AMR Corp (AMR)

This company is going down. Take the second oldest fleet in the country, add terrible on-time performance, sprinkle in some ridiculous fees (including charging for the first checked bag), throw in some piss-poor customer service, and you have a recipe for disaster.

On a side note, I was on an AA flight in January that lost cabin pressure and was forced into an emergency landing. I won't be flying AA again, and something tells me I'm not alone.

Approximately 8% of all US airline passengers fly through DFW airport on American Airlines. This is an airport in which AMR can charge extremely high rates due to their monopoly in the DFW metroplex which encompases the 19th and 8th largest US cities. The repeal of the Wright amendment which will open up Dallas Love Field to long haul flights will have a signficant impact on the prices they can charge at DFW and remain competitive which will have an overall effect on their business model and earnings.

Customers will likely curtail travel plans until true signs of recovery are present, like falling unemployment. If revenues go to zero, no amount of cost cuts can maintain a profit.

Besides the laundry list for not investing in airlines at all (umm, let's see: oil money, less spending money in a recession, huge overhead costs, terrorism fears, etc...), the big airlines - Continental, United, Delta, and the like - have been dragging for years. And now they have fresh competition even WITHIN the industry, like JetBlue and Southwest, to deal with - companies that are cheaper, friendlier, younger and more agile - and who don't necessarily charge you an extra $25 to check a single bag. On top of this, ask anyone who frequently flies overseas whether they'd prefer ANY big European airline over ANY American one for any kind of travel - I'd bet money on anything but American.

The airlines have shown exactly how to make a difficult situation even worse i.e. abandoning all perks that made airline travel more than just a mean of getting there and then charging for items (C'mon charging for water!!) that were previously already part of the high cost of flying. Watch as this stock continues to due the limbo ("How low can you go")

People still gotta fly, and American Airlines has the best people, routes, and alliances. In other words, the most likely to succeed and outlast all. I have flown a lot, on many airlines. American stands out.

the largest u.s. carrier, bookings are up as 9/11 and terrorism is accepted as a stable in civilization people shall travle.

American Executives are going to need to have more confidence in the Company. When they sell their company Stock on the same day that it is acquired is not a good sign. With the cost of fuel continuing to go up and the competitiveness of the Airlines market something is going to have to give. Unless the feds decide to make a bailout I don't see this improving any time soon.

Airlines are slowly showing signs of recovery.

Flight loads are increasing and fuel prices should retract a little. AMR is the airline industry leader, and with UAUA and DAL struggling of late at the top of the totem pole, AMR seems ready for liftoff.

NOT A HIGH FLYER.........PERFECT STORM FOR AIRLINES....GOING DOWN TO $4 A SHARE......THERE IS ABSOULTLY NO UPSIDE HERE............

Hello, it's an AIRLINE.

Current ratio, Z-Score, airline, etc.

I recently flew out to Washington, DC on American Air and saw the effect of the airlines taking a lot of planes out of service. I flew 4 segments and every one of them was 100% full. My wife today flew out to Phoenix with our grandson to visit her parents. She asked me if I was able to get her 2 seats in a 3 seat row with an empty middle one. I laughed. There wasn't a freebie empty middle seat on any of the 4 flights that she was taking. In fact, when I checked her in yesterday online there was only one flight that even had one seat still up for sale! This is on Wednesday - the middle of the week. The planes are FULL, the price of jet fuel should be about 1/2 of what it was in July, the extra bag and other fees are flowing in, and all the other airlines have cut back as well (although I'm sure there was no conspircy to do so - HA!) so the profits should be rolling in enough to make this stock go up in the short term. Of all the airlines, I think American is one of the strongest. They seem to be able to charge more for their tickets and still fill up their planes. Also, I don't see where they screwed up like Southwest and made big hedging bets against failing oil prices.

Luv2b pick !

AMR is one of the airlines with the most illiquid balance sheet. It may go bankrupt.

Investors should remember that excitement and expenses are their enemies. And if they insist on trying to time their participation in equities, they should try to be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful."

Berkshire Hathaway 2004 Chairman's Lette

AMR seems to me to be at rock bottom prices due to energy costs, but I don't see oil prices to be sustainable or justified at these levels. Just the promise of new drilling, the release of some oil reserves, the reining in of the speculators, or the increase of the dollar will allow airlines to once again fly.
Analysts complain that foreign airlines concentrate on customer comfort and AMR only concentrates on cost-cutting. Sounds like that's exactly where management "should" be concentrating. My money says AMR will prove to be a huge bargain at these prices in the near future.

7,000 layoffs announced at end of Q2 to adjust for Oil Prices,
Layoffs completed at beginning of Sept,
Prices Raised,
Fees Raised,
yet Oil Prices are now down signifantly from projected, So Q3 results (usually a down period in any airline year) s/b above projected. Q4 should see AMR back showing profit.