Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE:ALV)
The Company is a supplier of automotive safety systems with a range of product offerings, including modules and components for passenger and driver-side airbags, side-impact airbag protection systems, seatbelts, steering wheels, safety electronics etc.
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3 factors for earnings increase
1) rebound in worldwide car sales
2) increase in active safety systems in developed markets
3) emerging market carmakers will increase safety spending
From Barron's: http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052748703792204578213201977186708.html
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Good stock
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Good established track record
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Top 30 companies with a minimum market cap. of 5000 million
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Ably managed supplier that will benefit with the rebound of the auto industry. With EPS growth of around 10% going forward, the current valuation presents a great entry point.
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Identified with the Value-At-a-Reasonable Price screen. ROE >20%. Quick ratio = 1.1 and current ratio = 1.5. Automobile sales are increasing world-wide and ALV should benefit.
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Priced for near bankruptcy. Overhang is anti-trust investigation plus general repeat recession fears. ALV will outlast these both and is providing a nice discount for the risk.
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Great balance sheet and a rising dividend make this car safety device maker a great story. Long term they should do very well.
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Strong partnership with FLIR. As FLIR turns into gold, so will Autoliv.
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Stable Dividends Screen
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Magic Formula screener (not Top 50), TMF pick. Recently raised their dividend payout (payout ratio appears to be very sustainable, under 20% of earnings). Along with the payout, debt is being paid down very nicely.
Results for ticker 'ALV' (Autoliv):
Earnings Yield: 11.4%
MFI Return on Capital: 49.1%
MagicDiligence Research for 'ALV':
No research available.
Instant Diligence:
The Earnings Yield of 11.4% is High.
The MFI Return on Capital of 49.1% is High.
Near-term Financial Health appears to be OK. The current ratio is 1.40.
Calculations:
(for quarter ended 2010-09-28)
Market Cap = Stock_Price * Shares
= 73.79 * 92.80
= 6847.71
Excess Cash = Cash - MAX(0; (Current Liabilities - Current Assets + Cash))
= 487.20 - MAX(0; (1911.40 - 2671.50 + 487.20))
= 487.20
Enterprise Value = Market Cap + Total Debt - Excess Cash
= 6847.71 + 836.20 - 487.20
= 7196.71
MFI Invested Capital = Total Assets - Goodwill - Intangibles - Current Liabilities + Short Term Debt - Excess Cash
= 5643.60 - 1615.10 - 114.00 - 1911.40 + 156.20 - 487.20
= 1672.10
Earnings Yield = Operating Earnings / Enterprise Value
= 821.10 / 7196.71
= 0.114 (11.4%)
MFI Return on Capital = Operating Earnings / MFI Invested Capital
= 821.10 / 1672.10
= 0.491 (49.1%)
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ride to the top
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car sales going up in china, brazil, us
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universal exsposure, quality product, need will remain
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They are a global leader, and their Asian growth has outpaced their EU and NA growth recently. THey've booked programs through 2014 that essentially guarantee a 45% growth in revenue, and will aggressively restrain ocsts, as they've shown their ability to do in recent years
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Inevitable overall world recovery (when, I do not know) , plus car sales postponed due to crisis, plus Asia new car demand plus good financial condition
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proven cash flow generation, best of breed
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international presence, especially Asian emerging markets, fueled (npi) by a growing middle class.
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