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Player Avatar earthStrapped (24.09) Submitted: 3/5/2008 10:11:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $20.09 NRT Score: -27.16

This stock is really three plays. FIrst, it is a long call on natural gas. Second it is a short call on the dollar. Third, it is a speculative long call on unproven reserves in the Oldenburg region of Germany.The value of this company is directly tied to the value of the royalties it will receive on natural gas reserves that it owns rights to. The future value of these royalties is dependent on the price of natural gas at the time it is pumped and the amount pumped. At present, this company has proven reserves of 38.254 billion cubic feet, and earned $26.7 mil off of 3.6 bcf pumped last year (1.4 bcf were added to the proven reserve last year) giving the current proven reserve a value of about $285m or $31.04 per share at todays prices. The trust pays out 100% of the royalties after administration fees of approximately $1m per year.I wouldn't expect this stock to greatly outperform the market, but it is a way to hedge the dollar while taking advantage of what could be a "lull" in the price of natural gas.

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