop loss set everyday at the lower edge of the 10 days price channel and the market decides for me.

Member Avatar MrOneHundred (30.43) Submitted: 3/1/2013 4:05:40 PM
Recs: 0

I'll see if I can find a copy of the book at the public library. I'm up to reading anything new. Perhaps I should justify my definition of "swing trader" because wiki defines it as holding a stock for a few days. I've always assumed swing trader meant following the major upwards and downwards trends. That's what I wish to do.

Your strategy seems pretty solid for most stocks. Do you ever experience an initial decline that causes you to sell the next or even same day, despite what the channel is telling you is the safe low?

Member Avatar MrOneHundred (30.43) Submitted: 3/1/2013 4:10:39 PM
Recs: 0

On an aside, I can't believe I'm price leader of CTIX. For shame to all the serious biotechnology & pharmaceutical investors out there! lol

Member Avatar MaryStern (56.04) Submitted: 3/4/2013 5:14:28 PM
Recs: 0

My loss is no more that 2% of my trading capital on each trade.
What I would advise you to do is starting to buy the stocks putting the 10% of your capital in each one and setting immedistely your stop loss 10% below the urchase price.
This way your maximum loss on any of yours trading ideas will be just 1%.
That is the perfect way to start building up your portfolio.
The 10% stop loss is very extrime.
It will seldom get hit.
That was the stop loss used by Jesse Livermore.
The market is in a correction right now so you should not buy anything.
Wait for the signal from the IBD saying that the market is in a confirmed uptrend.
I will tell you when you should start to build your portfolio.

Member Avatar MaryStern (56.04) Submitted: 3/4/2013 5:25:06 PM
Recs: 0

You can look at my top 20 picks with the highest return.
All of them are the stocks at or near the all time hights.
I am adding every day the new stocks from the all time high listat Barchartd.com.
So these are the new leaders and all the turn arounds are excluded.
If you want to be picky than you should check each stock for the EPS rating at the IBD.
That info is free.
Yokel not have to subscribe to get it

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