American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

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Member Avatar samdcaek (62.91) Submitted: 4/16/2015 8:57:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $47.96 AAL Score: +8.60

Low fuel prices and AAL doesnt hedge as much as other airlines. The benefits of the merger have not been reflected in the sharr price. low P/E relative to other airlines

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Member Avatar ruinas (55.46) Submitted: 4/15/2015 4:47:40 PM : Outperform Start Price: $47.81 AAL Score: +9.47

Oil price will come back down for at least the short term and revenue will increasse, hence upward movment of stock

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Member Avatar Chelmno (40.28) Submitted: 4/7/2015 9:02:30 PM : Underperform Start Price: $47.80 AAL Score: -8.29

DIA

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Member Avatar CMFChadf926 (76.93) Submitted: 3/23/2015 11:17:19 AM : Outperform Start Price: $55.20 AAL Score: -4.89

Lower oil prices, just added to S&P and I think still undervalued due to bankruptcy.

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Member Avatar jakebvt (51.43) Submitted: 2/24/2015 12:33:44 PM : Outperform Start Price: $49.93 AAL Score: +5.37

Buying cheap gas for reserves. Low PE way undervalued. Fair value roughly $70 per share. Solid growth, merger. Etc.

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Member Avatar 23dluxe (51.15) Submitted: 2/18/2015 8:43:54 AM : Outperform Start Price: $48.60 AAL Score: +7.50

lack of competition, high fees, cutting labor, est. 7 eps, low oil

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Member Avatar AnsgarJohn (99.10) Submitted: 2/12/2015 1:50:04 PM : Underperform Start Price: $48.27 AAL Score: -7.74

Oil price is going up to highest marginal cost of production. American Airlines. End ASAP.

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Member Avatar wontontx (< 20) Submitted: 1/22/2015 10:29:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $54.73 AAL Score: -7.37

Better earning with lower fuel prices.

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Member Avatar 1russianguy (85.90) Submitted: 1/15/2015 10:12:59 AM : Outperform Start Price: $49.94 AAL Score: +0.01

Sabrient

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Member Avatar mrudolph72 (65.40) Submitted: 1/14/2015 3:19:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $49.21 AAL Score: +1.71

Sabrient

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Member Avatar bartlettmi (78.15) Submitted: 1/14/2015 2:30:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $49.17 AAL Score: +1.50

Oil price declines, check. Unhedged fuel costs, check. Labor relations stability, check. Pricing power, check. Supply discipline, check. Efficiency improvements resulting from one of the largest mergers in history, check.

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Member Avatar Lizardbelly (< 20) Submitted: 1/6/2015 5:24:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $53.27 AAL Score: -6.14

Fuel, fuel, fuel. Low EPS.

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Member Avatar AnnsAngel (< 20) Submitted: 12/31/2014 12:55:45 PM : Outperform Start Price: $53.96 AAL Score: -4.49

It gone from $15.50 (AAMRQ) to it's current $54+ in just a year. I feel it is an airline that is now out of bankruptcy with a solid plan to expand it's operations.

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Member Avatar mrgekko (54.57) Submitted: 12/22/2014 7:58:19 AM : Outperform Start Price: $43.05 AAL Score: +18.25

Despite the recent tailwind that plummeting crude prices has provided, American Airlines is more than a falling oil price story.
American Airlines has gone from bankruptcy protection (like many others) in 2011 to merging with US Airlines in 2013 to create the world largest airline carrier. AAL has invested heavily, with its fleet’s average aircrafts age quickly declining, leaving it with one of the most fuel efficient fleets in the industry. The merger created one the best networks in the world and left it with a much better base from which to compete nationally and globally.
One of the benefits from its merger is that it has billions of dollars in net operating loss carry forwards, an accounting device that lets a company apply past financial losses to future tax bills. This will leave American Airlines with a much reduced tax rates to pay in future years, which will increase the firm ability to return cash to shareholders. This stands in sharp contrast to the historical industry tendency to increase market share at any cost.
Fuel is the largest single cost item for the global airline industry, despite continued improvements in engine and airframe technologies which have dramatically improved fuel efficiency, jet fuel accounts for around a third of operating costs. The recent fall in crude has led to some of the highest profit levels industry wide in 2014 as $0.01 fall in jet fuel equates to $165m in pre-tax profits to the industry.
Lower input costs, increasing efficiencies, self-help, barriers to entry, shareholder friendly management and increased volumes in key markets mean American Airlines profitability and thus cash flow generation should be favorable for some time to come.

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Member Avatar nonzerosum (84.31) Submitted: 12/8/2014 3:50:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $50.67 AAL Score: +1.55

cheap fuel

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Member Avatar BorjaT (< 20) Submitted: 12/5/2014 11:45:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $47.82 AAL Score: +6.71

Fuel price and no hedging

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Member Avatar bIlluminati (30.09) Submitted: 10/14/2014 12:49:49 PM : Underperform Start Price: $31.74 AAL Score: -54.08

Peak earnings negative.

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Member Avatar JimboUSAF (38.22) Submitted: 8/13/2014 12:23:25 PM : Outperform Start Price: $37.95 AAL Score: +30.22

The largest airline and a too big to fail airline. Investor interest is down right now. Wait for some up momentum then get in. Read the chart.

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Member Avatar zsilver (36.63) Submitted: 4/11/2014 9:19:52 AM : Outperform Start Price: $34.32 AAL Score: +37.50

merger positions largest airline to be a leader going forward

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Member Avatar Shag (< 20) Submitted: 3/27/2014 8:55:47 AM : Outperform Start Price: $36.36 AAL Score: +30.40

Forward thinking management, disposal of old equipment (poor performance) new management forward thinking CEO.

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