$17.29 -0.28 (-1.59%)
11/6/2009 4:01 PM

Valero Energy Corp (VLO)

CAPS Rating: 5 out of 5

The company owns and operates 18 refineries located in the United States, Canada, and Aruba that produce premium, environmentally clean refined products such as RBOB. It also produces conventional gasolines, distillates, jet fuel, asphalt, petrochemicals.

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Member Avatar JakilaTheHun (99.95) Submitted: 5/14/2009 3:04:53 AM : Outperform Start Price: $20.98 VLO Score: -37.12

Taking a gamble on VLO. I honestly do not understand the refineries all that well and would like to learn more about them this year. Sometimes I make CAPS picks to force myself to do that.

That said, I don't have to know much about them to green thumb this right now. Net tangible assets are worth about $30 per share and the stock is selling at a 30%+ discount to that. This is also a commoditized industry and my general rule of thumb on commodities: "buy when the companies' are losing money and everyone is terrified to own these stocks --- sell when profits are sky-high and everyone is euphoric."

I could be wrong but even given my lack of knowledge of this industry, I believe this has a very good chance of working in my favor over the long-term.

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Member Avatar withoutlimits (89.90) Submitted: 7/2/2009 2:27:01 PM
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I agree. From what I see, this is a bargain. I picked up a few share in real life.

Member Avatar clearbranch (< 20) Submitted: 7/12/2009 10:20:14 AM
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I bought VLO at 20.09 and still feel like it was a good buy. :-)

Member Avatar CliffLincoln (38.82) Submitted: 8/24/2009 9:35:16 PM
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does anyone have information on whether or not the current capacity for refining sour crude is causing enough demand to reduce the advantage of this one-time competetive advantage? I am trying to figure out if this is one possible cause for recent poor earning reports.

Member Avatar kaskoosek (99.76) Submitted: 9/27/2009 7:14:23 AM
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Refiners are under priced, I wonder when the supply/demand mechanics correct.

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