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$32.73 -1.15 (-3.39%)
7/23/2008 4:00 PM

Alcoa, Inc. (AA)

CAPS Rating:
****

A Producer of primary aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina, and is active in all major aspects of the industry: technology, mining, refining, smelting, fabricating, and recycling.

Rating a stock in CAPS consists of three components:

Your call - Will this stock outperform or underperform the S&P 500? Successful picks are measured in terms of whether or not you were correct and by how many percentage points.

Your time frame - A guideline for other members to see whether your thinking is short or long-term. Time frame is also used to calculate the stock rating, but is not used in the scoring of your pick.

Your pitch - Here's your chance to offer more detailed thoughts, analysis, concerns, or the rationale behind your call. The pitch is optional and may be added later.

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What the Community Thinks

Total Members

1437 Outperforms
127 Underperforms
 

All-Stars

436 Outperforms
34 Underperforms
 

Wall Street

16 Outperforms
0 Underperforms
 

Members bullish on AA are also bullish on:

Members bearish on AA are also bearish on:

Ticker Tags

Aluminum (15), Dividend (202), Pennsylvania (16), New York (30), S&P 500 (481), Dow (30), Large Cap (467), Pittsburgh (6)
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Alcoa, Inc. At A Glance

Current Price: $32.73
Last Trade Time: 7/23/2008 4:00 PM
Open: $33.82
Previous Close: $33.88
Daily Range: $32.49 - $33.82
52-Week Range: $26.69 - $44.77
Volume: 12,252,604
Market Cap: $27.62B
P/E Ratio: 13.94
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Stock Trends

AA VS S&P 500 (SPY)

AA 12 month chart vs. S&P

News & Discussion Boards

Other News Headlines for AA

More Headlines...

Top Bull Pitch

Recs

7

Alcoa, Inc. (AA)

Avatar Smiley81 (93.75) Submitted: 4/25/08 9:13 AM

Stats on AA:

P/E = 11.73
PEG = 0.41
Y-O-Y Growth Rate (Earnings) = 28.8%

Currently trading at a 30% discount to intrinsic value based on earnings.

Price of aluminum will rise.

Replies: 1 | Reply | Permalink

Top Bear Pitch

Recs

9

Alcoa, Inc. (AA)

Avatar ganogordon (< 20) Submitted: 10/26/07 11:29 PM

housing slumpo make aluminum go glumpo

Replies: 0 | Reply | Permalink

CAPS Members

picks per page. CHANGE

Results 1 - 5 of 223 :   1 2 3 4 5 Next » Jump to page:

Recs

0

 (AA)

Avatar jatava (< 20) Submitted: 7/22/08 11:11 PM : Outperform Start Price: $38.35 AA Score: -5.50

15.000

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Recs

0

 (AA)

Avatar donktastic (< 20) Submitted: 7/10/08 7:48 PM : Outperform Start Price: $34.23 AA Score: -8.19

This stock isn't going make you a 10 bagger anymore, but it certainly is a great stock to hold for consistent value and when the market gets a little tough. I like the fact that Alcoa comes full circle with aluminum production...they mine, refine, manufacture, market, and recycle it.

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Recs

0

 (AA)

Avatar bwd81 (30.04) Submitted: 7/09/08 9:45 AM : Outperform Start Price: $33.24 AA Score: -2.36

Although good profit report, this is still a risk depending on other manufacturing sectors. I'll trust the new leadership will cast this company in a profitable mold

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Recs

0

 (AA)

Avatar JoyofMoney (< 20) Submitted: 7/09/08 2:03 AM : Underperform Start Price: $34.76 AA Score: 5.27

Another stock that I understood to be a good steady influence that has been doing the downturn dance very steadily for awhile. Of course with my luck I would write this pitch on the day it beats expectations with how low its earnings fell - however I still see a losing side to via an increase to AA's expenses that will show in future quarters. Not really thinking it will stay up even if it moves up for awhile in sympathy to a rally.

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Recs

0

 (AA)

Avatar wiredmotley (< 20) Submitted: 7/08/08 9:24 PM : Underperform Start Price: $33.99 AA Score: 4.26

Slightly over 1 percent sales growth in a worldwide materials and commodities boom is NOT a good sign.





24 percent decrease in earnings.





Increasing foreign competition with much lower labor rates and probably lower executive salaries as well.





Key insiders selling.





The technicals are a little mixed to bearish right now:





The AMEX Materials sector stocks are getting hammered and Alcoa when placed on a chart next to these SPDRs mimics them step for step (very bearish).





30 Day MA above the 10 Day MA (bearish).





Stock is being heavily distributed of late (bearish).





The down trend is of moderate strength (as opposed to weak or strong). You could say moderately bearish...





Since 6/20/08 the stock has been trending lower and on increasing volume (bearish).





The RSI was starting to turn up from the Overbought range and as of this writing it turned back down very slightly (bearish).





There are some positive: signs the Slow Stochastics turning up above the 20 line and a Hammer Candle stick just below the linear regression line. We will still need some confirmation.





Volitility is increasing and based on all of the above info; I see an increase in some more downside potential...





Sincerely,


WiredMotley

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Wall Street

Results 1 - 15 of 15  

picks per page. CHANGE Expand All Pitches

Top
Pick
Member NameMember RatingStart
Date
CallTime FrameStart
Price
Stock
Gain
S&P
Gain
ScorePitch
TrackBofASec 96.35 07/22/08 Outperform NS $34.13-4.10%+2.45%-6.55
TrackFBR 90.04 07/09/08 Outperform NS $33.99-3.71%+0.56%-4.26
TrackJimCramer 81.15 05/05/08 05/05/08 Outperform 3W $36.89-11.28%-8.96%-2.32
TrackLehmanBros 87.88 03/28/08 03/28/08 Outperform NS $35.63-8.13%-3.59%-4.53
TrackDavenport 89.83 03/24/08 03/24/08 Outperform NS $35.06-6.64%-5.36%-1.28
TrackDreman 95.90 12/31/07 12/31/07 Outperform NS $36.19-9.55%-12.31%+2.76 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackBearStearns 90.67 12/17/07 12/17/07 Outperform NS $34.36-4.75%-12.32%+7.56
TrackSoros 89.82 09/30/07 09/30/07 Outperform NS $38.56-15.13%-15.97%+0.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackDodgeCox 98.33 09/30/07 09/30/07 Outperform NS $38.56-15.13%-15.97%+0.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackSnow 90.50 09/30/07 09/30/07 Outperform NS $38.56-15.13%-15.97%+0.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackBRogers 93.36 09/30/07 09/30/07 Outperform NS $38.56-15.13%-15.97%+0.84 Toggle the visibility of 60-Second Pitch and replies
TrackMichaelSivy 91.47 03/20/07 03/20/07 Outperform 1Y $33.11-1.14%-9.05%+7.91
TrackCreditSuiss 96.21 02/27/07 02/27/07 Outperform NS $33.43-2.09%-10.89%+8.80
TrackCitigroup 86.45 02/08/07 02/08/07 Outperform NS $31.58+3.63%-11.44%+15.08
TrackUBS 94.11 01/10/07 01/10/07 Outperform NS $28.73+13.94%-8.79%+22.73
TrackBMOCapital 96.80 10/12/06 10/12/06 Outperform NS $26.22+24.83%-5.40%+30.24

Results 1 - 15 of 15  

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