American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

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Member Avatar EPS100Momentum (72.72) Submitted: 1/23/2015 8:14:56 PM : Outperform Start Price: $55.89 AAL Score: -5.20

AAL gets FAA approval to China from Texas. That is great news considering:
The recent agreement between the U.S. and China governments, to extend the validity of short-term visas for visitors between both nations for up to ten years followed with the extension of student exchange visas from one to five years will considerably benefit airline companies while going forward.

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Member Avatar IBDvalueinvestin (99.68) Submitted: 1/22/2015 5:54:34 PM : Outperform Start Price: $55.40 AAL Score: -3.86

HedgeFree AAL will beat all airlines on fuel savings. Recent article says going to $120/shr in 2015 because of $12 EPS.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/2831316-my-best-idea-for-2015-american-airlines

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Member Avatar wontontx (< 20) Submitted: 1/22/2015 10:29:16 AM : Outperform Start Price: $54.84 AAL Score: -3.68

Better earning with lower fuel prices.

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Member Avatar Sargent18 (51.81) Submitted: 1/15/2015 8:03:30 PM : Outperform Start Price: $49.21 AAL Score: +4.72

Statements look good.......

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Member Avatar AnsgarJohn (97.91) Submitted: 1/15/2015 4:11:06 PM : Underperform Start Price: $49.38 AAL Score: -4.17

American Airlines,thumbs down with oil at $45 a dollar. It costs the most expensive producers over $70 to pump oil, so the price will go up with the next 5 years. $35 billion market cap is 1x sales for an airline...This can only crash from here.

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Member Avatar 1russianguy (75.49) Submitted: 1/15/2015 10:12:59 AM : Outperform Start Price: $50.04 AAL Score: +3.69

Sabrient

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Member Avatar mrudolph72 (60.38) Submitted: 1/14/2015 3:19:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $49.31 AAL Score: +5.36

Sabrient

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Member Avatar bartlettmi (71.17) Submitted: 1/14/2015 2:30:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $49.27 AAL Score: +5.16

Oil price declines, check. Unhedged fuel costs, check. Labor relations stability, check. Pricing power, check. Supply discipline, check. Efficiency improvements resulting from one of the largest mergers in history, check.

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Member Avatar Lizardbelly (< 20) Submitted: 1/6/2015 5:24:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $53.38 AAL Score: -2.42

Fuel, fuel, fuel. Low EPS.

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Member Avatar AnnsAngel (< 20) Submitted: 12/31/2014 12:55:45 PM : Outperform Start Price: $54.07 AAL Score: -0.89

It gone from $15.50 (AAMRQ) to it's current $54+ in just a year. I feel it is an airline that is now out of bankruptcy with a solid plan to expand it's operations.

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Member Avatar mrgekko (58.08) Submitted: 12/22/2014 7:58:19 AM : Outperform Start Price: $43.14 AAL Score: +21.67

Despite the recent tailwind that plummeting crude prices has provided, American Airlines is more than a falling oil price story.
American Airlines has gone from bankruptcy protection (like many others) in 2011 to merging with US Airlines in 2013 to create the world largest airline carrier. AAL has invested heavily, with its fleet’s average aircrafts age quickly declining, leaving it with one of the most fuel efficient fleets in the industry. The merger created one the best networks in the world and left it with a much better base from which to compete nationally and globally.
One of the benefits from its merger is that it has billions of dollars in net operating loss carry forwards, an accounting device that lets a company apply past financial losses to future tax bills. This will leave American Airlines with a much reduced tax rates to pay in future years, which will increase the firm ability to return cash to shareholders. This stands in sharp contrast to the historical industry tendency to increase market share at any cost.
Fuel is the largest single cost item for the global airline industry, despite continued improvements in engine and airframe technologies which have dramatically improved fuel efficiency, jet fuel accounts for around a third of operating costs. The recent fall in crude has led to some of the highest profit levels industry wide in 2014 as $0.01 fall in jet fuel equates to $165m in pre-tax profits to the industry.
Lower input costs, increasing efficiencies, self-help, barriers to entry, shareholder friendly management and increased volumes in key markets mean American Airlines profitability and thus cash flow generation should be favorable for some time to come.

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Member Avatar nonzerosum (86.83) Submitted: 12/8/2014 3:50:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $50.77 AAL Score: +5.10

cheap fuel

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Member Avatar BorjaT (< 20) Submitted: 12/5/2014 11:45:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $47.92 AAL Score: +10.24

Fuel price and no hedging

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Member Avatar calguy489 (20.13) Submitted: 11/26/2014 4:31:39 PM : Outperform Start Price: $47.00 AAL Score: +13.80

mergers will fuel growth

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Member Avatar bIlluminati (30.44) Submitted: 10/14/2014 12:49:49 PM : Underperform Start Price: $31.80 AAL Score: -57.40

Peak earnings negative.

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Member Avatar JimboUSAF (43.14) Submitted: 8/13/2014 12:23:25 PM : Outperform Start Price: $38.02 AAL Score: +33.67

The largest airline and a too big to fail airline. Investor interest is down right now. Wait for some up momentum then get in. Read the chart.

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Member Avatar zsilver (35.63) Submitted: 4/11/2014 9:19:52 AM : Outperform Start Price: $34.38 AAL Score: +41.14

merger positions largest airline to be a leader going forward

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Member Avatar Shag (< 20) Submitted: 3/27/2014 8:55:47 AM : Outperform Start Price: $36.43 AAL Score: +34.06

Forward thinking management, disposal of old equipment (poor performance) new management forward thinking CEO.

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Member Avatar Builder1945 (< 20) Submitted: 3/8/2014 7:57:24 AM : Outperform Start Price: $38.50 AAL Score: +28.20

AAL has a huge stockpile of cash that could be used to purchase more economical aircraft, improve customer service like baggage handling or purchase other entities.

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Member Avatar AllWinners (< 20) Submitted: 2/11/2014 3:13:07 PM : Outperform Start Price: $35.07 AAL Score: +38.21

I know, shot up too high too fast, overbought, now for the sell off. Maybe, but I still like their long term potential.

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