Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN)

CAPS Rating: 3 out of 5

Once simply an online purveyor of books, Amazon.com has become a marketplace for just about anything you’d want to buy.

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Member Avatar MidAtlanticDad (48.32) Submitted: 7/19/2014 11:53:47 PM : Outperform Start Price: $358.10 AMZN Score: +0.20

Great customer service. Huge scale. Will make a good profit once they decide to stop putting everything into growth.

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Member Avatar Bobmoll36 (34.97) Submitted: 7/16/2014 2:09:26 PM : Outperform Start Price: $355.83 AMZN Score: +1.37

tops in its field. will find a way to profits

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Member Avatar missyjcase (41.26) Submitted: 7/15/2014 12:22:04 PM : Outperform Start Price: $352.13 AMZN Score: +1.80

history has already given this stock a great ride, by all reports, it should continue for a long run.

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Member Avatar TMFBwithbike (33.05) Submitted: 7/4/2014 9:26:19 PM : Outperform Start Price: $337.50 AMZN Score: +6.72

Will be the first or second company to $1T market cap.

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Member Avatar JoeKube (< 20) Submitted: 7/2/2014 11:32:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $333.39 AMZN Score: +7.78

Amazon is so powerful, it's like trying to stop a train! They could turn the earnings around whenever they like!

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Member Avatar Jaeger (43.61) Submitted: 7/2/2014 10:58:35 AM : Outperform Start Price: $335.30 AMZN Score: +7.21

This on line retailer will continue to expand its lead.

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Member Avatar Yeshaua (< 20) Submitted: 6/30/2014 8:36:03 PM : Outperform Start Price: $325.86 AMZN Score: +9.71

Just watch and SEE for yourselves......they are gung-ho my friends!

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Member Avatar ElCid16 (93.72) Submitted: 6/19/2014 11:51:11 AM : Outperform Start Price: $321.17 AMZN Score: +5.49

This post inspired me to pick Amazon as a long term outperform.

http://philosophicaleconomics.wordpress.com/2014/03/22/wmt/

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Member Avatar MARGMCLEAN (57.90) Submitted: 6/15/2014 2:32:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $324.86 AMZN Score: +8.85

Still lots of possibilities.

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Member Avatar DocDoo (38.99) Submitted: 6/12/2014 4:00:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $335.55 AMZN Score: +5.71

Do people still buy things on the high street? You can buy anything on Amazon without leaving your chair. You can compare the price of pretty much any non-designer product on their website and even if the manufacturer makes a loss, Amazon make a margin.The capex required to replicate their business model for so many product groups almost gives them the monopoly in online shopping. At the very least, you would always compare the price of something with what you can get it for on Amazon. Very high PE though so I'd like to see some margin improvement and growth but can't see anyone stopping them.

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Member Avatar Colton11290 (62.98) Submitted: 6/11/2014 1:27:09 PM : Underperform Start Price: $336.93 AMZN Score: -5.45

I'm going to play devils advocate on this market darling with a few simple points made from simply analyzing the financials. Looking first at the assets of the company one immediate red flag is their total assets up against their total liabilities. Over seventy-five percent of their total assets are tied up in liabilities, and that's assuming that the almost eleven billion in property plants and equipments could be sold for the full listed value (hint: it's unlikely).

Now one might say here that Amazon's current liabilities (totaling just under twenty three billion) can be paid with just the cash on hand and still have a billion dollars left over. The problem with this statement is what they spend on CapEx every year. Looking at the cash flow statement one can see that they have three billion in depreciation every year which they pay for with their capital expenditures. So they have twenty-two billion in current liabilities, three billion in CapEx spending, and only twenty four and a half billion in cash or cash equivalents. So where does this extra money come from?

Obviously it comes from borrowing. This brings us to the income statement. Now everyone knows about their low margin and lack of profits and all that so I'm not going to beat a dead (and at this point I would go so far as to say buried) horse here. Instead my concern is with interest expense. A quick look at interest expense and one can see it's been rising over the past few years. Keep in mind that this is the lowest interest rates have ever been in America. My concern is that as interest rates go up they'll be squeezed more and more.

Now, full disclosure: I'm pretty new to analyzing balance sheets. I have no formal education aside from what I've gleaned from the internet and various books. Should any of what I said in this pitch be wrong or "misguided" by all means please let me know in the comments below. CAPS is, after all, just one great learning experience. I also don't want this to be taken as me betting against the company. Amazon has huge plans and everybody knows the brilliance that is Jeff Bezos. My thoughts here are the stock is priced for perfection even after coming off of it's highs and the balance sheet suggests that perfection is not something they've yet found.

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Member Avatar NuclearSolutions (27.09) Submitted: 6/8/2014 7:58:53 AM : Outperform Start Price: $331.57 AMZN Score: +7.37

Inflation leaps.....I think not stocks leaps and the rally to Dow 32,000.

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Member Avatar HayZeus (40.82) Submitted: 6/8/2014 7:31:31 AM : Outperform Start Price: $331.57 AMZN Score: +7.37

The Worlds store, bigger than any Costco or BJ's.

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Member Avatar Notsonovice (83.82) Submitted: 6/6/2014 9:13:53 AM : Outperform Start Price: $322.60 AMZN Score: +10.75

AMZN is a bargain today. It may not make money today but it is building a business for the future. Where do you go to buy something you need on the internet?

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Member Avatar wowdwarf2 (< 20) Submitted: 6/3/2014 12:59:12 PM : Outperform Start Price: $306.33 AMZN Score: +14.90

Great company Large vision
share holders vrs customers?
World Changer??
Fool ON!

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Member Avatar stocky5 (37.64) Submitted: 6/2/2014 1:07:36 PM : Underperform Start Price: $308.58 AMZN Score: -14.10

Anybody else notice AMZN's prices are not as good as they once were? The large discounting is pretty much gone. "Prime" service is not so "Prime" anymore, with a significant jump in yearly membership cost. Free shipping is now on orders exceeding $35, not $25. The "Daily Deals" page was redesigned to the point where it is no longer consumer friendly. Tax free shopping is now or will soon be a thing of the past, as rather than fighting the retail industry, AMZN will join them by opening new warehouses in many new states, establishing a physical presence within those states. All of which will slow growth, as smart consumers look for the next AMZN. It's not hard to imagine compressed multiples, especially considering the market is currently valuing AMZN at a nosebleed forward PEG of 4.4. Or that insider selling is high. Or that 4 of the last 6 quarterly consensus earnings numbers have been missed. Or that both the earnings consensus and price targets have been significantly lowered by analysts in the past 90 days. AMZN's entry into the universe of investment reality may not be as much fun as the ride up has been.

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Member Avatar hrejvani (< 20) Submitted: 6/1/2014 11:24:02 PM : Underperform Start Price: $310.89 AMZN Score: -13.26

new technologies will increase profits

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Member Avatar Cruiseride (72.04) Submitted: 5/30/2014 3:45:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $177.48 AMZN Score: +49.16

Growing to hub of most internet-based commerce.

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Member Avatar luremaster (35.20) Submitted: 5/25/2014 12:53:07 AM : Outperform Start Price: $314.41 AMZN Score: +11.02

huge moat

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Member Avatar ayekappy (< 20) Submitted: 5/22/2014 10:47:20 PM : Outperform Start Price: $305.05 AMZN Score: +13.52

With just 2% of worldwide retail sales, Amazon has a lot of room to grow still. Jeff is trying to do that too, with global expansion always being pursued. People worry about Alibaba. That's fine, but Amazon can just use Alibaba as a model on how to increase their own profit margins. There's no way Alibaba will cut into Amazon's market share in the US; and unlikely to penetrate into EU and SA markets, where a US company like Amazon would be favored. Amazon might have a hard time in some of the Asian markets, but it can have a good chance in places like Japan, South Korea and the Philippines. Also, China is debatable as to whether that would be the best market to penetrate into if that bubble pops.

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