Arcsight (ARST)
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tenmiles
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tenmiles recommended I sell this, so I comply.
Valuation stats:
Market Cap (intraday)5: 728.88M
Enterprise Value (8-Sep-09)3: 616.63M
Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 63.08
Forward P/E (fye 30-Apr-11) 1: 32.84
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected): 2.06
Price/Sales (ttm): 5.02
Price/Book (mrq): 8.59
Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm)3: 4.31
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm)3: 33.407
Recs
Cyber crime software play - good company, but getting fundamentally expensive near term, as well as somewhat dangerous from a technical standpoint - recommend a sale around $22.25 for expected 10-15% retracement over next two quarters.
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Earnings surprise will take this stock to new yearly highs.....
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Cramer bump means this one will get a quick up and out
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1 WEEK HANDLE 6/15/9 34/800% SALES +34% I/S 36% E79 RS96
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appears a little shady to me with the bid/ask, insider selling, 60X earnings etc etc. Good company or not, the stock is moving in ways that arent normal. I wouldnt be surprised to see an investigation on many recent wonders.
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Weak Consensus Opinion
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Unique security service monitoring the cyber power grids. Best in class. Undervalued.
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Earnings to be announced June 11, 2009 - feeling confident earnings will beat.
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Managing disparate security notices, events and remediations is difficult. The ARST platform does a good job simplifying the job, which is increasingly important in complex security environments.
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Top fundamentals in their industry
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Fid, Drieh
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$13,00 is a buy point if goes up w/ a good volume
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Best of Breed. Software guarantees network security with report generation on risk determination and potential network weakness.
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Compliance sales will peak this upcoming quarter...
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Doing a good job of building out a solution in the compliiance market. Likely target for acquisition for larger firm looking for way to increase revenue growth rates.
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Trading above 55-Day MA : Bullish
Trading above 20-Day MA : Bullish
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Increasing shareholder's equity well. It's worth a gamble. I'm not crazy over it as I'm not very familiar with their business model but management looks to be doing a good job with expenses.

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