Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF)

CAPS Rating: 1 out of 5

A retailer that operates stores selling casual apparel, such as woven and knit shirts, denim, graphic t-shirts, shorts, personal care and other accessories for men, women and kids under Abercrombie & Fitch, abercrombie, Hollister and RUEHL brands.

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Member Avatar zharriott (64.50) Submitted: 7/21/2014 2:18:19 PM : Underperform Start Price: $39.15 ANF Score: +18.61

This is a stock beaten by poor advertising and promotion, an awful store layout, and poor management. Couple those with declining yoy revenues, EPS, a ridiculous P/E multiple, and 1.89 price-to-book. Competition from GAP and similar competitors like AEO are also a huge issue. Couple these factors together and you've got a short stock situation.

If the new CEO is to have any sort of turnaround it'll take a major re-branding effort which won't happen this year and maybe not even the next.

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Member Avatar motto1628 (31.44) Submitted: 4/3/2014 12:12:58 AM : Underperform Start Price: $39.58 ANF Score: +23.77

Clothes are always selling at deep discounts

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Member Avatar SockMaster (63.56) Submitted: 3/11/2014 9:50:04 AM : Underperform Start Price: $40.48 ANF Score: +26.24

Lack of product and marketing innovation from this declining retailer will lead to less then spectacular growth at best, short-term losses at worst

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Member Avatar Allstar13913 (99.83) Submitted: 3/2/2014 8:27:15 PM : Outperform Start Price: $38.50 ANF Score: -24.05

This is a value play. I believe that Shareholders will take over Abercrombie's board, and add retail executives that will improve the share price to $55 in the next year.

Mismanagement and failure to innovate is what has hurt this stock, not the fundamental product.

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Member Avatar 2thdoc (< 20) Submitted: 1/28/2014 9:05:57 PM : Outperform Start Price: $35.56 ANF Score: -21.45

Heading towards a sale to a private equity firm, finally making a move to phase out the CEO. Will get smaller before its get better/bought

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Member Avatar TheValueDude (30.16) Submitted: 1/9/2014 5:32:13 PM : Outperform Start Price: $37.03 ANF Score: -21.21

Screen: Under $10B, Top 10% EBIT/EV, Z Score >1.81

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Member Avatar NovaTodd (38.48) Submitted: 1/2/2014 8:57:07 PM : Outperform Start Price: $33.28 ANF Score: -20.87

This is certainly a contrarian pick, and not necessarily a conviction one at that. I found ANF on a screen for companies with exceptionally high profitability, as measured by professor Robert Novy-Marx's GP/A formula (see link below). It's a remarkably simple metric that produces excellent returns over time. Abercrombie outshines all of its main competitors using this metric, while simultaneously trading at a cheaper valuation. No real money on this one.

http://rnm.simon.rochester.edu/research/OSoV.pdf

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Member Avatar vendome777 (< 20) Submitted: 10/30/2013 10:55:20 AM : Outperform Start Price: $37.23 ANF Score: -25.69

THEY HAVE VERY GOOD PRODUCT

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Member Avatar d4dhiraj (< 20) Submitted: 10/25/2013 12:23:39 PM : Outperform Start Price: $34.87 ANF Score: -21.10

If you look at the brands they have, it is looking pretty good. Quality of product is better than other competitors. Further Balancesheet looks good. Low Book Value and the stock has already been hammered. Seems like a good value play in the short and the long run.

Just hope that the CEO doesnt outrage more customers and is cautious in what he says.

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Member Avatar rknapton (< 20) Submitted: 8/26/2013 7:39:10 PM : Underperform Start Price: $36.38 ANF Score: +32.40

Short. Awful last quarter (killer for me as I was already short ? ), but I expect this retailer to continue to fail. Mad hate on reddit awhile ago and I think the CEO’s stupid comments indeed lost life long customers.

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Member Avatar jduck1979 (75.05) Submitted: 6/20/2013 9:54:26 PM : Underperform Start Price: $46.18 ANF Score: +54.37

Management seem too gaffe prone lately and angering too many people as a result... first annoying a shedload of high profile figures over their size policy, more recently having to withdraw a t-shirt that drew the wrath of fans of Taylor Swift due to the slogan on it.

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Member Avatar KukiBee (< 20) Submitted: 5/24/2013 10:58:50 AM : Underperform Start Price: $47.43 ANF Score: +52.61

I don't think an entire paragraph is necessary over here. The CEO recently made some remarks, we're already seeing the effects on the company.

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Member Avatar Scraming (< 20) Submitted: 5/24/2013 10:54:26 AM : Underperform Start Price: $47.49 ANF Score: +52.71

CEO is an idiot.

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Member Avatar somrh (78.84) Submitted: 5/15/2013 5:56:30 PM : Underperform Start Price: $51.82 ANF Score: +57.34

I'm only downthumbing this because I just wish I were as cool as Mike Jeffries.

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Member Avatar AlwaysKnowBetter (92.73) Submitted: 12/19/2012 11:48:15 AM : Underperform Start Price: $46.83 ANF Score: +67.67

Just reversed my position after buying below 30. This has gone up far to fast. The CEO is way over the top and the brand is losing worldwide on interest. Stock should come back within the next 12 months. Target 32.

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Member Avatar 2gud2btrue (75.02) Submitted: 11/14/2012 9:51:30 AM : Outperform Start Price: $38.31 ANF Score: -59.67

Bought @ 30.4 on 31-Oct sold today @ 40.06 with 32% profit (750 quids in my pocket). Its a lovely day.....

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Member Avatar 3185296328795229 (33.84) Submitted: 10/30/2012 6:06:47 PM : Outperform Start Price: $29.62 ANF Score: -31.50

Same as AEO, teens are a huge market and people will continue to need clothes and want popular clothes, so I don't see them losing big long term.

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Member Avatar harikarum (76.92) Submitted: 10/10/2012 3:08:44 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.05 ANF Score: -38.07

Pros:
ANF seems to have good management that has kept the brands current and exclusive and have not sacrificed their brand or quality during the recession. The development of the Hollister brand has been very strong and will continue to grow. Great fundamentals (except margin) and good reactions to slow expansion into Europe and to close under-producing stores (but still opening stores in good markets). Excellent development of online, direct to consumer retailing. They are poised to rally as the economy improves as their brands are still desirable. Early signs of strong performance in Asia are encouraging and I see their cautious development of that market working well. They have a great track record on dividends and there seems no reason that will not continue. They are currently near the 52 week low and trading at 1.6x book. Great entry point.

Cons:
Compared to their peers, ANF is very low on margins which is worrisome. Return on investment and equity are trending low and more pressure from the economy could derail their expansion and the development of the Gilly Hicks brand.

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Member Avatar cashforever (79.83) Submitted: 10/10/2012 2:50:22 PM : Outperform Start Price: $32.08 ANF Score: -38.23

Just a hunch

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Member Avatar roberttsf (97.98) Submitted: 8/16/2012 3:55:27 PM : Outperform Start Price: $33.90 ANF Score: -44.87

Smartrend upgrade to buy.

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