iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (ETF) (AGG)
Exchange Traded Funds
Recs
jaygatsby49
(99.29)
Submitted: 9/15/2009 2:32:45 PM :
Start Price:
$103.32
AGG Score:
-1.58
I am predicting bond will outperfrom equities for the next few years. My reasons are as follows:
The S&P is way overpriced, the P/E ratio is above the historic median.
David Rosenberg points out the S&P has priced in 4% GDP growth for 2010 while the bond market has priced in 2%.
More than 100% of the economic growth we have seen in 2009 has been the result of government spending. This cannot continue forever. If you take away government spending in 2009 real GDP would be down around 6%
While firms have been "beating" earnings estimates those estimated have been DRASTICALLY cut down over the past year.
Lastly if you look at the S&P 500 earnings have been made by cutting costs, as revenue is down. You can only cut costs (lay off people) for so long, eventually you have to sell more.
Recs
WCWlooky
(23.58)
Submitted: 8/24/2009 10:24:55 PM :
Start Price:
$102.25
AGG Score:
-2.81
Still think this is a bear Market rally with double dip Recession/Depression
Recs
msfitts
(54.15)
Submitted: 5/11/2009 9:02:27 PM :
Start Price:
$99.39
AGG Score:
-14.08
Another fine IRA stock.
Recs
ATeenFool
(< 20)
Submitted: 12/31/2008 2:53:26 PM :
Start Price:
$100.17
AGG Score:
-17.36
This bond fund looks good until the market begins to pick up, which I expect will happen towards the end of the first quarter 09.
Recs
PrincessStorme
(69.31)
Submitted: 11/21/2008 9:56:53 PM :
Start Price:
$93.26
AGG Score:
-23.09
The gap is so wide between where this fund traditionally stays and the volatility of the market that I know soon the S&P 500 will perform substantially better than this fund, but for the next few weeks, this fund will continue to be better overall (just not on the up days)
Recs
maxslone
(78.83)
Submitted: 11/1/2008 7:59:29 PM :
Start Price:
$92.19
AGG Score:
+1.00
Stocks, not bonds.
Recs
CavalierGator
(85.53)
Submitted: 10/29/2008 11:43:05 AM :
Start Price:
$91.24
AGG Score:
+3.43
Wait long enough and this will always be a loser.
Recs
slimjohn
(96.73)
Submitted: 10/11/2008 9:32:51 PM :
Start Price:
$87.32
AGG Score:
-2.45
Huge gov't debt, means higher inflation. Bonds will underperform as inflation rises.
Recs
PotheadHarv
(< 20)
Submitted: 10/7/2008 8:36:03 PM :
Start Price:
$91.98
AGG Score:
-0.17
5% of portfolio
Recs
icesword2
(79.83)
Submitted: 8/14/2008 7:02:50 PM :
Start Price:
$95.11
AGG Score:
-24.41
Stocks will always beat bonds in the long run.
Recs
39100
(26.71)
Submitted: 7/11/2008 2:15:11 PM :
Start Price:
$95.26
AGG Score:
-19.99
Bonds got killed.
Recs
d3wilbur
(< 20)
Submitted: 6/8/2008 7:36:36 PM :
Start Price:
$95.37
AGG Score:
-28.20
Bonds underperform stocks in any period over 5 years.
Recs
PennyPincher12
(92.73)
Submitted: 6/7/2008 5:48:23 PM :
Start Price:
$95.37
AGG Score:
-28.20
Stocks beat bonds.
Recs
peterthedrake
(43.58)
Submitted: 6/5/2008 5:44:46 PM :
Start Price:
$95.76
AGG Score:
+29.72
Part of diversified ETF portfolio.
Recs
TheParadox
(98.43)
Submitted: 5/6/2008 12:47:30 PM :
Start Price:
$96.61
AGG Score:
-29.31
Not something that going to beat the market, no matter the time frame.
Recs
shaxmatist
(< 20)
Submitted: 5/2/2008 11:26:19 AM :
Start Price:
$97.16
AGG Score:
-23.32
Fixed income market is in a bubble, the yields are too low and do not reflect the reality of rising worldwide inflation. Get ready for a long term bear market in bonds
Recs
CoffeePics
(96.28)
Submitted: 4/18/2008 11:09:45 AM :
Start Price:
$96.11
AGG Score:
-28.44
Bonds suck, especially now.
Recs
bigbenjewell
(97.33)
Submitted: 4/5/2008 10:13:09 AM :
Start Price:
$97.03
AGG Score:
-26.82
U.S. stock bull 3/17/2008.
Recs
dcthatsme
(< 20)
Submitted: 3/26/2008 5:45:47 PM :
Start Price:
$97.26
AGG Score:
-24.28
Nice dividend but I don't see this fund outperforming the S&P until the housing slump shows signs of ending.
Recs
macnmadmoney
(48.05)
Submitted: 3/16/2008 10:12:10 PM :
Start Price:
$97.19
AGG Score:
+18.85
I guess
RSS Headlines
Fool UK
- Show Me:
-
Outperform
-
Underperform
-
All
- Sort by:
-
Author
-
Recs
-
Date
-
Member Rating
-
Results 1 - 20 of 40 1 2 Next »