Alpha Natural Resources, Inc. (ANR)
The Company and its operating subsidiaries are engaged in the business of extracting, processing and marketing coal from deep and surface mines, located in the Central and Northern Appalachian regions of the United States.
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Global recession is nearing. People have put off major purchases for over a year. Met producers are poised to take advantage of incresed demand.
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Coal used for steel industry.
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coal producer - fulfilling increased domestic needs
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Follow WLT on the way down and on the way back up. ANR is a better play, trading at a significant discount. Own both in the mid teens.
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Recent announcement that ANR will acquire nation's 3rd largest coal producer - Foundation Coal
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Jim cramer gave this a thumbs down...need i say more?
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oh yeah!
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ready to bust a move, at least shot-term
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Good earnings.
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Coal is not going away anytime soon and neither are these guys.
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A real gem. I look for this to be a multi-bagger this year. Currently trading in the 12-14% range of last years high. I expect this stock to take off as oil incrases in price this spring. Anr also has low long term debt and a favorable cash basis.
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Drybulk shippers have been rising on the bottom being hit in coal, but that only means we should be buying up ANR and other coal producers at these lows. Some may have forgotten this was a $100+ stock.
If it gets back to just last years highs that would be a 5 bagger, but I am looking for just a 1 bagger to start.
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Good cheap commodity stock .....
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Forward PE is less than 2 and growth is expected to be astronomical.
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below 52 week low
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Okay, the merger did not go through. I am disappointed. We must now value ANR as a stand alone company. Two metrics currently stand out about ANR. First, they have approximately $600 million in the bank. So that means they have about $8.50 per share in cash. They still should generate good cash flows even in a slow economy. Coal contracts are pretty clean (no pun intended). Second, they are expected to earn about $12.50 per share in 2009. Say we cut that estimate by one third, we get around $8.33 per share estimate (way below the lowest current estimate for 2009). We give ANR a 6 multiple. $8.33 times 6 equals =$49.98.
Wow! Yes, that would be a 152% return from today's closing price. My opinion, ANR is undervalued and very attractively priced. Remember, the yield curve is very steep. Every central bank in the world is printing money like wild men. We could see a huge rebound in commodities and selling prices.
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clf buying them at 22.50 adding to the going price so like today its at 31.00 then add 22.50 thats 53.50 nices

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