Ascent Solar Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:ASTI)
A development stage company that was formed to commercialize certain photovoltaic PV technology developed by ITN for extraterrestrial, terrestrial, and near-space applications.
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Solar and wind the next sliced bread.
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Alternative energy stocks have nowhere to go but up - and investment will increase as the global economy stabilizes.
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Oh My Gosh! Free CAPS points!
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semis 2011
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no opinion yet
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flexible photovoltaic (PV) modules
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Certification should work out well in time, but for now a pullback is in order.
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asti .... spumante?
Where is outoffocus, there is some champagne that needs to be popped :)
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This is one of my STARZ.
Here is the thought process on this STAR:
a) Divided rate over Zero
b) 3 Year Beta between -5 & +3
c) 15% + Insider ownership
d) No greater than -50% Growth rate for the last 3 years (tought= last couple of years so goo that insiders are still owning the stocks)
e) Current CAPS rating between 3 Stars & 5 Stars
Open to all Industries and Sectors screened this down to just 250 stocks. I like round numbers. 12 of them I already own through other screening tools. I tend to be somewhat conservative but looking for 3 things at this point in my investing:
1. Stability & Strength
2. Yield and Modest Growth
3. Strong Position within a sector regardless of whether the entire sector is strong or not. Each sector has to perform to some degree for the whole world economy to function. I am looking for 5 or more years down the road, ROI, and Growth.
Not looking for rockets, just stars. This is a Star!!
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Speculative play on an unproven company. Sell at sub-3.
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Here we go, green thumb on ASTI
First, lets get the obvious bad stuff out of the way:
- Are they making money? : NO
- Are they even close? : NO
- How much are they losing? : LOTS
- Define lots? : Much larger than wheelbarrow size, Larger than dump truck size, Not quite freighter size
... okay, so they aren't profitable. So what gives with the green thumb?
I am a *huge* fan of thin-film solar technology. All of the major upcoming advances in solar will be in this arena. It is a very nice compromise between efficiency and cost and will continue to get better over time (much better efficiency/cost ratio than tradtional cells when the technology fully matures). The efficiency is really not that bad either. Current ASTI thin film efficiency is 10-12%, which is on par with medium grade terrestrial traditional crystalline cells, whereas state of the art triple-junction Gallium Arsenide PV cells used in high efficiency space applications (about as expensive as you get) are at about 26-29%. But there is over 2 orders of magnitude in cost difference.
I like ASTIs product lines. They are taking their thin film arrays and laminating them onto structural sheets to be used in building construction (a variation on the solar "shingle" theme). They have thin film built into flexible membranes for use on something like a backpack (that is awesome). And they are getting into the military and space applications. I work in the Aerospace industry and solar panels are heavy. But the time you connect/weld all the junctions, bond down the wafers, apply the coverglass, bond down to a stuctural panel to support the weight and still have a high enough natural frequency to avoid coupling with the Attitude Control System, Solar panels are signifant mass fractions of an overall satellite. So high efficiency thin film not only provides a raw cost savings for satellite manufactures, but also mass savings (mass = cost and is a premium for satellite design). I really believe the space industry will be heading this way in the future, and large scale GEO communications satellites use a lot of solar cells.
So I am very bullish long term.
In the short term, I think ASTI's chart is very constructive for a bottom of some sort here. See this chart that I prepared: http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_OpWmYZm7O8I/TBET01BSdRI/AAAAAAAAC2k/Ht_IZYL5ZjA/s1600/0binve-001-asti.png.
I like the long term prospects, I like the short term chart. Hence the green thumb.
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Look for this stock, will keep going up this year. It will have a short term pop from here.
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This stock is ramping up production finally...look for profits to ramp up also
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Recent certification of modules is milestone and will allow the company to move forward with industry cert testing. Much potential and applications of their product is almost unlimited. Ready to roll!
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Look for this stock to keep ging up over the next year. We will have a short term pop from here. The stock is just about book value, but the company is about to report earnings from its frist production line. Within 1 year, production ramp-up will go from 1.5 MW to 31.5 MW. Ascent Solar has govenment contract for guarenteed near space applications and plenty of other partners already signed up to buy all their capacity for years to come at great margins. Ascent is the only CIGS on plastic maker in the world and can make the lightest, most efficent solar cells in the world because they are on plastic. Ascent's product will be a game changer and a disruptive technology to silicon based products. Watch for a possible buyout on this company at around $30 per share in the next year.
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New Production will manufacture Solar Panels that can be molded into building material such as paneling and roofing material. It just seems like a win-win situation.
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i like this solar company we'll see what the future holds in store
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Increasing competition from faster processes.
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s o l a r is good! :)
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after chk999
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