The AES Corp (NYSE:AES)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

A global power holding company which through its subsidiaries, operate a portfolio of electricity generation and distribution businesses and investments on five continents and in 27 countries.

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Member Avatar JorgeAura (< 20) Submitted: 2/2/2013 7:07:15 PM : Underperform Start Price: $10.95 AES Score: -7.97

sp500 in maximums.

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Member Avatar Monroe7 (< 20) Submitted: 12/24/2011 9:33:04 AM : Underperform Start Price: $11.56 AES Score: +23.31

I geuss I fail to see the reason to own a utility that doesn't pay a dividend when there are so many that give a real nice payout without large debt loads. In other words when does it really start paying investors?

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Member Avatar cbson (< 20) Submitted: 11/8/2011 12:33:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.79 AES Score: -25.46

Pending merger

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Member Avatar MIstock (< 20) Submitted: 4/9/2011 11:36:38 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.03 AES Score: -29.82

Many countries are looking to expand power coverage and generation. Opportunity to expand or establish business in India.

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Member Avatar BOSWELLB (42.35) Submitted: 12/15/2010 12:31:44 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.99 AES Score: -18.66

Utility company has been knocked down recently, And is unwarranted, Value Buy

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Member Avatar creek138 (56.72) Submitted: 10/7/2010 12:15:37 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.52 AES Score: -36.21

Alright, couple of reasons I'm marking this as outperform, none of them related to the specific company at hand. Typically, about twice a year, I'll go to the finviz heatmap:

http://finviz.com/map.ashx?t=sec&st=ytd

From there I'll check the trending 6 months, 1 year, and YTD to find lagging sectors.

Once I find the lagging sectors, I'll do a quick analysis of the macro variables at hand and determine whether the secto is warranted to be under performing the market or whether I think the market has undervalued these sectors. In this case, I think O&G exploration and development as well as utilities are undervalued.

If you notice, pharmas are also undervalued, but I think the new healthcare law makes their underperformance relevant at this time - if they continue to be undervalued at the time of my next review, I may pick up some in the sector.

I digress, the reason I think O&G and utilities are a good buy at this time:

1. Winter is fast approaching
2. Energy prices are still comparatively low and will go up
3. The economy is rebounding
4. The oil spill worries are becoming something of the past for the majority of Americans (Personally, I hate that recency plays a factor in this at all)
5. Likely republican majority in one chamber will make it difficult to pass major energy reform, thus old energy wins and new energy loses. (Much to our malevolence)

After I determine which sectors to buy, I'll review each individual stock in CAPS. Anything less than 3 stars gets filtered out. 4 and 5 star picks are most preferable, as these quintiles usually gains points in a year's time.

I expect to remove 90% of these stocks by March/April. Typically, this nets me a few hundred caps points (read: profit), and roughly 75% accuracy. Some will be bombs or laggards. Those that barely lag will be kept on my portfolio in hopes that I may eke out a slight gain at a later date. The bombs will be dropped.

I want to emphasize, this is not a judgment call on this specific stock. I didn't even check the financials. Do your DD if you buy in RL. In fact if you like the sector and want to buy in RL, I recommend you buy a sector ETF - one of my personal faves is FCG.

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Member Avatar sajmanaz (54.46) Submitted: 9/8/2010 1:04:13 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.84 AES Score: -37.00

Utilities will keep their value over anything else at this time

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Member Avatar NEVERFADE (36.97) Submitted: 8/23/2010 5:38:15 PM : Outperform Start Price: $10.10 AES Score: -33.57

Great geographic diversity, has contracts in every populated region of the world. Major growth in China as AES locked up energy contracts before competitors and has strong relationship with Chinese Administration. Increasing population and increasing quality of life in emerging markets means more demand for electricity AES provides.

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Member Avatar jtallenmd (99.58) Submitted: 8/6/2010 11:19:54 AM : Outperform Start Price: $10.17 AES Score: -26.07

I closed out my previous losing outperform call and am doubling down at the new price.

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Member Avatar flyter (< 20) Submitted: 7/20/2010 3:17:53 PM : Underperform Start Price: $10.02 AES Score: +29.02

This stock has done nothing since 1991! It carries a massive debt load and likes to spend. I inherited it when it took over IPALCO a great utility with a high dividend. Today it has no dividend and no prospects. If I sold today (at a five year high) I would lose 75% of my investment. At less than $500 it isn't worth the effort!

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Member Avatar Silverkinggames (< 20) Submitted: 7/10/2010 9:35:24 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.97 AES Score: -28.88

As companies look to raise manufacturing levels and grow as the market turns upward they will use more power and need a steady source. AES will provide that power in multiple places around the world.

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Member Avatar njonesie (< 20) Submitted: 5/23/2010 7:26:02 PM : Outperform Start Price: $9.34 AES Score: -17.25

2000 plus increase in output power out of 40000 coming soon. This is over four percent and that means huge revenue. Plus China's stake not likely to be moving around.... buy....buy...buy... Today this is my largest holding!!!

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Member Avatar Itemirus (< 20) Submitted: 4/30/2010 1:12:33 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.61 AES Score: -31.92

Global energy play on electricity, with an impressive pipeline - electricity consumptions are going to rise significantly in emerging markets and AES has been selected as the best utility play by Goldman Sachs in their Nifty 50 DM index.

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Member Avatar jenniferngo48 (< 20) Submitted: 4/12/2010 4:48:58 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.05 AES Score: -25.67

renewable energy is the "thought of the day both politically and economically" on the agenda worldwide. This company is internationally known. China bought this at $12 plus. It is expanding worldwide and is one of the best company to work for. I found this company reading Fortune.

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Member Avatar Manoabob (86.26) Submitted: 2/2/2010 9:44:39 AM : Outperform Start Price: $12.64 AES Score: -57.04

Set for global expansion

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Member Avatar cheekie29 (97.43) Submitted: 12/14/2009 12:39:55 PM : Outperform Start Price: $13.11 AES Score: -57.02

Undervalued

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Member Avatar plcoyne (< 20) Submitted: 11/27/2009 3:46:17 PM : Underperform Start Price: $12.52 AES Score: +55.48

AES is being sued in Delaware for illegalling dumping flyash in the Dominican Rebublic which caused numerous deaths and birth defects.Their proposed LNG project in MD and PA is running into fierce citizen opposition because of its dangerous environmental impacts. This one will be in the courts for a long time.

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Member Avatar MAURY56 (36.82) Submitted: 10/28/2009 1:00:23 AM : Outperform Start Price: $13.43 AES Score: -68.78

Article in 10/26/09 Washington Post: AES taps into China's rush to wind power.
This compnay is in the right business at the right time and has recently begun to get their accounting problems under control

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Member Avatar stuinkc (76.50) Submitted: 10/1/2009 9:47:05 AM : Outperform Start Price: $14.34 AES Score: -77.69

energy giant, international exposure, some green, insiders such as evp, president and directors buying it up, which I love, possibility of added capital with CIC rumors swirling. no dividend and eps and income down past year over year but strong revenue and eps growth rate over last 3 years. come on board of directors, give me a dividend! not going to happen in the near future but i still like this stock

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Member Avatar michaeltbryant (< 20) Submitted: 9/14/2009 2:31:23 AM : Outperform Start Price: $14.01 AES Score: -78.05

China may take a stake. Also, power companies face little competition, because it is not economical to have more than one utility in the same area.

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