Alpha Natural Resources, Inc. (NYSE:ANR)

CAPS Rating: 2 out of 5

The Company and its operating subsidiaries are engaged in the business of extracting, processing and marketing coal from deep and surface mines, located in the Central and Northern Appalachian regions of the United States.

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Member Avatar kevday (99.08) Submitted: 4/17/2014 9:56:42 AM : Outperform Start Price: $4.26 ANR Score: +2.96

looking for short term bounce

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Member Avatar AnsgarJohn (99.08) Submitted: 2/13/2014 5:16:42 PM : Outperform Start Price: $5.18 ANR Score: -17.00

Selling at last than half of book value. Alpha COAL

Company worth 1/20th of value in 2009?!

Not a real money pick.

Unseasonably cold temperatures in North America over the last several weeks resulted in natural gas pricing above $5 per MMBtu, increasing activity and setting firmer prices for near-term domestic thermal coal markets. Metallurgical markets continue to be very challenging. The first quarter Australian hard coking coal benchmark price declined $9 to $143 per metric tonne. While only indicative of the current quarter, spot assessments indicate continued near-term weakness. Alpha expects metallurgical coal oversupply to continue for the near term. Firming of the global metallurgical coal market in 2014 and a recovery in 2015 is possible due to: (i) limited new production capacity coming online in 2014; (ii) potential supply side response; and (iii) expectations of more robust economic growth in the major steel producing and consuming regions of the world.

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Member Avatar SqwiiTrader (37.30) Submitted: 11/21/2013 3:02:28 PM : Outperform Start Price: $6.97 ANR Score: -40.54

crain

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Member Avatar TROY9854 (< 20) Submitted: 9/18/2013 8:28:35 AM : Underperform Start Price: $6.31 ANR Score: +39.26

China not as likely hoard coal as it done in the past $ ANR needs China to survive.

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Member Avatar RedScourge (64.27) Submitted: 7/16/2013 1:20:01 AM : Outperform Start Price: $5.44 ANR Score: -29.89

Everyone loves to hate coal, but it's a necessary evil. Something tells me this natural gas glut isn't going to be all it's been cracked up to be, and coal is going to go screeching back to being relevant once again. This particular company has done a good job of not bleeding too much cash despite the big drop in coal, and unlike most of their peers, they don't have a huge debt burden constantly looming over them, so they will most likely be well positioned for a recovery.

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Member Avatar rmaiya (25.85) Submitted: 6/8/2013 12:09:22 PM : Outperform Start Price: $6.37 ANR Score: -43.68

Coal export will go up as global market improves

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Member Avatar bcellars (61.74) Submitted: 5/18/2013 12:21:54 AM : Outperform Start Price: $6.71 ANR Score: -46.18

I got in with real money last year near $6, sold some and it's time to buy more below $7. Eventually it will take a long run up. Till then continue to buy and sell.

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Member Avatar empirefundmgmt (45.64) Submitted: 5/6/2013 9:58:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $7.32 ANR Score: -57.04

AQ target, if not defiantly deep value.

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Member Avatar Momentum21 (96.33) Submitted: 4/25/2013 11:29:09 AM : Outperform Start Price: $9.16 ANR Score: -78.16

bought in RL at 7.50. Also own BTU and WLT...this is my trifecta play on the rebound in Coal. Let the cyclical bull market commence!

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Member Avatar eksummers620 (71.37) Submitted: 1/22/2013 10:40:24 AM : Underperform Start Price: $9.39 ANR Score: +78.94

Coal is dead

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Member Avatar tutaemeia (89.15) Submitted: 12/26/2012 4:46:44 PM : Underperform Start Price: $9.54 ANR Score: +85.33

Too much debt in balance sheet....

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Member Avatar jasondrey13 (< 20) Submitted: 11/9/2012 2:45:42 PM : Underperform Start Price: $8.16 ANR Score: +80.45

Huge headwinds in demand, and a very unfriendly political climate, dead set on putting ANR out of business.

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Member Avatar badbub692002 (< 20) Submitted: 9/5/2012 6:01:16 PM : Outperform Start Price: $5.67 ANR Score: -53.88

We suffered an unusually warm winter in 2011/2012 and although there has been significant swithing from coal to natural gas for power generation as well as a slowdown in the Great China Build the glut in natural gas and coal supply will not last forever. Rigs have slowed it's production of ng and mines have been shut down. So in the interim, until demand comes upto supply, we will have low prices for both. IMO as fast as share prices fell so will they rise. I plan on being on the right side of this trade.

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Member Avatar rsealander (< 20) Submitted: 9/1/2012 7:59:24 AM : Outperform Start Price: $5.84 ANR Score: -56.81

I am hedging my prediction on a Romney victory. But even without it, natural gas prices will "necessarily sky-rocket" if we no longer use coal for electrical power generation. So, will coal stay around? Yes! And the price will rise as natgas rises.

ANR is well positioned to avoid anything close to bankruptcy with its current cash position and credit facility. It is trading at about 25% of its book value (and that's after taking a $2.5 bln hit to their balance sheet for goodwill and non-producing assets.

ANR is a double by year-end with a Romney win. Even with Obama we could see a move back above $9.

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Member Avatar radiant00 (< 20) Submitted: 8/21/2012 10:49:58 AM : Outperform Start Price: $7.11 ANR Score: -68.53

After a few weeks' observation, I started my position on ANR today. Small-money but I have the real faith that this stock has stabilized and is bound for a run.
China's local government started their own version of QE2 from weeks ago, and their coal inventories is going down for the first time in 10 months.

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Member Avatar Bluepride11 (< 20) Submitted: 7/17/2012 1:03:36 AM : Outperform Start Price: $6.86 ANR Score: -72.94

Short-term rally

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Member Avatar Wade32ru (< 20) Submitted: 5/29/2012 2:00:40 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.39 ANR Score: -101.53

Bottom fishing. Coal has secular headwinds for sure, but this company is actually cash flow positive (CFO) and has plenty of cash on its balance sheet to weather the storm. Banking on exports....

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Member Avatar CVagts (87.91) Submitted: 5/29/2012 1:10:59 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.43 ANR Score: -101.66

Cash on hand has somehow been trending upward for the past two years at ANR. Coal can supply 500 years of energy and will come back sooner or later. The only factor is which companies have enough cash to weather the consolidation in the industry. ANR should be one of them.

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Member Avatar tmcmill81 (65.68) Submitted: 5/21/2012 3:51:59 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.66 ANR Score: -103.54

Oversold relative to book value.

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Member Avatar bobsweet (< 20) Submitted: 5/15/2012 12:57:08 PM : Outperform Start Price: $11.91 ANR Score: -101.72

Why not at this point...

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